Gino27 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 5:37 AM, buckeye said: Yea that one last year sucked but we did get some redemption towards the end. That was more of a dryslot situation where we ended up with hours of drizzle. This one looks to have pretty heavy rates with the main low coming in. Expand I measured something crazy like .8" liquid and then 5" of snow. What could've been lol. Ever since we lost Chris Bradley we just haven't had anything nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 5:38 AM, jbcmh81 said: I was on some of the weather forums going back to Weather.com and NEwx. Around 1995-96 I think was the first big winter I remember doing that. Expand I think my progression was TWC...Wright Weather....eastern....AmWx. Back in the day we didn't have geographic subforums.... The storm threads were like the wild west 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 5:43 AM, buckeye said: I think my progression was TWC...Wright Weather....eastern....AmWx. Back in the day we didn't have geographic subforums.... The storm threads were like the wild west Expand I dabbled on WW for a time as well. I didn't post much those days- not that I'm super prolific now. Yeah, it was a total sh*tshow back then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 4:39 AM, dilly84 said: Did. Learn to read. Sorry, too marginal, don't buy it. I'll burn with the ship if need be. No way sleet gets to I71/I70 Expand I know how to read and no matter how marginal it is thats a decently deep section of the atmosphere near or slightly above freezing. You don't need some honking warm layer at +2 or greater to get sleet. Not sure why you are defensive of an explanation as to why you are going to get sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 5:32 AM, buckeye said: yup, 25 years plus with some of us. Expand 2006 here. Back when it was EasternUS. I know you were on the boards even before Eastern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 2:23 AM, Gino27 said: It's right here Dilly. Everything to the right of my pink line between 850 and 700 on the NAM is above freezing. Expand This is definitely a sleet sounding for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 5:23 AM, Hoosier said: How much would it even matter anyway? If the temperature profile actually looks like that, the flake quality would be piss poor/rimed and likely result in a period of inefficient accumulation, until it cools off. On another note, welcome back buckeye. I have a special place in my heart for the original members of the boards, of which he is one. Left, right, whatever, it doesn't matter, because the common passion for weather trumps all in my book. Expand Good point as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 5:51 AM, Stebo said: I know how to read and no matter how marginal it is thats a decently deep section of the atmosphere near or slightly above freezing. You don't need some honking warm layer at +2 or greater to get sleet. Not sure why you are defensive of an explanation as to why you are going to get sleet. Expand Was defensive because of the "read a sounding" maybe you don't realize it but most here "hey idiot, read something" lol. It's all good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 5:52 AM, Stebo said: This is definitely a sleet sounding for sure. Expand Happy I'm right...sad I'm right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 5:52 AM, Stebo said: This is definitely a sleet sounding for sure. Expand It's also not my location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 5:54 AM, Gino27 said: Happy I'm right...sad I'm right Expand It is what it is. La Niña, Ohio, warm tongue. Its like death and taxes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 5:54 AM, dilly84 said: It's also not my location. Expand Yeah hence why I replied to Gino. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 5:57 AM, Stebo said: Yeah hence why I replied to Gino. Expand But you also replied to me. That reply of his was replying to me. You know what? This is stupid lol. I'm gonna refrain from us sounding like children any longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 5:57 AM, Stebo said: Yeah hence why I replied to Gino. Expand I'm well west of that location too and was going off of Dilly saying Apple Valley on his tag. Not really worried about this one. Been through enough of these nail-biters in the OHV. Just let it happen and might get lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 6:00 AM, Gino27 said: I'm well west of that location too and was going off of Dilly saying Apple Valley on his tag. Not really worried about this one. Been through enough of these nail-biters in the OHV. Just let it happen and might get lucky. Expand Yep you should still do fine anyways. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Meanwhile, the Euro remains rock solid with amounts approaching a foot along I-71 with a little room to spare. When the Euro says the same thing run after run after run, it is to be taken seriously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 5:32 AM, buckeye said: yup, 25 years plus with some of us. Expand 20+ for me. On here (started as Eastern I believe?) back when some of these guys were in diapers! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Anyone want to change their calls? First round underperformed I think, not that it was supposed to be much. Most of the models now have the mixing line reaching 71. As mentioned last night, I thought Columbus might bust too high because of that danger. I had them at 8.5", but now thinking no more than maybe 7". Still something to watch, but yeah, you can't beat climo too often in these situations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 1:19 PM, jbcmh81 said: Anyone want to change their calls? First round underperformed I think, not that it was supposed to be much. Most of the models now have the mixing line reaching 71. As mentioned last night, I thought Columbus might bust too high because of that danger. I had them at 8.5", but now thinking no more than maybe 7". Still something to watch, but yeah, you can't beat climo too often in these situations. Expand Trends overnight not good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 1:19 PM, jbcmh81 said: Anyone want to change their calls? First round underperformed I think, not that it was supposed to be much. Most of the models now have the mixing line reaching 71. As mentioned last night, I thought Columbus might bust too high because of that danger. I had them at 8.5", but now thinking no more than maybe 7". Still something to watch, but yeah, you can't beat climo too often in these situations. Expand No changing in the middle .....got to ride the calls come pellets or pingers! I'm sticking to mine. If the precip comes in as heavy snow, I think it'll stay mainly snow. If it let's up in intensity then it could changeover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Ready to be buried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 1:33 PM, buckeye said: No changing in the middle .....got to ride the calls come pellets or pingers! I'm sticking to mine. If the precip comes in as heavy snow, I think it'll stay mainly snow. If it let's up in intensity then it could changeover. Expand I agree with you about it staying snow if it hits as heavy snow, but I can't discount the possibility of a classic Central Ohio bust. It's happened too many times with too many heartbreaks. The fact that the first round has mostly missed to the west is a bad sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 1:46 PM, jbcmh81 said: I agree with you about it staying snow if it hits as heavy snow, but I can't discount the possibility of a classic Central Ohio bust. It's happened too many times with too many heartbreaks. Expand I was trying to recall the last time we were forecasted to get heavy snow and it turned into a sleetfest and I keep going back to Feb 2007, but I'm sure we've had it happen since then. I remember that one because we were forecasted to get a foot the morning of the storm... It was a huge screw job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 I know it’s nowcasting time, but 12z NAM went further NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 1:50 PM, pondo1000 said: I know it’s nowcasting time, but 12z NAM went further NW Expand I don't know if the low moved further NW, but it is showing the mixing line a bit further NW, so yeah. Same result. Still the warmest model. Low through central WV looks most likely, with mix at or near 71. It's going to be really close and will be the difference between 4"-6" totals and 8"-12" totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 In all honesty I was kind of relieved.by the nam.. I thought it was going to do one of its jumps like taking the low to CLE. Man....talk about living on the edge, these models are cutting Franklin county in half lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 What do you guys use for a good radar site? I can't stand the NWS update....wth were they thinking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 2:00 PM, jbcmh81 said: I don't know if the low moved further NW, but it is showing the mixing line a bit further NW, so yeah. Same result. Still the warmest model. Low through central WV looks most likely, with mix at or near 71. It's going to be really close and will be the difference between 4"-6" totals and 8"-12" totals. Expand Gotta ride the old, “If you want the heavy snow, you gotta smell the rain!” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OhioWX Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 12z HRRR and NAM have me right on the sleet/snow line... On 2/15/2021 at 2:07 PM, buckeye said: What do you guys use for a good radar site? I can't stand the NWS update....wth were they thinking? Expand RadarScope. It's worth it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 2:07 PM, buckeye said: What do you guys use for a good radar site? I can't stand the NWS update....wth were they thinking? Expand I use an app called MyRadar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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