CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2020 Share Posted November 19, 2020 6 minutes ago, leo2000 said: Well doesn't help with the cold arctic air?. The distribution of it. 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: If it's a Yukon-based -EPO that is phasing with the PNA ridge, I;ll take it (happened at times in 2015)...but I will decline a massive ridge over the Bering Strait or W AK if I can have a generic +PNA ridge instead. I think it’s just playing with fire. Yeah if it’s properly placed sure, but more often than not it dumps into the Plains and it’s a mess for us. I’ll take a nice and sharp +PNA. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 19, 2020 Share Posted November 19, 2020 In this climate regime in this setup always go warm and dry or warm and wet until proven wrong 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2020 Share Posted November 19, 2020 What climate regime? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 19, 2020 Share Posted November 19, 2020 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: In this climate regime in this setup always go warm and dry or warm and wet until proven wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 19, 2020 Share Posted November 19, 2020 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: What climate regime? Warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 19, 2020 Share Posted November 19, 2020 52 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: I am still bitter from the year where you stole our snow. (2011/12?). A year that will live in infamy. Never forgive, never forget. Alaska and October stole our snow in 2011-2012. Mid atl stole it in 2009-2010. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2020 Share Posted November 19, 2020 Weeklies suck. Not much else to say. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 19, 2020 Share Posted November 19, 2020 29 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Why? So you can risk cutters? So Canada won't be void of cold....its a balance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2020 Share Posted November 19, 2020 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: So Canada won't be void of cold....its a balance. So we freeze our nuts off after fropa. Yay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted November 19, 2020 Share Posted November 19, 2020 Starting to think that we should throw our "classic nino/nina" patterns out the window with climate change, global warming, Hadley cell expansion (whatever you want to call it) . I feel like I keep reading......that's not a nino look. That's not a nina look. That's not a neutral look. when we are squarely in one of the phases. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 19, 2020 Share Posted November 19, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: So we freeze our nuts off after fropa. Yay. So we get a perfect track with cold rain and only freeze one nut off. Yay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 19, 2020 Share Posted November 19, 2020 Just now, Chrisrotary12 said: Starting to think that we should throw our "classic nino/nina" patterns out the window with climate change, global warming, Hadley cell expansion (whatever you want to call it) . I feel like I keep reading......that's not a nino look. That's not a nina look. That's not a neutral look. when we are squarely in one of the phases. The abridged cliff-note version of Tip. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 19, 2020 Share Posted November 19, 2020 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Weeklies suck. Not much else to say. Sad! That our best snow event was in October. Ive never had high hopes for this winter. Long range stuff across the board has kind of looked like poo. Doesnt mean we can’t sneak something in somewhere over the next four months. On balance though, I don’t think it’s going to be pretty. That includes NNE too. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2020 Share Posted November 19, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: So we get a perfect track with cold rain and only freeze one nut off. Yay. It’s all about location. But given how guidance looks, no worries this December. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted November 19, 2020 Share Posted November 19, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: The abridged cliff-note version of Tip. Did Tip already say this somewhere? I've started giving up trying to follow his posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2020 Share Posted November 19, 2020 2 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Starting to think that we should throw our "classic nino/nina" patterns out the window with climate change, global warming, Hadley cell expansion (whatever you want to call it) . I feel like I keep reading......that's not a nino look. That's not a nina look. That's not a neutral look. when we are squarely in one of the phases. Well it’s not a Niña look. Whatever is causing it. It is a sucky look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 19, 2020 Share Posted November 19, 2020 Just now, Chrisrotary12 said: Did Tip already say this somewhere? I've started giving up trying to follow his posts. Every post for about the past 3 years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2020 Share Posted November 19, 2020 AK is due for some blues. If anything else the stats point to that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted November 19, 2020 Share Posted November 19, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Every post for about the past 3 years. Right. Was able to follow those 6 months ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 19, 2020 Share Posted November 19, 2020 I’m getting a hotel in Alaska , if they have any. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 19, 2020 Share Posted November 19, 2020 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: I’m getting a hotel in Alaska Navahut MILFS....grab a clunker and take her to sled dog night. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2020 Share Posted November 19, 2020 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Navahut MILFS....grab a clunker and take her to sled dog night. He better be careful, he might turn over and see that it’s Pete’s long flowing locks with his AK buddy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 19, 2020 Share Posted November 19, 2020 Hopefully the weeklies are as accurate as last winter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 19, 2020 Share Posted November 19, 2020 Weeklies are a crapshoot in a weak MJO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted November 19, 2020 Share Posted November 19, 2020 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Weeklies suck. Not much else to say. The funny thing is thats the exact sort of pattern where somehow Richmond or Atlanta or Nashville will find a snow event but anything major won't happen in the NE. It sort of is 01-02/11-12ish, its not classic Nina SER at all, its just weak to moderate AK vortex, east has a trof at times (hard to tell with the smoothing) but no cold air source at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted November 19, 2020 Share Posted November 19, 2020 8 hours ago, tamarack said: So you had to trigger my PTSD from 2009-10, didn't you? And that winter's BWI vs. CAR snowfall comparison is probably a 200-year event, maybe 500. My apologies. I was in my usual state of blissful ignorance until I checked some stats. Caribou had a little over 68 inches in 1961-62. Nearly 9 inches less than Baltimore’s 2010 totals. I couldn’t get the Caribou 2010 total. I believe Phineas will be a snow charm for both locales. As always ..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 20, 2020 Share Posted November 20, 2020 4 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Sad! That our best snow event was in October. Ive never had high hopes for this winter. Long range stuff across the board has kind of looked like poo. Doesnt mean we can’t sneak something in somewhere over the next four months. On balance though, I don’t think it’s going to be pretty. That includes NNE too. There's always 2014-2015... trash until late January. People trying to sled, coming home muddy when it's 2" of glop on top of dirt. Meltdowns, bickering and blaming. Then the stars align for 4-weeks. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted November 20, 2020 Share Posted November 20, 2020 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: There's always 2014-2015... trash until late January. People trying to sled, coming home muddy when it's 2" of glop on top of dirt. Meltdowns, bickering and blaming. Then the stars align for 4-weeks. Freak, if you can guarantee 2014-2015 I will wait quietly ................ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted November 20, 2020 Share Posted November 20, 2020 Windy as hell here right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 20, 2020 Share Posted November 20, 2020 19 minutes ago, Whineminster said: Windy as hell here right now Stay very safe 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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