40/70 Benchmark Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: You will change your tune when Hubb Dave has 10”’ No. I don't expect to get what NNE or the hills get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 Can we please call this the Zon of Zeta? homage to Son of Sandy 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 26, 2020 Author Share Posted October 26, 2020 The Euro is passing out of 'radio silence' on this run and it's likely it needs another cycle or two to lock on the signal - ..it may morph a bit more and is flux. I wouldn't take the details of this run verbatim at D5 ... but... anything after 00z run you'd be wise/safer to begin that consideration - The problem is, despite Kevin's protestations and vendetta to vilify the Euro ... it still outperforms other guidance < D4.5 over the longer termed statistical coverage - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 4 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: how does it feel to be the one and only human on earth to favor the UKMET? I think the UK is pretty reasonable. Its been great for the topics. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 54 minutes ago, dendrite said: wtf Jeebus that is you and me. kinda early to be in the jackpot at 84+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Could be it’s totally right. I mean it’s been wrong since last winter, so to suddenly revert back to it and dry hump it just seems strange. If it’s correct with a foot for the ski slopes and far NNE and mainly rains for all of SNE then we can say it’s back . Might be wise to at least incorporate FV3 and its ensembles since it had this first fwiw, I was just joking around. Of course you don't take any operational model verbatim at this stage. Having said that, I do like the chances for shovelable snow in my 'hood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 Two words. I’m in! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Could be it’s totally right. I mean it’s been wrong since last winter, so to suddenly revert back to it and dry hump it just seems strange. If it’s correct with a foot for the ski slopes and far NNE and mainly rains for all of SNE then we can say it’s back . Might be wise to at least incorporate FV3 and its ensembles since it had this first This is the DIT that was gone all summer. You tried to pawn off all interesting weather to other areas for 6 months straight... now that it involves snow it’s like whoa whoa whoa let’s slow down and talk about this, lol...good to see Stein didn’t ruin your love for snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 2 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said: fwiw, I was just joking around. Of course you don't take any operational model verbatim at this stage. Having said that, I do like the chances for shovelable snow in my 'hood. Yeah I don’t think this rains to Maine’s 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 Congrats cne/nne. Get the season started off like it should...early and often as climo slowly sags the boundry south over the next two months. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 12 minutes ago, dryslot said: Phrase for the winter? Well that's also climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 It's all about the southern stream phase and how far west it happens...there's competing forces here. You have the big southern stream bowling ball that wants to send this thing into Ottawa if it fully phases, however, the screaming PJ to the north is ripping in and trying to squeeze or pinch the bowling ball as it gains latitude and that acts to shove the storm east. So if the bowling ball stays unphased longer, you get a more sheared storm and further SE. You get an earlier and more fully phased solution (like today;s Euro/Ukmet), then it's going to try and hug the coast for a while before it finally gets crunched E. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 9 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Can we please call this the Zon of Zeta? homage to Son of Sandy Lol . Man high ratio stuff CNH Maine. Congrats Dendrite on a Oct 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 That's a heck of an ending though in SNE on the Ukie and Euro. Wouldn't complain about that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 26, 2020 Author Share Posted October 26, 2020 Lol ... right, agreed - But, you know ..I'm of the school that jesus, we're even talking about this ? It's worth of attention that we have this rationally happening regardless - it substantial in and of itself already - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Well that's also climo. True. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That's a heck of an ending though in SNE on the Ukie and Euro. Wouldn't complain about that. It rips for a few hours and its cold....I don't think you have to downplay the ratios too hard in the CCB part of the storm....the front side up north (esp lower elevations)? Yeah, I think you'd be a little more conservative, but once everything is collapsing SE, it gets really cold quickly. It's just a matter now if we keep the look or if this trends further north and tries to run into the Hudson Valley....or gets sheared apart on futures. Either could happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It rips for a few hours and its cold....I don't think you have to downplay the ratios too hard in the CCB part of the storm....the front side up north (esp lower elevations)? Yeah, I think you'd be a little more conservative, but once everything is collapsing SE, it gets really cold quickly. It's just a matter now if we keep the look or if this trends further north and tries to run into the Hudson Valley....or gets sheared apart on futures. Either could happen. Yeah all true. Just refreshing to talk synoptics for once. It might be awhile before anything else interesting, so hopefully we make the best of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 We Snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 Call it off, cancel, game over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 Eric and Judah shook? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 10 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Call it off, cancel, game over. Is this guy pining to try and say this will be a 2011-12? Because how many mild novembers are followed by severe winters? (a lot). If anything in recent years cold and snowy Novembers have not good news for Winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 Makes sense to be very hesitant about the season for SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 It's a -PNA look. No piggie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 This was second half of Novie 2011. That area from GOAK to western NAMR is much different on the EPS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: It's a -PNA look. No piggie. Work some lower heights into SE Can and it could be fun, albeit dumbfounding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 Scott, otherwise known as a +EPO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 17 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: Is this guy pining to try and say this will be a 2011-12? Because how many mild novembers are followed by severe winters? (a lot). If anything in recent years cold and snowy Novembers have not good news for Winter I think it’s more about a possible October snowstorm followed by a warm Novie like ‘11) ...notsomuch a warm Nov by itself. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 I do like the little enhanced totals looks on the south shore into se mass on some of the models.... little enhancement as it exits stage right 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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