A-L-E-K Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 15, 2020 Author Share Posted December 15, 2020 lol, perfect gif The Gulf is cut off prior to that with not a lot of time for return flow, so that depiction sort of makes sense. It does become more of a precip maker along the front after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 it's a brutal CAD run, at least it looks transient with the pac taking over again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Over/under on when ORD hits 15" on the season. Will guess Feb.15th 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Freakin' summer time low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 15, 2020 Author Share Posted December 15, 2020 8 minutes ago, Cary67 said: Over/under on when ORD hits 15" on the season. Will guess Feb.15th I'll say before February 15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, Hoosier said: I'll say before February 15. Before the 25th of December Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 15, 2020 Author Share Posted December 15, 2020 3 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: Before the 25th of December In an alternate universe. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Not gonna pretend that I'm optimistic for next week. It looks as usual too progressive on the operational modeling in that timeframe. The trend on the EPS last 2 runs to become much more northern stream dominant, which was the more likely outcome anyway, really diminishes the chances for anything to work out for us out here. All I can say is that it's far enough out for changes to occur from the current look. The cold looks like it'll be legit not very modified Arctic air, so all we can do at this point is hope that somehow we can get some snow down for what looks like it could be a very cold Christmas period. CAD for Christmas would certainly be a nice cherry on top of 2020 lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 . 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
josh_4184 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Dont post much but GFS trolling Santa hard 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 GHD style phase on that GFS run.... 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 I know we're all gonna piss and shit ourselves over any chance of a storm, especially for Christmas; and honestly even if it doesn't come to fruition I'd be glad to have something to watch for the next few days. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 I know we're all gonna piss and shit ourselves over any chance of a storm, especially for Christmas; and honestly even if it doesn't come to fruition I'd be glad to have something to watch for the next few days. probably won’t even make it to the next run.. 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 12 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: GHD style phase on that GFS run... . Well about every 10 years or so something should phase 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wegoweather Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 9 hours ago, Malacka11 said: Before the 25th of December 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 16, 2020 Author Share Posted December 16, 2020 What could possibly go wrong 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 The ingredients are there for a winter storm somewhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Nao is persistently negative. So we have that going for us. -EPO?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Gotta extra big stocking hanging that'll take a 30lb bag of Kingsford cause I'm sure by just saying "Lock It In" Santa is gonna fill it up for me believing in fantasy 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 This Christmas has potential to be very cold 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 23 minutes ago, Jackstraw said: Gotta extra big stocking hanging that'll take a 30lb bag of Kingsford cause I'm sure by just saying "Lock It In" Santa is gonna fill it up for me believing in fantasy would fill-in some blanks for the "have nots" of SWMI 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaryWarren Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 barffffffff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 hours ago, RogueWaves said: would fill-in some blanks for the "have nots" of SWMI Lake Michigan Special right there! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 it's only a matter of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 6 hours ago, Chicago Storm said: probably won’t even make it to the next run. . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 a winter of trying to time long range cutoffs into unlikely phases is already getting old 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 I’m driving to Colorado on Xmas eve so you can probably lock in a Minneapolis special between then and January 3rd. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 On 12/2/2020 at 12:01 PM, Snowstorms said: Without diving into too much detail, both the GEFS and EPS offer some hope after Dec 10th. The current +PNA retrogrades into the EPO region and that offers up our first legitimate cold shot of the season ~Dec 12-14. Would likely feature a rainer around that time frame before things settle into a wintrier pattern thereafter. Eventually due to the background Nina forcing, the ridge makes its way towards the Aleutians/AK which cools most of Canada down as the PV sits overtop. In other words, the current Nino like pattern eventually gives way to a more typical Nina like December around mid-month. There is also increasing chances for Arctic blocking around mid-December as well. I’d say our first winter storm will be ~Dec 15 to Dec 20. Was close. Winter storm was too far east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 10 hours ago, Jackstraw said: Gotta extra big stocking hanging that'll take a 30lb bag of Kingsford cause I'm sure by just saying "Lock It In" Santa is gonna fill it up for me believing in fantasy Though last night's 00z GFS run hinted a Grinch storm around Christmas Eve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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