cutlew Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 25 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: Tonight's Euro.... -14º at noon Monday here in Iowa. And locks that cold in place, verbatim keeps a good portion of the region subzero for 60-84 hours straight 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 The GFS v16 snaps back by the end of the run to 50's and 60's across IL, IN, & OH. Hopefully the brutal cold will not be sustained. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 9 hours ago, hawkeye_wx said: Tonight's Euro.... -14º at noon Monday here in Iowa. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McHenrySnow Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 2 hours ago, KokomoWX said: The GFS v16 snaps back by the end of the run to 50's and 60's across IL, IN, & OH. Hopefully the brutal cold will not be sustained. Yes, who doesn't prefer 50s and 60s in February in a thread composed largely of snowlovers? lol 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 GFS continues to show very cold air for about a week starting on Friday, with the brunt of the coldest air in the Sun-Tue timeframe. After next week most long range models show the core of the coldest air shifting slightly NW to the Northern Plains, but it will still easily reach this region on the backside of any trough. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 NAO going slightly positive for a spell soon before plunging back down to slightly negative over the next week. PNA is heading neutral over the next few weeks. AO remains rather negative for the foreseeable future. The MJO looks to remain mainly in Phase 6 over the next few weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 NAO going slightly positive for a spell soon before plunging back down to slightly negative over the next week. PNA is heading neutral over the next few weeks. AO remains rather negative for the foreseeable future. The MJO looks to remain mainly in Phase 6 over the next few weeks.enlighten us on what this all means.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Euro in agreement with cold starting Friday after the EOW system with the core of the coldest temps on Sunday thru Tuesday with some slight moderation after that. Some relevant record mins and low maxes for the period at MSN 5 -21 1936 -8 1895 6 -19 1977 -5 1875 7 -21 1875 -2 1893 8 -22 1899 -7 1875 9 -28 1899 -15 1899 10 -25 1899 -5 1899 11 -22 1885 -6 1899 Notable that all those 1899 dates are during the great Arctic outbreak where ice floes came out of the mouth of the Mississippi and New Orleans got down to their all time record of 6. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 49 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: enlighten us on what this all means. . Showing off his graph interpeting skillz. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 25 minutes ago, madwx said: Notable that all those 1899 dates are during the great Arctic outbreak where ice floes came out of the mouth of the Mississippi and New Orleans got down to their all time record of 6. lol what 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 9 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: lol what it was cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said: lol what was wild 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 This could delay the start of spring yet again . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Not going to see many crazier -NAO blocks than this on the 00z Euro at 168. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 quad cities rake this morning: "SOME PASSING THOUGHTS ON THIS... THIS IS REAL WINTER WEATHER. WIND WILL BRING MOVING SNOW, AND HEADLINED WIND CHILLS DAILY. RIVER WILL RAPIDLY FORM THICK ICE, AND THAT'S BEEN SLOW TO HAPPEN THIS WINTER. WE ALREADY HAVE DEEP LOCAL SNOW PACK EXCEPT THE FAR SOUTH, AND WITH LIGHT SNOW ALMOST A GUARANTEE IN ANY ARCTIC PATTERN, I HAVE HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT THE SECOND WEEK OF FEBRUARY WILL BE THE COLDEST OF THE WINTER SEASON. " 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 5 hours ago, andyhb said: Not going to see many crazier -NAO blocks than this on the 00z Euro at 168. lol @ the arctic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Next weeks weather geek promotion 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 We could be in for quite the stretch of winter weather folks. Might even be one for the books Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownado Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 12 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: We could be in for quite the stretch of winter weather folks. Might even be one for the books 6 straight days of Temps below 15 is impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 2 hours ago, StormfanaticInd said: We could be in for quite the stretch of winter weather folks. Might even be one for the books hype. But I'm not against being wrong. per quad cities AFD:"EITHER WAY, THIS A REAL WINTER PATTERN, THAT WILL HAVE DAILY IMPACTS TO LIFE. " Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 looks locked for prolonged deep cold, nothing too wild but def legit and more than a day 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 Those that were wanting the clipper train may get what they wanted, from the look of the upcoming pattern on 0z guidance.Only thing is it wouldn’t be clippers of Alberta/Saskatchewan/Manitoba origin...But instead of PAC NW origin, due to positioning of the PV lobe.. 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 clipper trains are zzzzz unless you already have 1'+ otg which we do so bring it 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 Clipper trains are always fun. Outside of December 2017 they have been missing in action lately. The irony is back in the 90s when we received far less snow than we have the past 2 decades, clippers always seemed to be a sure bet. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 Looking at recent trends, these could be some pretty meaty systems that swing through next week if we get lucky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 2 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: Looking at recent trends, these could be some pretty meaty systems that swing through next week if we get lucky + 20" pack incoming. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 6 minutes ago, Baum said: + 20" pack incoming. For real. If we can get some fluffalicious clippers, even one or two of the 4-5+ variety, this will be a great time 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 Aside from the extreme NAO block, the pattern this weekend through next week is the closest looking to 2014 that we've had since 2014. The initial ridge spike dislodges the PV lobe which then gets trapped underneath the block. Whereas in 2014 there were constant reloads of the EPO ridging that brought down PV lobes. Either way, it gets to a fairly similar look in the CONUS, with a strong polar jet directed right into the subforum and a train of Pac hybrid shortwaves. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 As I mentioned to Ricky off the board, decent shot ORD is around 50” for the season in mid Feb, if things work out correctly.. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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