Baum Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 12Z GFS operational not what I wanted to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 nope, good thing it's the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 GFS still not playing ball with the advection snow on Saturday night-Sunday. Interesting it has a strong enough LLJ with such a weak sauce surface low/trough to keep everything farther north and cause mixing down here. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 On 1/20/2021 at 4:10 PM, RCNYILWX said: GFS still not playing ball with the advection snow on Saturday night-Sunday. Interesting it has a strong enough LLJ with such a weak sauce surface low/trough to keep everything farther north and cause mixing down here. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Expand Doesn't seem right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 shame the GFS is good and the Euro is bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 On 1/20/2021 at 4:11 PM, mimillman said: Doesn't seem rightI don't want to rule out us mixing at any point in that WAA regime. The setup looks rather similar to the late December event with better cold air available leading in. Coming so closely on the heels of departure of cold dry high pressure, we should snow decently down here. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 On 1/20/2021 at 4:12 PM, A-L-E-K said: shame the GFS is good and the Euro is badThe Euro would like a word with you based off its far better performance with last night's clipper. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 On 1/20/2021 at 2:25 PM, mimillman said: I can't even remember what happened with that event I'm so jaded/exhausted from disappointment Expand MKX issued Winter Storm Watches and within 6 hours the models had half of the area getting no snow at all. The NAM went from about 13" to 2" in 2 model runs. Fun times 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 On 1/20/2021 at 4:12 PM, A-L-E-K said: shame the GFS is good and the Euro is bad Expand GFS is garbage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 20, 2021 Author Share Posted January 20, 2021 On 1/20/2021 at 3:31 PM, RCNYILWX said: 06Z EPS Upper Midwest zoom individual members. Some good hits locally, some clunkers. Obviously would like to see the number of good hits on the members increase along with favorable trends in the operational models for the 12z cycle. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Expand Would like to see more members bullseyeing the LOT I-80 corridor in IL and IN. Not that many of those on that run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 GEM coming in hot for Sunday night into Monday. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 Is this supposed to be one elongated system or several low pressures? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 On 1/20/2021 at 4:48 PM, michsnowfreak said: Is this supposed to be one elongated system or several low pressures?There's the warm advection phase Saturday into Sunday and then main wave comes out Sunday night-Monday night. Problem is the GFS is suppression city for the main wave. 12z GEM solution is a good hit for many north of US-24. Edit: 12z UKMET is suppressed with the main wave but not to the extent of the GFS. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 Lock it in 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 20, 2021 Author Share Posted January 20, 2021 On 1/20/2021 at 5:06 PM, mimillman said: Lock it in Expand Ha. Will believe it when I see it. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 On 1/20/2021 at 5:16 PM, Hoosier said: Ha. Will believe it when I see it.I wasn't going to post the pivotal Midwest snow map for the GEM but here it is. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pascy619 Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 Not getting excited over anything until we are 24 hours from kickoff. Been let down way too many times this winter thus far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McHenrySnow Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 On 1/20/2021 at 5:23 PM, WI_SNOWSTORM said: Not getting excited over anything until we are 24 hours from kickoff. Been let down way too many times this winter thus far. Expand 24 hours? I'll get excited after it's started! lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pascy619 Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 On 1/20/2021 at 5:24 PM, McHenrySnow said: 24 hours? I'll get excited after it's started! lol Expand lol Maybe that is the better call! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2021/01/19/polar-vortex-winter-snow/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 Euro looks canadianish, actually stronger and further north. Gonna be a good run. Des moines snow magnet on and in full force this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 On 1/20/2021 at 5:01 PM, RCNYILWX said: There's the warm advection phase Saturday into Sunday and then main wave comes out Sunday night-Monday night. Problem is the GFS is suppression city for the main wave. 12z GEM solution is a good hit for many north of US-24. Edit: 12z UKMET is suppressed with the main wave but not to the extent of the GFS. Expand Euro looks like it wants to play ball too. Should be a good N IL hit this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 12z Euro about to be a mega dog.. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 20, 2021 Author Share Posted January 20, 2021 Euro looks like it will be quite significant. Maybe north of Canadian. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 20, 2021 Author Share Posted January 20, 2021 Simultaneous posting is the best. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 12z EURO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 bingo 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 WE TAKE Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 20, 2021 Author Share Posted January 20, 2021 On 1/20/2021 at 6:26 PM, ILSNOW said: 12z EURO Expand We haven't seen that look at all in the past few years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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