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November 2020 Discussion


Bostonseminole
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Wow... it's a uniquely warm.  I mean... when arriving into a paradigm where all machine interpretive guidance is completely and utterly rendered meaningless. Odd-ball warmth may happen upon occasion for short stints ... but, this is going to be stretching believe-ability ... if that hasn't already occurred to civility. Actually 'civility' is zombied by other bs these days so they'll be blithe to it ...but that's a cynical rage for another debate... Anyway, the extent/ protracted aspect of days on end of it - oookay

 ...I recall some impressively warm temperatures in Nov and Dec's once in a while... but, ephemeral. They are typically short lived.  It was 72 F one evening, Dec 2nd, 2003... and a sharp cold front heralded in winter by the end of the same night... That was prior to the impressive snow event over eastern zones just 3 or 4 days later ( digression..)   Lots of those... xmas day 2014... I think it was near 70 in lagged CAA ... we did short sleeve family stroll in cargo shorts, not realizing that look was no longer ala mode - heh... but we get those warm intrusions just enough Oct-Dec/Jan.

But this?   

Nah...something's entirely different here.  70 to 82 F spanning days ... and the lows are not trivially above normal.  ORH being 59F for a low last night is not being handled by the MEX/MAV either...

 

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8 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Wow... it's a uniquely warm.  I mean... when arriving into a paradigm where all machine interpretive guidance is completely and utterly rendered meaningless. Odd-ball warmth may happen upon occasion for short stints ... but, this is going to be stretching believe-ability ... if that hasn't already occurred to civility. Actually 'civility' is zombied by other bs these days so they'll be blithe to it ...but that's a cynical rage for another debate... Anyway, the extent/ protracted aspect of days on end of it - oookay

 ...I recall some impressively warm temperatures in Nov and Dec's once in a while... but, ephemeral. They are typically short lived.  It was 72 F one evening, Dec 2nd, 2003... and a sharp cold front heralded in winter by the end of the same night... That was prior to the impressive snow event over eastern zones just 3 or 4 days later ( digression..)   Lots of those... xmas day 2014... I think it was near 70 in lagged CAA ... we did short sleeve family stroll in cargo shorts, not realizing that look was no longer ala mode - heh... but we get those warm intrusions just enough Oct-Dec/Jan.

But this?   

Nah...something's entirely different here.  70 to 82 F spanning days ... and the lows are not trivially above normal.  ORH being 59F for a low last night is not being handled by the MEX/MAV either...

 

Definitely warm, 1975 Nov was very warm as well. My freshman year at college at URI. Days and days on the quad with too many Christine's. ORH

1975-11-02 63 45 54.0 9.3 11 0 0.00 0.0 0
1975-11-03 65 50 57.5 13.1 7 0 0.00 0.0 0
1975-11-04 67 51 59.0 14.9 6 0 0.03 0.0 0
1975-11-05 62 42 52.0 8.2 13 0 0.00 0.0 0
1975-11-06 59 36 47.5 4.0 17 0 0.00 0.0 0
1975-11-07 68 40 54.0 10.8 11 0 0.00 0.0 0
1975-11-08 68 58 63.0 20.1 2 0 0.29 0.0 0
1975-11-09 70 54 62.0 19.4 3 0 0.00 0.0 0
1975-11-10 63 50
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49 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Wow... it's a uniquely warm.  I mean... when arriving into a paradigm where all machine interpretive guidance is completely and utterly rendered meaningless. Odd-ball warmth may happen upon occasion for short stints ... but, this is going to be stretching believe-ability ... if that hasn't already occurred to civility. Actually 'civility' is zombied by other bs these days so they'll be blithe to it ...but that's a cynical rage for another debate... Anyway, the extent/ protracted aspect of days on end of it - oookay

 ...I recall some impressively warm temperatures in Nov and Dec's once in a while... but, ephemeral. They are typically short lived.  It was 72 F one evening, Dec 2nd, 2003... and a sharp cold front heralded in winter by the end of the same night... That was prior to the impressive snow event over eastern zones just 3 or 4 days later ( digression..)   Lots of those... xmas day 2014... I think it was near 70 in lagged CAA ... we did short sleeve family stroll in cargo shorts, not realizing that look was no longer ala mode - heh... but we get those warm intrusions just enough Oct-Dec/Jan.

But this?   

Nah...something's entirely different here.  70 to 82 F spanning days ... and the lows are not trivially above normal.  ORH being 59F for a low last night is not being handled by the MEX/MAV either...

 

Torch!

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Two whole runs in a row the Euro/GGEM and GFS maintain cold on D8-9-10 ... not bad.   Seems to be gaining a toe-hold in cred ... though the GEFs tele's are so-so... 

The ops could be over doing the breakdown... The GGEM looks odd - not likely to sustain an 8 contoured (hypsometric) jet from NE of HA all the way to NS in a zonal construct like that - ... uh, no.

The Euro makes more sense ... but it doesn't mean it's going to verify in and of itself, either.  Just that the flow should perturb - ...

There is still some vague semblance of NE Pacific flow changes lurking out there.  I may have been premature in pulling the plug the other day - ...yup.  Or not.. I don't care.  But I don't think that Novie ends  ... 30 degrees above normal, one way or the other. ha

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3 hours ago, dendrite said:

It's only been warmer than the current 75F at CON this late in the season two other times.

78F 11/7/1938
76F 11/20/1991

That 76F is still within reach.

77° in CON today. So it’s never been warmer than that after this date. Too bad the record for today is 78°. 

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