Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,611
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    NH8550
    Newest Member
    NH8550
    Joined

MO/KS/AR/OK 2020-2021 "Winter" Discussion


JoMo
 Share

Recommended Posts

5 minutes ago, OKTWISTER said:

NWS Tulsa holding strong on little freezing precipitation in the Tulsa Metro proper. However the Winter Storm Warning was moved east and Osage and Pawnee counties added and Washington, Nowata and Craig counties added for Winter Weather Advisory. 

 

 image1.png?d2f1c0cabfa35b25b5c1b5fa8d2de194

One thing graphics like this reassure me is the need for polygon based winter products like we do with severe weather. Places like Sand Springs aren't in the advisory despite being further west than others in the advisory. 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Wx 24/7 said:

One thing graphics like this reassure me is the need for polygon based winter products like we do with severe weather. Places like Sand Springs aren't in the advisory despite being further west than others in the advisory. 

I agree and we know the line will be much different than the advisory area. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Wx 24/7 said:

One thing graphics like this reassure me is the need for polygon based winter products like we do with severe weather. Places like Sand Springs aren't in the advisory despite being further west than others in the advisory. 

100% this. What's the criteria anyhow? Greater than 1/2 the county to be included? 1/3? It's very unclear and doesn't paint a proper picture.

What if I end up, in Collinsville, getting an ice storm while Bixby skirts by with cold rain? If I wasn't weather savvy, I would be surprised because there was no advisory or warning due to the current format.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, StormChazer said:

100% this. What's the criteria anyhow? Greater than 1/2 the county to be included? 1/3? It's very unclear and doesn't paint a proper picture.

What if I end up, in Collinsville, getting an ice storm while Bixby skirts by with cold rain? If I wasn't weather savvy, I would be surprised because there was no advisory or warning due to the current format.

Because you are in Collinsville I expect rain from Owasso to Collinsville and 3-6 inches of snow in Bixby........

  • Haha 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, RocketWX said:

I hear you rockchalk. I live just southeast of Wichita right on the Sedgwick Butler county line and it feels like it's been forever since we've had a snow that completely covered the grass.  This has been a fascinating storm to track and I'm hoping it snaps that streak. A few things I'm watching: Are the Hi Res models showing that eastward shift of qpf on to something? How quick will the changeover to snow occur? I still think there is merit to a heavy band of snow developing somewhere in this area that could over achieve and drop 6"+ even though we are only in a Winter Weather Advisory. 

I am right there with you on all those points. One other question I’ll throw in is how far west does the main deformation precip shield get. I have a hard time buying the razor thin cut off that some are showing, but that may just be wishful thinking. 

The latest model runs give me even more pause that the streak won’t end tomorrow, but it’s time to nowcast this out and see how it evolves. 

Good luck and happy new year to all! We survived 2020.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...