MSUgulfcoaster Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 The bones are sturdy, if this is in GMT then this is a couple hours old, it CDT then current. Either way, the inner structure is looking really good. Satellite porn to follow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 Here's an animation of the classic NHC AVN IR colorization... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 Seems like the east side is struggling to get the really cold cloud tops to stay. Good banding to the north and northwest but definitely lacking east. Delta still looks much better though than it ever has Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 7 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: Seems like the east side is struggling to get the really cold cloud tops to stay. Good banding to the north and northwest but definitely lacking east. Delta still looks much better though than it ever has Oh those crazy Texan cloud seeders at it again... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 You guys may have jinxed it, Delta's eastern eyewall is the best I've seen it recently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 I'm not seeing any shear over Delta right now at all. It's definitely taking advantage of whatever it can. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonOH Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 Had to get some work done and took a bit of time off from the storm. Looks a bit improved in the past hour. Slow intensification is definitely happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 I'm not seeing any shear over Delta right now at all. It's definitely taking advantage of whatever it can.There's about 8-10 kts of southerly shear. Relatively too weak to prevent intensification but perhaps enough to keep downshear convection weaker as CBs go up and rotate around the eyewall. As Delta turns more northward and gains forward motion, there will be a window tonight (6-12 hrs) where shear is weakest prior to an increase in SSW VVW flow and mid-level shear prior to landfall. That and cooler SSTs should eventually put a halt on whatever intensification is gained by Delta through mid-day tomorrow. That should be prior to landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 Wow... And just like that, a strong CB went up in the eastern eyewall and is rotating around in the northern semicircle. This has the look of a strong Category 3 hurricane. Need recon. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STxVortex Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 7 hours ago, Low Pressure Lunacy said: Made a screen shot of Delta's tail. Wishing you luck in dealing with this storm. Thanks LPL. That southern outflow 'tail' really looked impressive in the various satellite animations when I could see them. Have two usual probs, first, when I downloaded the sat 'gifs', they were just a little bigger than AmWX allows as an upload [~1.95Mb? for me], so couldn't post the animation myself [sometimes can]. My second prob is a highly variable IP connection, ranges from 16Kbps to 3-6Mbps, which severely affects my use of image -intensive websites like this. Gonna dodge Delta here methinks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 1 minute ago, Windspeed said: Wow... And just like that, a strong CB went up in the eastern eyewall and and is rotating around in the northern semicircle. This has the look of a strong Category 3 hurricane. Need recon. The next band in line to cause a convective burst looks even juicier, so hopefully nothing disrupts it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MSUgulfcoaster Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A777 Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 And just like that, the eye is clear Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted October 8, 2020 Author Share Posted October 8, 2020 1 minute ago, tiger_deF said: And just like that, the eye is clear I thought the eye was clear 2 days ago? This is news? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 Like fully cleared the eye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 2 minutes ago, tiger_deF said: Like fully cleared the eye That’s what we call fully cleared now? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted October 8, 2020 Author Share Posted October 8, 2020 Regardless of all that, this is probably knocking on the door of cat 3 intensity again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 Has there ever been a case of identical US landfall spots occurring with 2 storms in the same year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSLwx Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 2 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: Has there ever been a case of identical US landfall spots occurring with 2 storms in the same year? Frances and Jeanne (2004). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 Just saving this here. Organizing storms at 1min intervals and 0.5km resolution are a thing of beauty: 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonOH Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 Outflow looks good in all quadrants. Based on what I’m seeing right now I expect recon to find ~115-120kt FL and ~100KT surface. Low end Cat 3. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 Recon about to make SW to NE pass. We'll know intensity very soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Castaway Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 Nicely stacked. Can see a 3D effect 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alfoman Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 954.2 mb with 91kt SFMR in the SW quadrant on that pass For reference, the last pass (around 4 hours ago) in the SW quad had SFMR values closer to 65kt 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MSUgulfcoaster Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 Just now, Alfoman said: 954.2 mb with 91 kt SFMR in the SW quadrant on that pass Wow, with that being in the SW quadrant, Delta is a Cat 3 right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 Wow, with that being in the SW quadrant, Delta is a Cat 3 right now. We'll have a dropsonde and sampling of the NE quadrant in mere minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 Highest FL wind was 87kt though... so that SFMR of 91kt is a bit suspect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 Unflagged 119kt FL winds in NE quadrant. I'd say 95kt would be a good estimate, maybe 100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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