tamarack Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 34 minutes ago, Whineminster said: One more month for a good ice storm, maybe a month and a half. After that it gets harder. The 2 worst ice storms, by far (1953 and 1998) came on Jan. 8-9, a solid month and a half from today's date. For SNE, December seems the prime time, at least for the past 90 years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Maybe but the guidance distinctly has a problematic flow into Canada still present in the first few days of December....which it then backs off as we get into the post-12.5 range....now maybe that's wrong and the amplitude out west verifies sharper prior to 12/5....then ok, fine, we could increase the odds of a snow event if that occurred. Obviously the extra 7-10 days of climo also helps if we're comparing 12/2 to 12/11 or something...no denying that. I am not sure what exactly you are referring to to make that 'distinction' ...and you may be right ...oh, cool - thunder just now... wow but, if the GEFs tele's are right in that which I posted above... I suggest any off-set distinction is correctable ...that would be my guess.. That was implicit in my post - bigger one .. - up there...that I'm not too worried about any daily-scaled bad pattern. I mean I seriously hope you are not using the operational Euro for anything beyond D5.5 in that mess - ew... I like times like these ( lol ) ..it brings meaning to my otherwise pointless existence as a tortured love lorn victim of the gods ... I can hide in high- claims based on my special ( as in helmet and drool cup) aspergery vision, and than challenge to see if they come to realization. Mind you ...said competition is only against myself... Even when I'm more right about these sort of ideas ... I can honestly see vestiges of the other notion were still sort of there? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 Who needs ice when thunder is a boomin’? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: I am not sure what exactly you are referring to to make that 'distinction' ...and you may be right ...oh, cool - thunder just now... wow but, if the GEFs tele's are right in that which I posted above... I suggest any off-set distinction is correctable ...that would be my guess.. That was implicit in my post - bigger one .. - up there...that I'm not too worried about any daily-scaled bad pattern. I mean I seriously hope you are not using the operational Euro for anything beyond D5.5 in that mess - ew... I like times like these ( lol ) ..it brings meaning to my otherwise pointless existence as a tortured love lorn victim of the gods ... I can hide in high- claims based on my special ( as in helmet and drool cup) aspergery vision, and than challenge to see if they come to realization. He just means that Canada is filled with Pacific air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 There could always be something that sneaks in, but “Tele” me when this is better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 Tornado warning on the cape.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: There could always be something that sneaks in, but “Tele” me when this is better. Yea....there isn't much cold for the PNA to advect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: There could always be something that sneaks in, but “Tele” me when this is better. That's interesting, Scott- yeah... It certainly does not fit the CPC derivatives - LOL... omg, it's actually diametrically out of phase with this - repost of my earlier: ...head scratcher - ... well... okay, if this graphic shit is more accurate than the CPC curve here, than no problem... Late golf light sweaters and shorts with forsythia bud swelling ... Having said that, I usually do pretty well to take the EOF version immediately above and go with that... The anomaly product could be a different metric feed-in/and layout - hell...maybe we're looking at apples and oranges in some sense .. Nah, actually the CPC uses the geopotential anomaly in their EOFs so that only begs the question - wtf!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: That's interesting, Scott- yeah... It certainly does not fit the CPC derivatives - LOL... omg, it's actually diametrically out of phase with this - repost of my earlier: ...head scratcher - ... well... okay, if this graphic shit is more accurate than the CPC curve here, than no problem... Late golf light sweaters and shorts with forsythia bud swelling ... Having said that, I usually do pretty well to take the EOF version immediately above and go with that... The anomaly product could be a different metric feed-in/and layout - hell...maybe we're looking at apples and oranges in some sense .. Well that is a 11-15 day average and I think overall PNA will come up....but there isn’t much cold air at that time. That’s all I mean. Maybe you get a random trough diving in that is well timed and lucky, but I guess my point is that overall...I think we need to wait. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 8 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Tornado warning on the cape.. We keep stealing Wiz's nados Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Well that is a 11-15 day average and I think overall PNA will come up....but there isn’t much cold air at that time. That’s all I mean. Maybe you get a random trough diving in that is well timed and lucky, but I guess my point is that overall...I think we need to wait. Snowless Dec certainly a possibility this year unfortunately 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 We just got tornado warned. At my office in Marstons mills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 Just now, amarshall said: We just got tornado warned. At my office in Marstons mills Should be fine. Rotation way broad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 Lots of thunder this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 How many times do we see a Bow Echo around these parts! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Lots of thunder this morning. I can’t recall such a thundery November day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 3 minutes ago, amarshall said: We just got tornado warned. At my office in Marstons mills Set a record for safety. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 19 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Tornado warning on the cape.. Where's James? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 Just now, moneypitmike said: Where's James? Taking cover under his novel 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 Just enough 3km CAPE poking into the Cape with more than enough shear for a possible tornado. Also, check out the rapid increase in lightning just prior to the tightening couplet. Sometimes that can be a tell take sign for potential tornado genesis IMG_5278.MP4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Just enough 3km CAPE poking into the Cape with more than enough shear for a possible tornado. Also, check out the rapid increase in lightning just prior to the tightening couplet. Sometimes that can be a tell take sign for potential tornado genesis IMG_5278.MP4 1.84 MB · 0 downloads I was just about to say a ton of lightning appeared out of no where in SE MA all of a sudden Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 Rotation tightened up a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 Hopefully no more talk about Stein after this. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 I know Bob has been gently tugging at the drought monitor maps. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: I know Bob has been gently tugging at the drought monitor maps. Tug on this. 1.30" 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 16 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Where's James? He protesting outside of TD Garden....... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 There was an almost identical scenario down there in spring/...or early summer? That one verified... Regardless of ground truth, wtf - to do this twice in the same year, opposing seasons is a curiosity - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 0.90" here... looks to be about done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: There was an almost identical scenario down there in spring/...or early summer? That one verified... Regardless of ground truth, wtf - to do this twice in the same year, opposing seasons is a curiosity - CC got 3 tornadoes in 2019... not sure if there were any this year 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 James got sucked into the vortex, and landed on top of a Humpback whale. He then rode the whale back into Chatham harbor like Elian Gonzalez. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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