dmillz25 Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 23 minutes ago, LurkerBoy said: How long and how warm does the modeled moderation appear to be? Early snow + weeklong torch = ratter smell Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Looking mighty piggy mid month on the gefs. It has been leaning that way since yesterday....not a good look for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 This is getting ugly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 Apparently La Nina's with high ACE are favorable for winter (1995, 2010). ETA could eventually push the ACE past 160-165. Also November is not a winter month imo so it could torch all it wants if that means December is good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 Looks like we have some sort of squall incoming... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 Snow shovels to hats gloves, wind chills in the teens, to shorts and tees in a week. Nice stay warm until Thanksgiving is just fine 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 30 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Looking mighty piggy mid month on the gefs. We pig Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 7 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: Looks like we have some sort of squall incoming... Happy Birthday Rev Kev, hope a squall like this hits you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Happy Birthday Rev Kev, hope a squall like this hits you. Thanks. Had some flurries so first flakes in 48 yrs. Hopefully a few trees down from the 50+ gusts today as a gift before the furnace 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Thanks. Had some flurries so first flakes in 48 yrs. Hopefully a few trees down from the 50+ gusts today as a gift before the furnace Really wow, tip of the cap? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 Happy Birthday Kev! Hopefully a few of these tickling you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 I don't see a pig on the EPS. I see hints of a dateline ridge (into Bering Sea too), and a GOAK trough. If anything it's a bit Nino-like. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Happy Birthday Kev! Hopefully a few of these tickling you. Lol thanks. Weenies tickling the bum? We blow today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 18 hours ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Nice soaker over next 24hrs 0.77” 3” over last 6 days 6.67” since oct 1st Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 Happy Birthday Ditty. May the trees come on power lines all around you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 2, 2020 Author Share Posted November 2, 2020 nice torch next 2 weeks.. bugs might re-emerge.. end of November hopefully we start to transition to normal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 38°F, 0.66" for the event, Story will be the backside winds today and falling temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 1 hour ago, Spanks45 said: It has been leaning that way since yesterday....not a good look for sure Eps/weeklies will ‘save’ us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: We pig We don’t need a cold or snowy Novie but they (the paid experts) say the month has a decent correlation to winter so if we pig it later this month...we are in trouble. Until then...I’ll enjoy another month of golf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 How many days constitutes a pattern change cause the cool/early snow one apparently lasted <10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 10 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We don’t need a cold or snowy Novie but they (the paid experts) say the month has a decent correlation to winter so if we pig it later this month...we are in trouble. Until then...I’ll enjoy another month of golf. I don't know where you see a ULL over AK but ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I don't know where you see a ULL over AK but ok I know it goes against your big winter call but GOAK troughing is showing up. Could it be transient? sure... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I know it goes against your big winter call but GOAK troughing is showing up. Could it be transient? sure... You do realize that Nov 10 had troughing and winter didn't kick in full until Boxing day, but if your insinuating that I am making things up to justify a very LR forecast thats not very smart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 11 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: You do realize that Nov 10 had troughing and winter didn't kick in full until Boxing day, but if your insinuating that I am making things up to justify a very LR forecast thats not very smart. You said you don’t know where I am seeing piggyness so there you go. I don’t understand your initial point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: You said you don’t know where I am seeing piggyness so there you go. I don’t understand your initial point. You apparently don't understand the science and difference between a trough and semi permanent ULL steering currents. No surprise from anyone that it gets cold and snows in Alaska Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 00z GEFS looked transient with that. Back to more ridging into AK at the end of the run. I didn't see it that piggy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: You apparently don't understand the science and difference between a trough and semi permanent ULL steering currents. No surprise from anyone that it gets cold and snows in Alaska Looks pretty ULL to me there but it’s far out, relax. You apparently know the future so I’ll defer to you though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 You're always going to have periods of troughs up there. No where on this planet can you have the same exact pattern for months. That is climo up there...they get snow..lol. Even our most epic winters will have a trough up there at some point. What you do not want to see, is the continued redevelopment of troughing up there. You'll need a solid 3-4 weeks of data to see if that happens. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 Decent squall going on here. Quick coating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 KHFD gusted to 50 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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