MUWX Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 SGF is just trolling us at this point. The warnings now extend well north of us to the east and west, but SGF appears to not be willing to give in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 14, 2021 Author Share Posted February 14, 2021 10 minutes ago, MUWX said: SGF is just trolling us at this point. The warnings now extend well north of us to the east and west, but SGF appears to not be willing to give in. Just looks like solid advisory criteria snow totals? We got between 1-2" this morning? Plus an additional 3-4" expected later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KC Storm Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 37 minutes ago, lokee said: The entire south side of Okc is without water. The water plant that serves this area went down the the City can not give a time when it would be back up. Sorry to hear that. Hope they can get it back kicking soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 5 minutes ago, JoMo said: Just looks like solid advisory criteria snow totals? We got between 1-2" this morning? Plus an additional 3-4" expected later. It’s just a vastly different forecast than surrounding offices. I don’t see how places in SE Kansas who already have ~3” on the ground and as of 1, ICT was calling for an additional 5-8”, yet here, were only supposed to get 4-6” total? Maybe SGF is right with their forecast, but I still think it warrants an upgrade. I don’t think it’s a set rule that under certain circumstances you can’t upgrade for less than 6”. Given temps, wind chill, blowing snow, and at a minimum 4-6” totals, I don’t see any justification for not upgrading. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 14, 2021 Author Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, MUWX said: It’s just a vastly different forecast than surrounding offices. I don’t see how places in SE Kansas who already have ~3” on the ground and as of 1, ICT was calling for an additional 5-8”, yet here, were only supposed to get 4-6” total? Maybe SGF is right with their forecast, but I still think it warrants an upgrade. I don’t think it’s a set rule that under certain circumstances you can’t upgrade for less than 6”. Given temps, wind chill, blowing snow, and at a minimum 4-6” totals, I don’t see any justification for not upgrading. Well, the heavier band is supposed to weaken with time. You can see it's much narrower than it was this morning. With that being said, Wichita has had to add some counties farther northward to the winter storm warning that they had this morning due to high snow ratios. Those ratios would theoretically be less towards us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
garfan Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 I know many of the the people I talk to just want to know how much snow they are going to get than what type of advisory or warning is in effect. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 2 minutes ago, JoMo said: Well, the heavier band is supposed to weaken with time. You can see it's much narrower than it was this morning. With that being said, Wichita has had to add some counties farther northward to the winter storm warning that they had this morning due to high snow ratios. Those ratios would theoretically be less towards us. Think there's hope for tonight in my neck of the woods JoMo? We have about an inch, just very light off and on snow all day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Turner Turnpike closed do to a semi accident/fire and crews not being able getting to it due to the weather. I 35 Northbound near Blackwell, Oklahoma shut down for the same reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 4 minutes ago, JoMo said: Well, the heavier band is supposed to weaken with time. You can see it's much narrower than it was this morning. With that being said, Wichita has had to add some counties farther northward to the winter storm warning that they had this morning due to high snow ratios. Those ratios would theoretically be less towards us. Regardless of what is going on with surrounding forecast areas, I think the current SGF forecast warrants an upgrade. I would guess people under the band from Joplin towards Columbia end up with several areas over 6”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderbird12 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Around 3.5" on the ground in south Norman as of 330p. Probably going to bust low unless snow hangs on longer than expected this evening. Don't often see moderate/heavy snow with temps hovering around 5F around here. It's definitely an interesting and memorable event, but the relatively short duration of the moderate/heavy rates has limited our potential for a really big snowfall. Tough to get widespread 6-10 inches out of a relatively disorganized storm like this, no matter how high the SLRs get. I'd love to overperform tonight and get proven wrong, though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 14, 2021 Author Share Posted February 14, 2021 3 minutes ago, NwWhiteOut said: Think there's hope for tonight in my neck of the woods JoMo? We have about an inch, just very light off and on snow all day Yeah, you should get a couple of inches at least. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KC Storm Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Snow approaching for the SW. Looks close for the metro but on the current trajectory looks like some banding is going to get back to about Weston/ St Joe which is right in line with how most modeling had it. the SE burbs are looking pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KC Storm Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 9 in Tulsa 5 in Springfield. 1 here in KC. Crazy cold press. