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November 2020 Discussion


Bostonseminole
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  On 11/20/2020 at 3:10 PM, SouthCoastMA said:

You guys do this every year - Do yourselves a favor and stop worrying about the models til early December. It will save you a lot of frustration. (not directed toward the mets, but the winter weenies)

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It’s not the models.. it’s the global set up. It’s garbage. Good luck planning in a snowy winter 

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  On 11/20/2020 at 4:01 PM, ORH_wxman said:

He's playing the reverse psychology game pretty strongly this year. Hey, at least he's not setting himself up for disappointment I guess if it actually ends up as a total ratter.

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It's always safest to troll against a good winter. If you are right, you get to crow and pretend you know something. If you are wrong, everyone is too happy with the snow to bother remembering your dumb posts.

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  On 11/20/2020 at 4:05 PM, weathafella said:

Oh I know.  I want to make him give me some meteorology..lol.

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Today is the first day I've had a little cautious optimism for December since maybe 10+ days ago. We've seen this trend toward a more serviceable looking pattern for a couple days now....so hopefully that lends some credence to it not being a model blio or one-off.

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  On 11/20/2020 at 4:12 PM, ORH_wxman said:

Today is the first day I've had a little cautious optimism for December since maybe 10+ days ago. We've seen this trend toward a more serviceable looking pattern for a couple days now....so hopefully that lends some credence to it not being a model blio or one-off.

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That’s how I feel as well. 

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  On 11/20/2020 at 5:16 PM, Typhoon Tip said:

- random thought ... 

Maybe since 2015 ended ... we are in the 1980s - I mean, not as systemic analog, necessarily ...but in the synergistic sore-butt propensity and pure bad lucktitudeness

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I think we are....usually about every 30-40 yrs....

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  On 11/20/2020 at 8:14 PM, Allsnow said:

Just happy to see that pig moving away from Ak. Rolling forward (la la land range) I would think it should improve 

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Yeah I'm hoping it doesn't migrate back though. The weeklies yesterday had it planting over AK for pretty much all of December. Weeklies can obviously be wrong (they've had some brutal stretches this year, including back in January), but you'd like to see the ensembles continue the trend over the next week.

I'd like to see at least one transient ridge shoot up into Bering/AK just to get Canada reloaded. It's pretty torched. It could use a refresh. The PNA ridging would be a lot more effective with a fresh cold dump prior to it. But beggars can't be choosers I guess.

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  On 11/20/2020 at 10:19 PM, Snowstorms said:

That's the norm every winter in Toronto. :lol: Sun comes out maybe 30% of the time in DJF. 

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My 4 years in Ithaca NY were like that. Of course, it drives you mad after a while because it snows for like 2 weeks straight and you have about 3” on the ground to show for it. :lol:

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