StormfanaticInd Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 hour ago, Gino27 said: Like @StormfanaticInd said, I'll gladly take this. A a few more ticks west and this ain't bad at all. I feel like the models might be under doing the moisture a little bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Hmmmm..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 the 24/25 window really isn't looking that promising, still time for improvement but looking like 2021 here we come 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Looks like I'll be good for a turd duster if it doesn't melt on contact with marginal temps. EDIT: I'm talking about Wednesday, not Alek's DAB on the 24th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 hour ago, StormfanaticInd said: I feel like the models might be under doing the moisture a little bit Possibly yeah. Will probably depend on what radar shows the day of honestly. I will have to deal with pretty rough temps and mixing with rain unfortunately. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 This is starting to get interesting 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, StormfanaticInd said: This is starting to get interesting Reminds me of a surprise 4-5 inches I got ahead of a big NE storm in 2018. High res models were the only ones to pick it up and not until about 36 hours out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 14, 2020 Author Share Posted December 14, 2020 6 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: This is starting to get interesting Enjoy it while it lasts. It melts a few days later. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, Hoosier said: Enjoy it while it lasts. It melts a few days later. That's NOT the spirit! lol. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 14, 2020 Author Share Posted December 14, 2020 11 minutes ago, Frog Town said: That's NOT the spirit! lol. You're a mean one, Hoosier grinch. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Well I'll be damned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 the 24/25 window really isn't looking that promising, still time for improvement but looking like 2021 here we comeYep it's thread the needle but since literally the only threat in the extended, gonna stay interested. Also, a white Christmas would be a bonus with how depressing it is around here otherwise in December, especially this year. 12z EPS looks a bit better than previous 12z and 00z runs and starting to see an uptick in 24 probs of accumulating snow, owing to increased member support. The GEM and GFS in that timeframe show how we can easily get hosed if northern stream is dominant and too progressive. It's safer to bet that the pieces won't come together. On a positive closing note for the possible setup, the antecedent air mass will probably be bad like this weekend, but the incoming air mass looks to be legitimately cold. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Christmas week has potential Thanks for posting those, never got around to it yesterday. 12z run today looks better than yesterday anyway. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Yes, it's the name, but re-he-he-heally for the lower lakes?!?! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, Frog Town said: Yes, it's the name, but re-he-he-heally for the lower lakes?!?! Sorry ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ ... I still don't like the way it has that gap between western and eastern ohio. Keeps looking better on vort and euro had a similar look. Might be a sneaky good system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 12 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: Boston is wayyy better than NYC. A big dog is always better than anything else, there's no denying that. the very paltry snow amounts in between is why the east coast for a winter lover would suck from NYC south. Thats my take. Bostons run from late Jan to late Feb 2015 was unlike anything, even in a snowbelt. even that far north on the coast isn't all fun though...theyve also had 4 winters the last 20 years with 17" or less total snowfall. The past 2 winters COMBINED in Boston come out to an inch less than the yearly average, thats why you have New England meltdowns. every weenie regardless the climate is very "what have you done for me lately". This is some impressive stuff right here... Avg snowfall Detroit 1900-1999: 39.1" 2000-2020: 47.1" Chicago 1900-1999: 36.6" 2000-2020: 39.9" New York City 1900-1999: 26.3" 2000-2020: 31.6" Boston 1900-1999: 41.0" 2000-2020: 47.9" To add to what you said. Big Dog's just aren't frequent in our area because of our geographic location. With the Atlantic running exceptionally warm over the last 10-20 years, the average clipper usually blows up to a full blown Nor'easter and slams the NE including Boston. New England meltdowns are hilarious. Even a 40" winter wouldn't satisfy their appetite. . But great points. I always appreciate your in-depth analysis and posts. I could tell you're a hardcore stats guy so I try not to challenge you on anything stat wise. Detroit and Boston have definitely seen a sizeable increase in snowfall over the last 20 years compared to other cities. But 20 years is a very small sample size. The averages, atleast for us, are bolstered by exceptionally snowy winters like 2002-03, 2004-05, 2007-08, 2008-09, 2013-14, etc. Would be nice to experience storms like the Blizzard of 99 every 2-3 years. Is that too much to ask for? We need a Christmas miracle. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 15, 2020 Author Share Posted December 15, 2020 53 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: Even throws a weenie amount of snow up here. Ha This is solidly in the shorter range now so let's discuss it in the December thread... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Wake me up in January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Well hellloooo there! Santa is paving the way....for cold at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Horrible look 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 I'm getting concerned about the sun angle once we do get some snow in February. Sidenote: if there was ever a time to ride the Bastardi "rubberband theory" it is now....summary; the weather will only pull so far in one direction for so long (warm/dry) before the band has to snap back even farther in the other direction(cold/wet)...not sure this applies in today's modern world of climate change where places like Chicago could become the Mojave desert in time. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 3 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: Horrible look Bah Humbug! It's a cold sign at least. Polar Vortex is definitely looking janky! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 i'm not into CAD 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, A-L-E-K said: i'm not into CAD Yes, I understand, but it's a needed variable to what we are into. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 3 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: Dude! How did you know my family is watching this tonight for Pizza Movie Night! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 tis the season but pizza movie night is friday 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 46 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: tis the season but pizza movie night is friday Had to swap out Taco Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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