madwx Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 The end of January and first week of February 2019 was a good clipper train 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 That new gfs model is garbage in the long range. Doesn't make any sense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 8:50 PM, madwx said: The end of January and first week of February 2019 was a good clipper train Expand I remember the thread for those. Also wasn't what he described basically all of Jan-Feb 2014? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 7:56 PM, Baum said: Will we ever have another 7-10 day clipper train period? And don't say that NW flow set up we had with 2-3 waves of 1/2" snowfalls in 35 degree temps was it. It was not. I'm talking an energetic wave train with arctic air in place that puts down 3-4' on 0.15 of QPF in the heart of winter with a solid snowpack already in place every 36 hours or so,They happen, they just never seem to jackpot us, we usually end up missing north or south. Winter 2017-18 had stretches like that, Detroit area back to Wisconsin benefitted from the December round. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 7:29 PM, andyhb said: That trough/pattern in late March/April for lack of a better term... yikes. Expand I'll take a last 3/28 do-over without the early crudvection...and without the "Safer at Home" order issued like 3 days earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 7:29 PM, andyhb said: That trough/pattern in late March/April for lack of a better term... yikes. Hopefully a harbinger of things to come in the spring. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 On 1/28/2021 at 1:57 AM, RCNYILWX said: They happen, they just never seem to jackpot us, we usually end up missing north or south. Winter 2017-18 had stretches like that, Detroit area back to Wisconsin benefitted from the December round. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Expand That is what made December 2017 a great month but it was pretty localized to the area you mentioned. Snowfall that month was 22.5" in Detroit and 5.3" in Chicago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 On 1/28/2021 at 2:34 AM, RCNYILWX said: Hopefully a harbinger of things to come in the spring. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Expand If this trough pattern sets up now, how long would it usually last? Wouldn't it break down by the time of spring svr season? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 FWIW, GFS (Pivotal) has most of WI getting 15" - 20" through 240 hours (depending on whether you use 10:1 or Kuchera). Euro only has 10:1 on the free version but it has 8"-9" with the exception of an inexplicable N-S screw zone from about Marengo, IL to Lake Winnebago. I think it's safe to say that, all-important details aside, the zzzzzzzzzz pattern is over for most of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 the 00Z GFS and 00Z CMC are almost 180 each other at 240 hours Canadian has a strong trough out west (988 low over Vegas) and what looks like a strong system getting ready to move east GFS has a cold air dump east USA and and high pressure out west(1018mb at Las vegas same time ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Gfs is stupid cold in the long range. Hopefully this doesn't come anywhere close to verifying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 On 1/28/2021 at 5:04 AM, StormfanaticInd said: Gfs is stupid cold in the long range. Hopefully this doesn't come anywhere close to verifying Expand Hopefully it does. FWIW there does seem to be consensus, if there can be at this range, of finally a real winter airmass settling in for a bit after this coming weekend. That GFS is 2015 brutal in its extended playland. That cold air is something we've been lacking the last couple winters and this year. We get some of our best snows on either side of a deep arctic airmass down here in central IN. Also opens the door for the unheard of lately clippers. Gotta pay to play 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 On 1/28/2021 at 5:35 AM, Jackstraw said: Hopefully it does. FWIW there does seem to be consensus, if there can be at this range, of finally a real winter airmass settling in for a bit after this coming weekend. That GFS is 2015 brutal in its extended playland. That cold air is something we've been lacking the last couple winters and this year. We get some of our best snows on either side of a deep arctic airmass down here in central IN. Also opens the door for the unheard of lately clippers. Gotta pay to play Expand The timing would fit the ssw we had in early January at about six weeks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MNstorms Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 On 1/22/2021 at 12:03 AM, Hoosier said: Anyone think this will verify? Expand The amazing thing is the GFS has picked this system up from the start and hasn't stopped. I don't know if I've seen that before. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Bring it...what can go wrong with an op and non-v16 GFS prog 11 days away?? 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaryWarren Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 ****ing gross. Hard pass. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Severe cold is on the table folks 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 The op Euro's pattern (last couple runs at least) looks interesting at day 10. It has a reloading trough in the west, arctic air pouring into the northern CONUS, and gulf moisture beginning to return. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 yeah extended looks volatile 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 On 1/28/2021 at 7:45 PM, A-L-E-K said: yeah extended looks volatile Expand Cary call going to be doubled by February 15. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 On 1/28/2021 at 7:48 PM, Baum said: Cary call going to be doubled by February 15. Expand Reverse psychology. You should be thanking me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 28, 2021 Author Share Posted January 28, 2021 Let it go guys. Good rule is to not bump old posts that you know will cause a fight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 On 1/28/2021 at 9:37 PM, Hoosier said: Let it go guys. Good rule is to not bump old posts that you know will cause a fight. Expand No problem here. I never get too emotional over weather or weather posts. Gordon Gekko taught me that in Wall St.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Pattern looks prime in the long range (next weekend and beyond) for the central and western subforum. Definitely February 2019 vibes but with a -AO/-NAO. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McHenrySnow Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 On 1/28/2021 at 10:08 PM, RCNYILWX said: Pattern looks prime in the long range (next weekend and beyond) for the central and western subforum. Definitely February 2019 vibes but with a -AO/-NAO. Expand Let's hope that block saves us, because February 2019 was painful here. Storm after storm going right overhead. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 paraGFS really wants to hit us with the vortex, it has the hot hand so it's probably coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 On 1/29/2021 at 5:38 PM, A-L-E-K said: paraGFS really wants to hit us with the vortex, it has the hot hand so it's probably coming Expand I'll pass 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Luftfeuchtigkeit Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Polar vortex is headed south: https://climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/sudden-stratospheric-warming-and-polar-vortex-early-2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownado Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 On 1/29/2021 at 9:46 PM, Luftfeuchtigkeit said: Polar vortex is headed south: https://climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/sudden-stratospheric-warming-and-polar-vortex-early-2021 Expand Well apparently it wont have much impact on February since TWC is predicting a very warm February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/28/2021 at 11:41 PM, McHenrySnow said: Let's hope that block saves us, because February 2019 was painful here. Storm after storm going right overhead. Expand I can skip any repeat of the February 2019 ice-mageddon. Did a number on my poor trees. Just give me snow damnit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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