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Winter 2020-21 Medium/Long Range Discussion


Hoosier
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  On 12/17/2020 at 8:18 PM, michsnowfreak said:

do you have a list of modoki ninas? I'm unfamiliar with which years. its mid December rogue, its not staying quiet for the entire winter.

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It hasn't been too quiet for SEMI but it's like a whole different world west of there. Ofc, we just had a nice storm with decent track but lacked cold so we got a nice December soaker. We will need cold or that will wash, rinse, repeat. My concerns about the Nina is broken-down here in these two graphics which shows it leaning warm:

 

Modoki Nina image-1.PNG

Modoki Nina image-2.PNG

 

As for a list of Modoki vs traditional it may be in here somewhere if you look closely at the analog table:

https://weatherhistorian.blogspot.com/

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  On 12/18/2020 at 2:53 PM, SchaumburgStormer said:

All these doom and gloom posts, someone give me some hope!

 

 

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the mid week period isn't a total loss yet and still holds potential if things in the pacific trend in our favor

energy in question is still days away from the west coast and the environment out there doesn't give me much confidence 

 

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  On 12/18/2020 at 5:34 AM, RCNYILWX said:

Just one run but the 00z GFS is interesting for December 23rd. Shades of January 29, 2008 with a sharp Arctic front and rain to 1-3" of snow, wind, and a flash freeze. Would sign up for that.

Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
 

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So sad that this is what it's come to

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  On 12/18/2020 at 6:14 PM, Hoosier said:

A chilly Christmas looks pretty well locked at this point.  Hopefully we can lay down a little snow, but even if so, it doesn't save the crap month around here.  Kinda like losing and hitting a 3 at the buzzer to lose by less.  

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Yep, mop up time and then move on to January.

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