Joshua D Wells Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 24 minutes ago, lokee said: Returns are popping up South of Tulsa Seeing a stray flake or two making it to the ground in Sapulpa. Just enough to start to get excited for the real show in a few hours. Stocked up on red bull in preparation! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormdragonwx Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 As of right now I can report a decent bit of flurries in east Fayetteville still ongoing here the main system hasn't even arrived yet. Its blowing all over the streets too. Grass is almost covered. EDIT: Found this on Twitter. Same thing happening over by Oologah is happening here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 These radar returns in SW OK and Tulsa are very intriguing. That is at least 4-5 hours ahead of what the HRRR is showing. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 6 minutes ago, stormdragonwx said: As of right now I can report a decent bit of flurries in east Fayetteville still ongoing here the main system hasn't even arrived yet. Its blowing all over the streets too. Grass is almost covered. EDIT: Found this on Twitter. Same thing happening over by Oologah is happening here. It's an awesome phenomenon for a part of the country that frequently gets above 100 degrees in the summer. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 14 minutes ago, stormdragonwx said: As of right now I can report a decent bit of flurries in east Fayetteville still ongoing here the main system hasn't even arrived yet. Its blowing all over the streets too. Grass is almost covered. EDIT: Found this on Twitter. Same thing happening over by Oologah is happening here. Its insane man, today out and about literally 2 blocks from home it was snowing, nothing at the house here!! Just like right now one of these clouds is giving you something and me nothing, who knows how close we are but thats what I observed today. Is actually crazy cool 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KC Storm Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 9 minutes ago, StormChazer said: It's an awesome phenomenon for a part of the country that frequently gets above 100 degrees in the summer. Its so neat how events like this showcase unique mico climates we normally don't get to see in action. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Local news just showed a model showing Springfield getting close to 9, I could make that work 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWAflizzard Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Both 00z GEM and GFS still have the second storm. Wonder if the Euro will come on board. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KC Storm Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 12 minutes ago, lokee said: Impressive stuff. Would be an impressive storm even up in Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 03z RAP 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 ^Those are sister stations that clearly don’t talk to each other and aren’t on the same page!! Love Travis Meyer and David Payne though! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 2 minutes ago, ouamber said: ^Those are sister stations that clearly don’t talk to each other and aren’t on the same page!! Love Travis Meyer and David Payne though! I was going to say the same thing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weatherdemon Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 3 minutes ago, ouamber said: ^Those are sister stations that clearly don’t talk to each other and aren’t on the same page!! Love Travis Meyer and David Payne though! Wasn’t Payne the one who said to leave your home in OKC during the El Reno tornado while there was flash flooding happening? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWAflizzard Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Thought this update was interesting. Sounds like Tulsa thinks this could be big for the entire area National Weather Service Tulsa OK 1004 PM CST Sat Feb 13 2021 .DISCUSSION... Have updated snowfall amounts for tonight in areas to the northwest of I-44, as most recent runs of the HRRR and HRW suite have continued to focus the initial frontogenetic band of snow in the 06-12z time frame more to the north. Mid-level radar echoes have been gradually expanding across SW-central OK likely in response to this increased forcing. An environment characterized by steep lapse rates above the cold air at the sfc may be supportive of CSI in the elevated front zone, and thus some heavy banding of snow may occur late tonight into Sunday morning. The overall message of the forecast remains the same tonight as a significant winter storm is shaping up for a large part of eastern OK and northwest AR. Dynamic upper level system located near the Four Corners, which has produced numerous CG lightning strikes across NM/AZ this evening, continues to move east, and will provide a prolonged period of strong forcing over much of the area. North winds have begun to increase over the past couple of hours in response to the approaching system, with gusts around 25 mph becoming common across northeast OK. Wind chills have fallen below -5 in parts of NE OK as a result and while this is technically wind chill advisory criteria, this will be covered by the winter storm warning beginning at midnight. Higher dew points depressions seem to have cut off the lake effect snow across eastern OK, however sfc reports indicate there is still some ongoing in the FYV area...so have added flurries into the forecast for the remainder of the evening. Per satellite this appears to be mainly down wind from Beaver Lake. