rockchalk83 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 The 12z GFS Ensembles backed off on the amount of precip with the weekend system, but still has >6" for most of our area in the next 240 hours. Let's see what the Euro does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 9, 2021 Author Share Posted February 9, 2021 There's a little more light snow action in KS and N OK on the 12z Euro with the first system but it's also going to miss as well. EDIT: System 2 on Sunday/Monday remains interesting on the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rockchalk83 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 23 minutes ago, JoMo said: There's a little more light snow action in KS and N OK on the 12z Euro with the first system but it's also going to miss as well. Looks like a 1-3" event here Friday into Saturday, but a more substantial event for the late weekend period. This does appear to be a more aggressive run of the Euro, so we'll see what the ensembles say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 9, 2021 Author Share Posted February 9, 2021 And system 3 which is just the trough digging out is on Tues/Wed, could have some snow somewhere with that as well. So, lots to watch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weatherdemon Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Craig-Ottawa-Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes-Delaware-Creek-Okfuskee-Okmulgee- Wagoner-Cherokee-Muskogee-McIntosh- Including the cities of Vinita, Miami, Tulsa, Claremore, Pryor, Grove, Jay, Sapulpa, Okemah, Okmulgee, Wagoner, Tahlequah, Muskogee, and Checotah 208 PM CST Tue Feb 9 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Mix of light snow and patchy freezing drizzle. Additional snow accumulations of up to one inch and ice accumulations of a light glaze. * WHERE...Portions of east central, northeast and southeast Oklahoma. * WHEN...Until 6 AM CST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Untreated roads and bridges and overpasses may become slick and hazardous overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weatherdemon Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Light freezing rain or drizzle thru tonight. Additional ice accumulations of less than a tenth of an inch. Freezing rain Wednesday. Ice accumulations of one tenth to four tenths of an inch possible. * WHERE...Pittsburg, Haskell, Latimer and exclusively the higher terrain areas of northern Pushmataha and southern Le Flore Counties. * WHEN...For the Winter Weather Advisory, until 6 AM CST Wednesday. For the Winter Storm Watch, from Wednesday morning through Thursday morning. * IMPACTS...Sporadic power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel could be very dangerous, especially on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 As cold as it is... not moisture creates a nightmare of issues. If this next 10 days or so pans out like it is modeled, it will be one of the best consecutive winter stretches in a long time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 8 minutes ago, Wx 24/7 said: As cold as it is... not moisture creates a nightmare of issues. If this next 10 days or so pans out like it is modeled, it will be one of the best consecutive winter stretches in a long time. Yeah, this is a pretty awesome image here. This is the 50 euro members mean snowfall over the entire run. This is from 3 or 4 separate storm systems rolling through from late this weekend throughout next week. Normally a high average total like this is because there's a storm 1-2 days out and its got some good precip so all the members converge. But to see it this high because of a lengthy period of snow is more akin to the NE, not down here. Bring it on! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 The GFS 16 is back up and running 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 36 minutes ago, StormChazer said: Yeah, this is a pretty awesome image here. This is the 50 euro members mean snowfall over the entire run. This is from 3 or 4 separate storm systems rolling through from late this weekend throughout next week. Normally a high average total like this is because there's a storm 1-2 days out and its got some good precip so all the members converge. But to see it this high because of a lengthy period of snow is more akin to the NE, not down here. Bring it on! So the mean is showing a large area of 5-7 at 10:1? Ratios should be a good bit amount higher than that, so sign me up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 GFS staying with it. Lighter amounts, but still a nice 3 to 4 inches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 9, 2021 Author Share Posted February 9, 2021 The Sunday/Monday system is more impressive on the 18z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, JoMo said: The Sunday/Monday system is more impressive on the 18z GFS. Yeah, drops another 3.5 inches in the normal 10:1 ratio, but 9 inches in Kuchera. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 9, 2021 Author Share Posted February 9, 2021 And the Tues/Wed system is probably going to have more precip as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Could it be possible it snows all week next week? That would be something to see. This run of the GFS has me laughing at the amounts it is putting out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 14 minutes ago, lokee said: Could it be possible it snows all week next week? That would be something to see. This run of the GFS has me laughing at the amounts it is putting out. Yeah, this is just downright silly. Not gonna happen, but still silly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rockchalk83 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, StormChazer said: Yeah, this is just downright silly. Not gonna happen, but still silly. Just downright nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RocketWX Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Man, this run of cold weather is really something. If this pans out anything like the GFS is saying, (haven't looked as closely on other models) that would be about 2 straight weeks of below freezing! With most days not even close to freezing. Jury is still out on snow potential, but one would have to assume we will have at least few shots of precip. With high ratios we could put down a decent fresh snow pack and really send temps plummeting. Will be a fun few weeks of model watching for sure! I am in Wichita, but obviously this goes for many others on this board. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormdragonwx Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 So apparently there is a microscale incident ongoing in Springdale, Arkansas with snow being reported there but nowhere else in the general area of NW Arkansas. https://twitter.com/4029Darby/status/1359292728794882049?s=20 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 28 minutes ago, stormdragonwx said: So apparently there is a microscale incident ongoing in Springdale, Arkansas with snow being reported there but nowhere else in the general area of NW Arkansas. https://twitter.com/4029Darby/status/1359292728794882049?s=20 I heard this on the news at 6. I was in Springdale for a high school basketball game until about 5:45. It was only drizzle then so I must have just missed it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Damon Lane in Okc Koco Channel five Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormdragonwx Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 The TSA DSP graphic map has both fire spread danger and snow on the ground at the same time. Can someone explain that? lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weatherdemon Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Tulsa NWS just expanded the WWA N to KS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 I have light snow here in Okc. We were suppose to have freezing drizzle tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 10, 2021 Author Share Posted February 10, 2021 Heavy freezing drizzle here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 10, 2021 Author Share Posted February 10, 2021 Looks like the 00z GFS continues to lower snow amounts with the Sat system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 GFS came back to reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 GFSv16 still looks solid for Sat/Sun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just now, The Waterboy said: GFSv16 still looks solid for Sat/Sun Where are you seeing the GFS V16 at? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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