dta1984 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Looking good for the I 71 areas in Ohio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 I looked into a lot of soundings of the NAm between 6z and 12z. The shift it had was honestly nuts. I'm thinking we can write it off for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaf316 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 10 minutes ago, Gino27 said: As long as we stay all snow we're in for a big one. We won't get the crazy ratios of those more the west but can't compain. I've heard it said that to get the biggest snows, you have to be able to smell the rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaf316 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Meanwhile, late week storm is looking a bit more promising for our area... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iluvsnow Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 And the noon GFS trends the Thursday/Friday system further east. This NON Kuchera 10-1 map looks like a Kuchera map for both storms for most of us..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iluvsnow Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 And the Kuchera for both storms from the 12z GFS..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 31 minutes ago, iluvsnow said: And the Kuchera for both storms from the 12z GFS..... Looks like most of that is from the first storm, at least closer to 71. Further NW will probably do well with both. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Looking for upgrades this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaf316 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Someone said ukie was NW. Anyone know what it showed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 2 minutes ago, jaf316 said: Someone said ukie was NW. Anyone know what it showed? Looked good to me.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 2 minutes ago, jaf316 said: Someone said ukie was NW. Anyone know what it showed? Ukie is a nice storm statewide. Precip is just more expansive on the NW side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 I don’t think the track has really changed. To me it seems precipitation field is getting bigger on NW side. Idk lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 9 minutes ago, CoachLB said: I don’t think the track has really changed. To me it seems precipitation field is getting bigger on NW side. Idk lol Track has changed slightly but the big difference has been it becoming a lot more amped. Also, most models definitely show a more significant push of warm air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 12z euro gives me 12.9 kutchera ratio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 22 hours ago, buckeye said: I decided to go into lurking-only mode back in early spring. Just needed to separate myself from here for awhile. Didn't like who I became being sucked into a thread and a topic that in my opinion has no place here. This is where we come to share our illogical and unique passion for weather. It's the only place we can do it. That's ALL this place should ever be. That's my opinion and the last I will say about it So on a lighter note, I did plan to start posting around Xmas but then we actually got a snowstorm on Xmas eve/day and then more snow, and now we sit with a snow cover and a potential decent storm coming in on top. I told pondo and dilly that since I stopped posting we were having the best winter in years and I was afraid I might jinx it. So let me apologize in advance to my Ohio brethren if this turns into a 1-3" turd now that I'm back. As far as the later week threat, that's always been tenuous, so I ain't taking the blame if that washes us out. Welcome back, buck, you were very much missed! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just went warning for 8-11 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iluvsnow Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=OHZ062&warncounty=OHC057&firewxzone=OHZ062&local_place1=3 Miles NW Xenia OH&product1=Winter+Storm+Warning&lat=39.7174&lon=-83.9805 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 21 minutes ago, CoachLB said: Just went warning for 8-11 inches Your office Indy or Wilmin? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 5 minutes ago, pondo1000 said: Your office Indy or Wilmin? Wilmington 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iluvsnow Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 ILN just revised. Areas north of Dayton along I-75 are expecting 8-11 or more.....the rest of ILN area 6-9 or more. IND has virtually their entire area in 8-11 or more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Euro has been the most consistent model with this storm. Great to see it hold at 12z. Solid 8-12". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 So what's everyone's call? Instead of giving a range, I'll just put out exact amounts and see how close I am... Columbus: 8.5" Dayton: 10.5" Cincinnati: 9.5" Toledo: 8" Cleveland: 11" including some lake enhancement. Max total somewhere in the state would be in the neighborhood of 15", I think, probably around the northern Miami Valley. I might be too low with a few of these, but I'm definitely incorporating climo. Biggest bust potential is Columbus being too high if the storm ends up further NW and Toledo and Cincy being too low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sojitodd Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 14 minutes ago, jbcmh81 said: So what's everyone's call? Mine are Columbus 6"-10", Dayton 8"-12", Cincinnati 8"-12". I have Columbus a bit lower for two reasons- possible last minute NW movement and the airport typically reports a lower total- not always- but enough that I'll hedge my bets. That said, I could easily see the minimum levels being too low in all these places. I have Columbus at 6"-we always seem to never be the jackpot-more to the NW. *edited up to six* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 7 minutes ago, jbcmh81 said: So what's everyone's call? Instead of giving a range, I'll just put out exact amounts and see how close I am... Columbus: 8.5" Dayton: 10.5" Cincinnati: 9.5" Toledo: 8" Cleveland: 11" including some lake enhancement. Max total somewhere in the state would be in the neighborhood of 15", I think, probably around the northern Miami Valley. I might be too low with a few of these, but I'm definitely incorporating climo. Biggest bust potential is Columbus being too high if the storm ends up further NW and Toledo and Cincy being too low. Those numbers look pretty good. Can’t really say I disagree w/ any of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaf316 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 12 minutes ago, jbcmh81 said: So what's everyone's call? Instead of giving a range, I'll just put out exact amounts and see how close I am... Columbus: 8.5" Dayton: 10.5" Cincinnati: 9.5" Toledo: 8" Cleveland: 11" including some lake enhancement. Max total somewhere in the state would be in the neighborhood of 15", I think, probably around the northern Miami Valley. I might be too low with a few of these, but I'm definitely incorporating climo. Biggest bust potential is Columbus being too high if the storm ends up further NW and Toledo and Cincy being too low. I'd be quite happy with 8.5 in columbus, but I'm guessing the heaviest totals line up a bit to our west. I'm gonna go with 6.5 for cbus, 10 in cincy, and 9 in toledo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sojitodd Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 9 minutes ago, jaf316 said: I'd be quite happy with 8.5 in columbus, but I'm guessing the heaviest totals line up a bit to our west. I'm gonna go with 6.5 for cbus, 10 in cincy, and 9 in toledo. I would be happy for even what Dallas is supposed to get: Quote Snow, mainly before midnight. The snow could be heavy at times. Widespread blowing snow before 9pm. Low around 7. Wind chill values between -8 and zero. North northwest wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible. I hope jbcmh81 is more right than I am on this though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownado Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Dayton: 12" Cincinnati: 12" Columbus: 12" Indianapolis: 12" Fort Wayne: 12" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaf316 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 6 minutes ago, sojitodd said: I would be happy for even what Dallas is supposed to get: I hope jbcmh81 is more right than I am on this though. Is that seriously Dallas's forecast? That's nuts! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sojitodd Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 5 minutes ago, jaf316 said: Is that seriously Dallas's forecast? That's nuts! I copied and pasted it right off of the NWS forecast for there. Oklahoma City: Quote This Afternoon Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Widespread blowing snow. High near 6. Wind chill values as low as -15. North northeast wind 18 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible. Tonight Snow likely, mainly before 9pm. Widespread blowing snow before 9pm. Cloudy, with a low around -5. Wind chill values as low as -20. North wind 13 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. I would also be happy with their forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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