StormfanaticInd Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 The models are really struggling with this -nao pattern 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 12z Euro: Around end of January on the 12z Euro: 18z GFS: Pretty much a torch beyond Day 10. 6-10 day outlook heading into February: Not as much of a torch on the 8-14 day outlook, though: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Lol Hoosier please 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 50 minutes ago, mimillman said: Lol Hoosier please I get posting a noteworthy map, but this guy may as well be a hosting site 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIstorm97 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 1 hour ago, SchaumburgStormer said: I get posting a noteworthy map, but this guy may as well be a hosting site Cancelling my pivotal plus and wxbell (lol) subscriptions right now 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoboy645 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 40 minutes ago, MIstorm97 said: Cancelling my pivotal plus and wxbell (lol) subscriptions right now What about Bamwx. They seem like a reputable site. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 It pains me to say this, but the next possibly noteworthy system, around 150 hours out, has caught my attention. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 59 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: It pains me to say this, but the next possibly noteworthy system, around 150 hours out, has caught my attention. Right before a minitorch to end January and again on day 10, with a nickel-and-dime system in between to kick off February. Meanwhile, the 00z GFS is a shutout for a majority of IL, IN, and OH. Heading to February, the MJO is supposed to fluctuate between phases 6 and 7 before eventually settling into the latter phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 12 minutes ago, Spartman said: Right before a minitorch to end January and again on day 10, with a nickel-and-dime system in between to kick off February. Meanwhile, the 00z GFS is a shutout for a majority of IL, IN, and OH. Heading to February, the MJO is supposed to fluctuate between phases 6 and 7 before eventually settling into the latter phase. Ty I was waiting for these. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 The shutout continues on the 06z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 40 minutes ago, Spartman said: The shutout continues on the 06z GFS. Can you post the DGEX please? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIstorm97 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 6 minutes ago, mimillman said: Can you post the DGEX please? I hope to see the Brazilian and Korean models myself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 9 hours ago, Malacka11 said: It pains me to say this, but the next possibly noteworthy system, around 150 hours out, has caught my attention. euro and ggem were good, gfs moving towards something weekend potential might be real EDIT: i've definitely slept on this concentrating on current event, looks good 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 10 hours ago, Malacka11 said: It pains me to say this, but the next possibly noteworthy system, around 150 hours out, has caught my attention. I agree. It's interesting to say the least. Only thing I’m concerned about is the progressive flow. The northern stream doesn’t really dig further south and like our current storm, it’s all southern stream. Nonetheless, it could be a decent overrunning event with some STJ influence too. We’ll know more as the week progresses and when it’s sampled come Thursday night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 31 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: euro and ggem were good, gfs moving towards something weekend potential might be real EDIT: i've definitely slept on this concentrating on current event, looks good 12z Canadian model says eh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 2 minutes ago, janetjanet998 said: 12z Canadian model says eh Wym? It's at least a moderate system, drops like nine inches in central IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Looks like a rainer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 55 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: Wym? It's at least a moderate system, drops like nine inches in central IL. not meh but "eh".... like a Canadian was speaking The outliner so far but others trending to something more interesting too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, janetjanet998 said: not meh but "eh".... like a Canadian was speaking The outliner so far but others trending to something more interesting too wut? The Euro has had a solid event too, along with many EPS. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 1 minute ago, Chicago Storm said: wut? The Euro has had a solid event too, along with many EPS. and para GFS, plenty of support now snowpack probably won't hurt either 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 @StormfanaticInd + other Indy posters death band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 If nothing else, this looks like it could be another fun one that trends drier 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 1 minute ago, mimillman said: If nothing else, this looks like it could be another fun one that trends drier Another wave that will peak west, and then shear/weaken as it pushes east...And that is actually due in part to the northern lobe in Canada for the current event, which ends up off the East Coast for the weekend event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 5 minutes ago, mimillman said: If nothing else, this looks like it could be another fun one that trends drier From zzzz... to tracking weakening systems. Baby steps 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 10 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Another wave that will peak west, and then shear/weaken as it pushes east...And that is actually due in part to the northern lobe in Canada for the current event, which ends up off the East Coast for the weekend event. Can certainly see that on the euro at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 There's significant system in the long range (~252) with a fairly decent amount of deterministic and ensemble support. Powerhouse longwave trough traverses the country during the period and assuming a neg tilt/quality ejection from the 4 corners, could lead to a significant system for someone somewhere in the midwest. Meanwhile in the warm sector, assuming moisture, the general look aloft is analogous to significant severe weather outbreaks in the lower OV and Dixie. One of the better GEFS analogs upstairs is 2/5/2008..... 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 It certainly does not look to become boring at all around here following the current storm. While I want my yard to get clobbered, it'd also be nice if areas farther into the lakes could get something good. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Maybe the Saturday-Sunday system can get Des Moines up over 50" lol. When you're hot you're hawt. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 1 hour ago, hlcater said: There's significant system in the long range (~252) with a fairly decent amount of deterministic and ensemble support. Powerhouse longwave trough traverses the country during the period and assuming a neg tilt/quality ejection from the 4 corners, could lead to a significant system for someone somewhere in the midwest. Meanwhile in the warm sector, assuming moisture, the general look aloft is analogous to significant severe weather outbreaks in the lower OV and Dixie. One of the better GEFS analogs upstairs is 2/5/2008..... This ain't 2008 or 2011...weather just doesn't do cool **** in the midsection of the country anymore, whether winter or severe, even with a La Nina. * Unless it's a historic derecho that just happens without any sort of lead time from the models and thus from the forecasting enterprise. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 41 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: Maybe the Saturday-Sunday system can get Des Moines up over 50" lol. When you're hot you're hawt. that's like the easiest rule in med-long range wx lately, ride the hot hand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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