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 2 minutes ago, Weatherdemon said: Wasn’t Payne the one who said to leave your home in OKC during the El Reno tornado while there was flash flooding happening? Morgan on Channel 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weatherdemon Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 2 minutes ago, lokee said: Morgan on Channel 4 Thank you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 2 minutes ago, lokee said: Morgan on Channel 4 I still don’t know how mike Morgan has a job in the OKC market. So many good mets coming out of OU, one would think they could do better than Morgan. He’s incredibly entertaining to listen to, but he’s a hype machine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 10 minutes ago, MUWX said: I still don’t know how mike Morgan has a job in the OKC market. So many good mets coming out of OU, one would think they could do better than Morgan. He’s incredibly entertaining to listen to, but he’s a hype machine. I was told he got his mets degree from Mississippi State. I took a summer metrology class for teachers from the Oklahoma Mesonet and got the download Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 5 minutes ago, lokee said: He actually got his mets degree from Mississippi State. I took a summer metrology class for teachers from the Oklahoma Mesonet and got the download Wasn’t necessarily saying mike went to OU, just saying that I would think a news station in the OKC metro could do better with Ou being there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, MUWX said: Wasn’t necessarily saying mike went to OU, just saying that I would think a news station in the OKC metro could do better with Ou being there. He was on another Okc station as regular met. Then Channel four hired him away from that station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weatherdemon Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Norman NWS scaling down...q Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Norman OK 1059 PM CST Sat Feb 13 2021 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Sunday) Issued at 412 PM CST Sat Feb 13 2021 As discussed in the morning update, it looks like we will have some low-level frontogenesis developing across south central and southeast Oklahoma. The ageostrophic response to this frontogenesis will likely enhance some lift north of this area creating a band of snow. These are typically somewhat narrow bands and difficult to forecast locations very precisely, but the best signal is that this band will set up somewhere in central to northeastern Oklahoma where it could produce a couple of inches of snow between midnight and sunrise. The Winter Storm Warning starts areawide at midnight, so that still covers this potential early round of snow. The snow associated with the main storm system will move into the area Sunday morning near or just before sunrise Sunday morning. In general, the model QPF is a little lower than previous forecasts, so have adjusted the snow amounts down just a touch. We are still expecting amounts of 5 inches or more throughout the forecast area, with the highest amounts of roughly 8 to 9 inches across southwest Oklahoma and area of north Texas near Wichita Falls. The storm system looks a little quicker and have adjusted the timing of the forecast and heaviest snowfall a little bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 1 minute ago, Weatherdemon said: Norman NWS scaling down...q Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Norman OK 1059 PM CST Sat Feb 13 2021 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Sunday) Issued at 412 PM CST Sat Feb 13 2021 As discussed in the morning update, it looks like we will have some low-level frontogenesis developing across south central and southeast Oklahoma. The ageostrophic response to this frontogenesis will likely enhance some lift north of this area creating a band of snow. These are typically somewhat narrow bands and difficult to forecast locations very precisely, but the best signal is that this band will set up somewhere in central to northeastern Oklahoma where it could produce a couple of inches of snow between midnight and sunrise. The Winter Storm Warning starts areawide at midnight, so that still covers this potential early round of snow. The snow associated with the main storm system will move into the area Sunday morning near or just before sunrise Sunday morning. In general, the model QPF is a little lower than previous forecasts, so have adjusted the snow amounts down just a touch. We are still expecting amounts of 5 inches or more throughout the forecast area, with the highest amounts of roughly 8 to 9 inches across southwest Oklahoma and area of north Texas near Wichita Falls. The storm system looks a little quicker and have adjusted the timing of the forecast and heaviest snowfall a little bit. That update is from 4:12 this afternoon. All they updated at 10:59 was the aviation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weatherdemon Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 4 minutes ago, The Waterboy said: That update is from 4:12 this afternoon. All they updated at 10:59 was the aviation. Well crap. My bad. Didn’t seem to make sense so.. that’s why. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weatherdemon Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 4 minutes ago, Weatherdemon said: I approve. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormdragonwx Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 00z Euro coming in now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weatherdemon Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Looks like the convective band set up NE of Tulsa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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