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Oct 29-30 snow threat


Typhoon Tip
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2 minutes ago, PowderBeard said:

Take it for what it's worth (la la land), but the NAM puts the system into the Ohio River Valley vs. running further SE.

It was about to go off too. If you look at 700 and 500, it really can't get much further north than that. Probably would move ENE out under LI and it intensifies.

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Lightning in this band    ;)

ths.jpg.86c58aa36f77dbd57da8a2ae46a14dcd.jpg

The trouble is...it's the ICON - which I don't care to comment on it's individual performance?  however, this isn't too far strayed from the Euro/UKMET and Para-G complexion of near or at flashing of the column from near wet bald z rain ( actually probably 36 or 37 is the magic flip number ...) to blue dusk job, but this thing's liable to head for 30 and under by 9 pm easy. 

This could be really bad for the evening commute 18z to 00z as the band probably pivots SE through 5 pm - but ... with Pandemic traffic demography is probably manageable. Anyway, that deck to 1300 ' temp collapse prooobably catches civility off guard as antecedence at this time of year ... I suspect it won't even occur to many to bother looking - it's not supposed to do this in the first f'n place

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