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Update on the water issue in Okc seems as some of the pipes at the water plant froze Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KC Storm Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, lokee said: Update on the water issue in Okc seems as some of the pipes at the water plant froze Yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 In not loving the current look of the radar as it moves our way. As JoMo said, it’s narrowing and potentially weakening some. It’s going to be hard to see 4-6” more unless it wraps up and we see more on the very backside as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 14, 2021 Author Share Posted February 14, 2021 4 minutes ago, MUWX said: Regardless of what is going on with surrounding forecast areas, I think the current SGF forecast warrants an upgrade. I would guess people under the band from Joplin towards Columbia end up with several areas over 6”. Yeah, that band of snow is strange. It's currently snowing the hardest it's snowed all day right now. I'm not sure if it's tied to some kind of front or exactly what the deal is. I thought the 850MB front is farther south into NW AR, so I'm not sure what's forcing the band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderbird12 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 In addition to the water plant issues, there have been sporadic power outages across Oklahoma since this morning. I think we peaked at ~10,000 outages across the state, and currently have ~9,000 outages. The infrastructure around here is not designed for this type of extended and bitter cold snap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Man this went from all out weenie mode to meh ok whatever mode of desperation for some of us again lol, hope ya'll in Oklahoma stay safe..I would not want water and power outage problems with this sort of cold! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 14, 2021 Author Share Posted February 14, 2021 Tulsa is about to get the heavier band of snow. Anyone from down that way around? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
garfan Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 I know many of the electric companies are experiencing a high demand for electric due to the cold spell. Here is one example from the electric coop in SW MO that serves Newton County, McDonald County, and southern portions of Jasper County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 14, 2021 Author Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, garfan said: I know many of the electric companies are experiencing a high demand for electric due to the cold spell. Here is one example from the electric coop in SW MO that serves Newton County, McDonald County, and southern portions of Jasper County. PEAK ALERT! But only in the winter, instead of the summer heat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 14, 2021 Author Share Posted February 14, 2021 The latest RAP has the snow band across Joplin while the HRRR misses it. The HRRR really hasn't done that great of a job today, has it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Jeff Piotrowski is live on twitter, sounds like there are some really nasty wrecks on I-44 in OKC. He is on the scene of the truck fire that I think was mentioned in this thread, but it sounds like there is also a different incident on going on I-44 as well. He described it as a large chain reaction wreck. Multiple 18 wheelers. Hopefully this is nothing like Dallas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 I know it’s jumping ahead but the 21z RAP has storm 2 further north. Looks good for most of us. Plenty of time to worry about that later but interesting to watch since the RAP has performed well so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 I'm just hoping for 4" here. My initial call was 2-4 as I guess I'm in the SGF conservative camp. Snowstorms have a mind of their own for sure. Best measurement here shows 1.5" here so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
schoeppeya Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 1 hour ago, garfan said: I know many of the electric companies are experiencing a high demand for electric due to the cold spell. Here is one example from the electric coop in SW MO that serves Newton County, McDonald County, and southern portions of Jasper County. I work for a company that trades power and natural gas for several co-ops across the country. To say this weekend has been a mess is an understatement. Nat gas was trading at $600/dth at one point friday in the cash market and theres a very real possibility demand exceeds power supply at some point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 32 minutes ago, MoWeatherguy said: I'm just hoping for 4" here. My initial call was 2-4 as I guess I'm in the SGF conservative camp. Snowstorms have a mind of their own for sure. Best measurement here shows 1.5" here so far. Yea we will see if this one will bust for here for warning criteria, these storms are crazy odd for sure man! Yesterday, based on what everyone here was posting, I told my buddy we are probly gonna be lucky to see 2-3" at best from this now. Im sticking with my gut again, got about the same here too around 1.5" or so...hard to tell with it whipping about everywhere. Maybe there's hope for us on the next one haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormdragonwx Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Yeah I just measured out where I am at, I only got 1.25 inches so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 2 minutes ago, stormdragonwx said: Yeah I just measured out where I am at, I only got 1.25 inches so far. Pathetic overhyped mess of a storm so far. I wonder what model handled this the best lol, probly none of them. I cant compare to everywhere though just what we are noticing here in the snowless hole of NW Ar haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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