Amped Posted October 6, 2020 Share Posted October 6, 2020 4 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: 955 mb from the dropsonde. Going down at about 3 mb/ hr. This may come close to Felix's TD to Cat 5 record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Jon Posted October 6, 2020 Share Posted October 6, 2020 2 minutes ago, Superstorm93 said: https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.81/17.86/-81.918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted October 6, 2020 Share Posted October 6, 2020 2 minutes ago, the ghost of leroy said: Finally...a real hurricane. ...but is it good enough for ldub? Or did he stop paying attention when he called season over? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted October 6, 2020 Share Posted October 6, 2020 Recon has turned around and is going in for one final pass before leaving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted October 6, 2020 Share Posted October 6, 2020 Cat 3/115mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 6, 2020 Share Posted October 6, 2020 Cancun area is going to take a direct hit on that trajectory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 6, 2020 Share Posted October 6, 2020 Wilma seems like a decent analog although obviously it recurved further East than what Delta is going to do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonOH Posted October 6, 2020 Share Posted October 6, 2020 VDM went in as 957mb. Drop had 957 with 25kt wind though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted October 6, 2020 Share Posted October 6, 2020 Southern around to northeastern semicircle of the eyeband is going bananas on GLM flash count over the past 20 minutes. Great time for one more pass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted October 6, 2020 Share Posted October 6, 2020 I can't remember the last time I've seen a storm this small, really has that Andrew look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted October 6, 2020 Share Posted October 6, 2020 2 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: Cancun area is going to take a direct hit on that trajectory Eye is very small so area of strongest winds will be small. No question they are at high risk of a direct hit given track seems clustered with little variance until Yucatan landfall. NHC now calling for 140 mph at Mexico landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted October 6, 2020 Author Share Posted October 6, 2020 This thing is TINY. 6nm wide eye and a hurricane force wind diameter of maybe 15-20nm. Still strengthening in earnest and that CDO is freezing cold. If the eye closes and pops, pressure is gonna free fall I think. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted October 6, 2020 Share Posted October 6, 2020 1 minute ago, Windspeed said: Southern around to northeastern semicircle of the eyeband is going bananas on GLM flash count over the past 20 minutes. Great time for one more pass. This is going to be an awesome pass 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted October 6, 2020 Share Posted October 6, 2020 Oh boy... Surrounding the eye now too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted October 6, 2020 Share Posted October 6, 2020 It looks like the target version of Patricia 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Jon Posted October 6, 2020 Share Posted October 6, 2020 6 minutes ago, Windspeed said: Southern around to northeastern semicircle of the eyeband is going bananas on GLM flash count over the past 20 minutes. Great time for one more pass. assuming the plane isn't hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted October 6, 2020 Share Posted October 6, 2020 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: Very impressive pass, even if that’s contaminated a bit. There's a 118 kt and 132 kt flight level wind on that pass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted October 6, 2020 Share Posted October 6, 2020 There's a 118 kt and 132 kt flight level wind on that pass.Uncontaminated at that, pressure plummented almost 3 full mbs too (956.7 to 954.0)Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted October 6, 2020 Share Posted October 6, 2020 You could argue for 130 but I'd say conservatively it's a 125 mph 'cane now. If the small eye holds through the afternoon, it should reach Cat 4 by the 2 PM EDT advisory at this current rate of intensification. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted October 6, 2020 Share Posted October 6, 2020 954 mb per the dropsonde. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted October 6, 2020 Share Posted October 6, 2020 Lol, you could just about fit Delta's entire radius of hurricane force winds inside Laura's eyewall. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted October 6, 2020 Share Posted October 6, 2020 Cat 4/130 mph 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted October 6, 2020 Share Posted October 6, 2020 One hour from cat 3 to cat 4..... must be a record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted October 6, 2020 Share Posted October 6, 2020 Thankfully, Cancun appears to be mostly cinder block construction. A bigger city of than I thought, over 600k, similar to the size of Nashville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted October 6, 2020 Share Posted October 6, 2020 Wondering when subsidence off these intense convective plumes is finally going to be overwhelming enough inside that tiny mid-level vorticity maximum to kill off the high cirrus spilling over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted October 6, 2020 Share Posted October 6, 2020 Jesus. This is the craziest RI I seen since Wilma in the Atlantic 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted October 6, 2020 Share Posted October 6, 2020 The plane flew back south of the storm, so they'll make another pass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted October 6, 2020 Share Posted October 6, 2020 This was at 45 mph this time yesterday. Insane. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted October 6, 2020 Share Posted October 6, 2020 WTNT61 KNHC 061520 TCUAT1 Hurricane Delta Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL262020 1120 AM EDT Tue Oct 06 2020 ...RECENTLY RECEIVED DATA FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT DELTA HAS RAPIDLY STRENGTHENED INTO A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE... Data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that Delta is continuing to rapidly strengthen. The maximum winds have increased to near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher gusts. This makes Delta a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. SUMMARY OF 1120 AM EDT...1520 UTC...INFORMATION --------------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.2N 82.7W ABOUT 315 MI...510 KM ESE OF COZUMEL MEXICO ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM SW OF GRAND CAYMAN MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...954 MB...28.17 INCHES 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted October 6, 2020 Share Posted October 6, 2020 That NE/SE pass is about to be a freaking gold rush...Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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