MUWX Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Tornado threat seems to be ticking up for tomorrow. Welcome to winter in this area! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Well then. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, StormChazer said: Well then. Do you have the ice map? Looked like an ice storm south of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 What a change on the 18 and 00z gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Kevin Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 21 minutes ago, JoMo said: What a change on the 18 and 00z gfs. I think -ao/nao forcing a se trend with system. I believe its only the beginning from this point forward. I'm pulling for some snow and ice in the midsouth north of i40 in my area before winter is done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 41 minutes ago, MUWX said: Do you have the ice map? Looked like an ice storm south of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 00z Euro came south as well. Not as crazy looking though. 06z GFS is just nuts with temps in the negatives after the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 12z GFS is going to be amazing as well. The 500 MB pattern on the 00z, 06z and 12z GFS are all different timing wise but they all come to a similar solution. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Quite the storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 This is highly dependent on the system shown here over SO CAL at 108 not getting squashed. Energy dives in behind it and forces it to turn negative and closes off for a bit after this before it falls apart. The 12z Canadian squashes it and misses it, which simply leads to some light rain/flurries for the most part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 First tornado warning of the year for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 7 minutes ago, JoMo said: First tornado warning of the year for me. You have had enough to last a life time. Going to be watching svr season closely as I am reading with LaNina it could be more active. Right now am dealing with heavy snow forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 15 minutes ago, Indystorm said: You have had enough to last a life time. Going to be watching svr season closely as I am reading with LaNina it could be more active. Right now am dealing with heavy snow forecast. Yeah La Nina years are typically more active but it's whatever. All I know is it's cold in the underground shelter this time of year. Lack of spiders though. Edit: Wish I was dealing with heavy snow! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 It was fun while it lasted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 1, 2021 Author Share Posted February 1, 2021 Well, cold is coming.... Next big mystery is when that cutoff low spinning off the coast of CA kicks out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Latest run of the Canadian is something to get excited about for this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 All eyes on early next week now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 1, 2021 Author Share Posted February 1, 2021 Yeah, early next week all depends on what happens to the cutoff seen here off the CA coast. Another 'everything has to go right' type of situation that will change 50 times. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Euro jumped on board with the Canadian this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 1, 2021 Author Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, lokee said: Euro jumped on board with the Canadian this run. Yeah, has a similar look. Everything still pretty much hinges on what happens to the cutoff. Notoriously hard to predict. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 10 years ago today many of us were under a blizzard warning. Seems longer ago than that. How many years until it happens again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 47 minutes ago, MUWX said: 10 years ago today many of us were under a blizzard warning. Seems longer ago than that. How many years until it happens again? 1 week! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Morgan just jumped on the Euro and Canadian. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormdragonwx Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 It's still a week out so obviously it's gonna change a lot. The timing would be fitting as this would be almost 10 years to the day of the 2011 blizzard that brought upwards of 2 feet of snow in NW AR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 2, 2021 Author Share Posted February 2, 2021 And just like that the models change. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 2, 2021 Author Share Posted February 2, 2021 12z GFS is going with more of a zonal-NW type flow. Weak system/disturbance works in under that for a mix/snow on Tues/Wed. Actually a decent long duration event, of ice and snow for much of us, subject to changing a few dozen times. Very cold temps because of the snowpack it lays down. The 12z Canadian says *yawn*.... so the Euro will probably follow that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 2 hours ago, JoMo said: 12z GFS is going with more of a zonal-NW type flow. Weak system/disturbance works in under that for a mix/snow on Tues/Wed. Actually a decent long duration event, of ice and snow for much of us, subject to changing a few dozen times. Very cold temps because of the snowpack it lays down. The 12z Canadian says *yawn*.... so the Euro will probably follow that. You are correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 2, 2021 Author Share Posted February 2, 2021 One thing to watch will be the location of precip on the system coming through this Sat or so. 12z Euro is much more impressive and would give N KS and N KS/C and N MO a decent snowfall. The 12 UKMET is even a bit farther south with the snow in KS/MO The Euro also has something trying to slip in under the large upper low taking up residence across S Canada but it's not as impressive as the 12z GFS at generating precip. Looks really interesting after 240 on the Euro this run as arctic air is deep and in place with SW flow developing. Oh well, it'll change next run anyway. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 18Z GFS sticking to its guns for now. I think what’s striking about this, is it’s duration, it starts Monday afternoon and lasts until Thursday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 If that happens what ever falls will stick around awhile as well. If you take that run out further around the 17th DFW gets a once is 20 years snow storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now