WxUSAF Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 lol GGEM with freezing temps in the Everglades on the morning of the 3rd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: lol GGEM with freezing temps in the Everglades on the morning of the 3rd. h5 at hour 240 is a neat look. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 20 minutes ago, CAPE said: h5 at hour 240 is a neat look. Nearly all the CONUS below normal with Canada melting. Swing that eastern trough to an east-west orientation under that block and then bring through that low out west and BOOM! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 I don’t post in the LR thread because I have no idea about what I am talking about, but this is...something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 Yeah, I don’t know if that SST pattern is unprecedented, but it’s pretty strange and unusual at least. I know DT was keying on that to think eastern US snowfall could be AN. Saw the CFS winter MJO forecast on Twitter this morning and it shows the MJO waves staying more in the Indian Ocean, which would be mostly favorable for us (phase 1-2). Maritime continent is the torch zone for us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 A little snow for Eastern VA up to coastal NJ. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 WB EURO Day 9. Seems like middle of next week needs to be watched. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 9 minutes ago, CAPE said: A little snow for Eastern VA up to coastal NJ. Eastern NC gets bullseyed. Just need a north trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 Just now, jaydreb said: Eastern NC gets bullseyed. Just need a north trend. Yeah a solid 4"+ for Greenville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 4 minutes ago, CAPE said: Yeah a solid 4"+ for Greenville. It’s right where we want it at this time frame. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 5 minutes ago, Scraff said: It’s right where we want it at this time frame. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 WB 12Z EPS...not a strong signal yet through mid next week, but there is time.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 D7-9 EPS evolution isn’t one I’d ever turn my nose up at for a week+ prog. Cold air slides in ahead of the storm, but it’s close. Air mass ahead of that is hot garbage so need that northern stream low to get the cold air in. This was a big shift in the euro and EPS from yesterday which had a GGEM-like solution. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40westwx Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 8 hours ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I don’t know sh*t from apple butter but that looks very appealing to me. Post of the day!!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 I don't guys none of this looks legit to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 4 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: I don't guys none of this looks legit to me. Modeled simulations of the atmosphere aren't totally real? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 I need my snow fix. Let's go with 6" to 10" cold powder that starts just before sunrise Christmas and ends right at sun down with a nice sunset. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 As we exit November and head into early December. I like ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 As expected the weeklies have some major changes. ( for the better ) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 2017 is the last December where it actually snowed here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 That wobbling loop de loop closed low with 2 different phases on the GFS is different. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 Just now, CAPE said: That wobbling loop de loop closed low with 2 different phases on the GFS is different. Surely we can expect an operational run of the model to get that right 2 weeks out too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 Just now, nj2va said: Surely we can expect an operational run of the model to get that right 2 weeks out too. It's super impressive to look at h5 but for all its gyrations, it really never does much at the surface lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 1 minute ago, nj2va said: Surely we can expect an operational run of the model to get that right 2 weeks out too. Good point. I’m not sure how the op GFS or any model does with closed lows. Both the GFS and Euro had a closed low for the longest time for T-day in many locations in the east...until it didn’t just about 4 days ago. At least we are tracking something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 11 minutes ago, CAPE said: It's super impressive to look at h5 but for all its gyrations, it really never does much at the surface lol. I know, it was pretty boring when it came to actual precip depiction. To Bristow’s point, fun to at least ‘track’ something even if its a more conducive pattern that may not translate into anything outside the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 2 hours ago, CAPE said: It's super impressive to look at h5 but for all its gyrations, it really never does much at the surface lol. No way for it to tap the gulf. The one thing I like seeing is all of the blocking modelled up north. Hopefully that comes true. Blocking that severe is a pretty stable pattern. Although as modelled I would be worried about suppression. But I am always worried about something when it comes to snow around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 All this discussion is for December but its in the November thread lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts