Brian D Posted December 10, 2020 Author Share Posted December 10, 2020 On 11/24/2020 at 5:19 PM, cyclone77 said: I went ahead and made one for Christmas morning. Here's a Christmas a.m. forecast from the gov runs. Close call if that ends up right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted December 19, 2020 Author Share Posted December 19, 2020 On 10/20/2020 at 5:07 PM, Brian D said: Come Christmas Day, I'm expecting colder weather to arrive as a front from Christmas eve passes through. It looks like a re-enforcing front or a weak clipper/trough may follow behind, so looks mainly cloudy with snow shwers possible and LES. Here's my map for this holiday. Christmas models are looking a lot like this forecast I put out. A few days to go though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaryWarren Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 Damn dude, you nailed it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted December 22, 2020 Author Share Posted December 22, 2020 On 10/20/2020 at 5:07 PM, Brian D said: Come Christmas Day, I'm expecting colder weather to arrive as a front from Christmas eve passes through. It looks like a re-enforcing front or a weak clipper/trough may follow behind, so looks mainly cloudy with snow shwers possible and LES. Here's my map for this holiday. Ok, I was really close on this one. This map I made looks like Christmas Eve pm, but my text forecast is good for Christmas day with clds and snow showers and LES events for most everyone, along with the colder temps. One more holiday to go. Will I get that one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 ^ now do new years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted December 22, 2020 Author Share Posted December 22, 2020 On 10/20/2020 at 5:09 PM, Brian D said: And lastly, New Years day. Looks like a clipper front New years eve with high pressure building in on New Years. My map for this day. Here ya go Baum, I put this out at the same time as the other holidays. Although it being a clipper may not be the case. In taking a closer look, it could be a CO low moving NE through the Lakes. Either way, this is the set up I'm looking for, and it could be a good storm New Years Eve, exiting New Years Day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 ^ thanks. I'm sure a detailed snow accumulation graphic paints me in the 12"-18" swath. Always like these New Years Day flips to winter after a mild fall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 15 minutes ago, Baum said: ^ thanks. I'm sure a detailed snow accumulation graphic paints me in the 12"-18" swath. Always like these New Years Day flips to winter after a mild fall. Then everyone can immediately start calling 2021 a bad year because it snows two feet right on the 1st. Or, if it snows on NYE then we can call it 2020's last "f*ck you" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 On 10/20/2020 at 5:09 PM, Brian D said: And lastly, New Years day. Looks like a clipper front New years eve with high pressure building in on New Years. My map for this day. Lock it in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted December 31, 2020 Author Share Posted December 31, 2020 On 10/20/2020 at 5:09 PM, Brian D said: And lastly, New Years day. Looks like a clipper front New years eve with high pressure building in on New Years. My map for this day. Well, I was close on the map. I saw low pressure affecting the eastern/southern Lakes. The evolution to this day was off in my comments tho. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Time for MLK day and Valenties Day, Presidents Day, and St. Paddys day. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 3 hours ago, Baum said: Time for MLK day and Valenties Day, Presidents Day, and St. Paddys day. Thinking the SSW will muddy predictions for MLK/Val/Presidents' day, but effects should wane by early march. My in-development BS rule has had a good handle on this winter thus far and the waning effects of the SSW should allow a return to the expected progression by the time March rolls in. This is pretty iffy so far, but I drew a rough surface map of what we could expect for the St. Patrick's day period if my model is correct. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoboy645 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 17 minutes ago, hlcater said: Thinking the SSW will muddy predictions for MLK/Val/Presidents' day, but effects should wane by early march. My in-development BS rule has had a good handle on this winter thus far and the waning effects of the SSW should allow a return to the expected progression by the time March rolls in. This is pretty iffy so far, but I drew a rough surface map of what we could expect for the St. Patrick's day period if my model is correct. Ehh I don't know. Doesn't have random crapvection in Missouri and Kentucky to stop incoming moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 MLK Day....can someone draw a 982 over Indianapolis. Temps in Indy should be 52 degrees. Meanwhile in Chicago 24 degrees with Heavy Snow and blowing snow with 36 mph winds from the northeast. Minneapolis Sunny and -16 at 3pm. Draw it. Thanks in advance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted January 5, 2021 Author Share Posted January 5, 2021 Ok guys, Holiday forecasts 2021 is up now. Let's post there for the new year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEILwxbo Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 1 hour ago, Baum said: MLK Day....can someone draw a 982 over Indianapolis. Temps in Indy should be 52 degrees. Meanwhile in Chicago 24 degrees with Heavy Snow and blowing snow with 36 mph winds from the northeast. Minneapolis Sunny and -16 at 3pm. Draw it. Thanks in advance. Here ya go! Even complete with the 100% forecast confidence, 24”+, & 60mph gusts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Much appreciated! Ride it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 1 hour ago, Baum said: It's not a 982, but it will work. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 ^ yet. Has to get in NAM range for that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 GFS out to lunch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted January 9, 2021 Author Share Posted January 9, 2021 5 hours ago, Baum said: GFS out to lunch. My forecast in the holiday 2021 thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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