stormdragonwx Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Officially contributed my report to NWS as of 1:45 am we finally broke 4" inches and it's 3 degrees above zero and dropping over here in the Fayetteville area. Snow winding down now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Well looks like it is over now minus the snow flurries. That last piece of energy? dropped a few more inches, got about 4-4.5" out there. Meh not bad, could have been better but its still a beautiful cold fluffy snow. Winds really aren't that bad either yet. Heres to hoping for tuesday nights storm!!! At least the silly snow drought is over after 7 years lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormdragonwx Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 A new Winter Storm Watch already issued for the Tues-Weds system. https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=tsa&wwa=winter storm watch "For the Winter Storm Watch, heavy snow possible Tuesday night through Wednesday night, with additional snow accumulations of 4 to 10 inches possible." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westhope84 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Does anyone know how many times (if any!) it has snowed when below zero in our area? This is so surreal. Some all-time record lows in play tonight if everything clears and winds calm enough. And another storm Tuesday and Wednesday? Whoa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
schoeppeya Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 4 hours ago, NwWhiteOut said: Well looks like it is over now minus the snow flurries. That last piece of energy? dropped a few more inches, got about 4-4.5" out there. Meh not bad, could have been better but its still a beautiful cold fluffy snow. Winds really aren't that bad either yet. Heres to hoping for tuesday nights storm!!! At least the silly snow drought is over after 7 years lol You should keep declaring the storm over, you'll end up with a foot 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderbird12 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 14 hours ago, schoeppeya said: I work for a company that trades power and natural gas for several co-ops across the country. To say this weekend has been a mess is an understatement. Nat gas was trading at $600/dth at one point friday in the cash market and theres a very real possibility demand exceeds power supply at some point. I assume this explains the rolling power outages in TX? Over 2 million customers without power there as of around an hour ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
schoeppeya Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 2 minutes ago, thunderbird12 said: I assume this explains the rolling power outages in TX? Over 2 million customers without power there as of around an hour ago. Indeed. The "perfect storm" to place an enormous strain on the power market. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 4.25" of snow in Monett as of my 6 a.m. measurement and it has been really snowing since 6:30 again. It is -4. Yeesh. That measurement is a best guess because of drifting. Need to check the models and see what they are saying about the next system, too. This has been a couple of weeks to remember for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonOH Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 My best estimate of total snowfall in Wichita Falls is 6.5”. With how much wind we had it’s hard to get an accurate number, even in areas protected by the wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Didn’t think I’d wake to it still snowing in Tulsa, I won’t complain. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Awesome storm overall! Even if it didn’t drop huge amounts (8-12+) it was impressive for a few reasons: 1. Snow falling with it absolutely stupid cold. So much for the old saying, “It’s too cold to snow”. 2. Three different waves hit most of us. 3. As far as I can remember I’ve never been in a WS Warning while also having a WS Watch for another storm right behind it. This is VERY rare. The only “negatives” I can think of are we didn’t get a foot and no blizzard warning. That 8 year drought will continue, but who cares. Onto the next storm. As JoMo (or someone) mentioned yesterday the NAM and RAP seemed to handle this best. The HRRR not so much. We’ll see what round 2 (or is it round 4?) says. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weatherdemon Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 6 minutes ago, StormChazer said: Didn’t think I’d wake to it still snowing in Tulsa, I won’t complain. I was quite surprised as well! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 3K Nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 15, 2021 Author Share Posted February 15, 2021 54 minutes ago, The Waterboy said: Onto the next storm. As JoMo (or someone) mentioned yesterday the NAM and RAP seemed to handle this best. The HRRR not so much. We’ll see what round 2 (or is it round 4?) says. Yeah, the NAM did a great job (rare). It showed the 3 waves of precip on the 12z yesterday that eventually happened. The HRRR did very poorly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Measure 5” In multiple spots of the year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMT417 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 18 minutes ago, StormChazer said: 3K Nam Branson gets hit pretty hard on this one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Kuchera overdid it. I would look at QPF outputs and do a small multiplier. Seems like most snow ratios weren't off the charts like we thought they might be. Even then the next system looks significant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWAflizzard Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 15 minutes ago, The Waterboy said: Measure 5” In multiple spots of the year. Measured 5 inches here too! Still snowing and blowing around everywhere. This storm was great! Looking forward to the next. Just hope I can stay awake. lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
draco1188 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 idk about everyone else, but here in Russellville, AR the 10:1 ratio on the NAM actually turned out to be more accurate than the kuchera ratio. Yesterday the NAM was showing 4.8" on the 18z and 5.1" on the 00z - currently we are sitting at about 4.25" and still coming down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
schoeppeya Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 3 minutes ago, draco1188 said: idk about everyone else, but here in Russellville, AR the 10:1 ratio on the NAM actually turned out to be more accurate than the kuchera ratio. Yesterday the NAM was showing 4.8" on the 18z and 5.1" on the 00z - currently we are sitting at about 4.25" and still coming down. I wonder if the really fine grain nature of the snowfall prevented it from really taking advantage of higher ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weatherdemon Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Getting some decent size flakes and moderate snowfall right now! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 What he said ^^^ It's funny because I see blue sky and these are some of the bigger flakes I've seen haha. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 15, 2021 Author Share Posted February 15, 2021 11 minutes ago, Wx 24/7 said: Kuchera overdid it. I would look at QPF outputs and do a small multiplier. Seems like most snow ratios weren't off the charts like we thought they might be. Even then the next system looks significant. The Wxbell Kuchera maps are obviously flawed. It wouldn't surprise me if it was purposely done in order to get people to post them to advertise or drive business to their site. Wichita was reporting 20:1 ratios yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
draco1188 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 6 minutes ago, schoeppeya said: I wonder if the really fine grain nature of the snowfall prevented it from really taking advantage of higher ratios Probably so. Thats how a majority of the snow has been here. There were a couple bursts of the larger flakes here and there but man, if it only could have been all like that lol Maybe Wednesday-Thursday *fingers crossed* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Hard to say what we got here now, maybe I will declare it over again(being sarcastic lol) and we will all get another few inches! Seriously though, woke up and still lightly snowing. If I were to guess 5-6". This warning ends at noon then another watch is up for tuesday night onward for 4-10". Nice, bring it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yuki neko Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 4 minutes ago, JoMo said: The Wxbell Kuchera maps are obviously flawed. It wouldn't surprise me if it was purposely done in order to get people to post them to advertise or drive business to their site. Wichita was reporting 20:1 ratios yesterday. There was a tweet yesterday by them about how they found and fixed a bug in the Kuchera maps. Twitter is being slow for me right now so I can't pull it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 2 minutes ago, NwWhiteOut said: Hard to say what we got here now, maybe I will declare it over again(being sarcastic lol) and we will all get another few inches! Seriously though, woke up and still lightly snowing. If I were to guess 5-6". This warning ends at noon then another watch is up for tuesday night onward for 4-10". Nice, bring it Looks like we’re about to get a heavier band for the next hour or so. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, The Waterboy said: Looks like we’re about to get a heavier band for the next hour or so. I know, it was coming down pretty good 20 minutes ago. That fireball in the sky is desperately trying to peek through! Man its cold out there goodness!!! What did you guys get up that way, any guesses? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KC Storm Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Congrats down there. Glad you finally cashed in. About 1 inch here but had hours of snow. No complaints 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 5 minutes ago, NwWhiteOut said: I know, it was coming down pretty good 20 minutes ago. That fireball in the sky is desperately trying to peek through! Man its cold out there goodness!!! What did you guys get up that way, any guesses? 5” measured about an hour ago. Maybe this last burst will push us to 6. We’ll see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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