NavarreDon Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 On the ground obs from well outside the cone: We have gorgeous outflow clouds and tropical soup at the lower levels here in Navarre. . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 Continuing to improve. Really convenient when big structural changes occur during daylight as nothing beats visible. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonOH Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 The band is back and as soon as it showed up the whole thing got super ragged again. Not looking great right now. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 3 minutes ago, Windspeed said: Continuing to improve. Really convenient when big structural changes occur during daylight as nothing beats visible. 1 minute ago, JasonOH said: The band is back and as soon as it showed up the whole thing got super ragged again. Not looking great right now. Lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sojitodd Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 When again is this supposed to turn more to the north and then northeast? Also that post above with the last frame the hurricane looks about as good as it has looked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonOH Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 Sure doesn’t look good now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 5 minutes ago, JasonOH said: Sure doesn’t look good now. Likely response of an intense convective plume going up in the northern to western semicircle creating subsidence in the SE region of the core. That may just as well wrap shortly. Either way the overall structure has improved significantly since early this morning. Recon is about to make another pass. Should know more in just a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 3 minutes ago, JasonOH said: Sure doesn’t look good now. Chasing its tail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 Loving the frame by frame analysis of the IR appearance of the storm here... looks great... looks like crap... looks great again taking off now... it fell apart lol 7 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 6 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Loving the frame by frame analysis of the IR appearance of the storm here... looks great... looks like crap... looks great again taking off now... it fell apart lol Its in a relatively steady state with a slight bias towards intensification. As expected, IMO. I don't think the winds will ramp up much...maybe 110-115mph... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 963.2 EXTRAP on last pass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 6 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Loving the frame by frame analysis of the IR appearance of the storm here... looks great... looks like crap... looks great again taking off now... it fell apart lol Literally this! Lol. Hilarious. Can't analyze frame by frame. Delta is organizing. It will look good at times then bad at times. This isn't going to look like Laura Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 5 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Loving the frame by frame analysis of the IR appearance of the storm here... looks great... looks like crap... looks great again taking off now... it fell apart lol Feels like there's a degree of hurricane structure OCD in here...lol I mean I kinda get it from a weather geek standpoint, I suppose...hurricane perfectionism? 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 Heh, was I analyzing frame by frame? How about noting the obviously clear symmetrical eye at the end of that animation and obvious continued improvement. You know, the first clear eye we've had since Delta existed? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonOH Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 FWIW I usually put much more stock in IR since it allows me to see finer detail than visible on cloud heights. Allows me to pick up different features that may not be as well shown on vis. in other news, recon got 102kt flight level NE of the eye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 This is what happens when the season kinda sucks. We have to hang our hopes on these floor model hurricanes with weird defects and obsess over their structure. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 8 minutes ago, Windspeed said: Heh, was I analyzing frame by frame? How about noting the obviously clear symmetrical eye at the end of that animation and obvious continued improvement. You know, the first clear eye we've had since Delta existed? I’d say you’ve been consistent in pointing out the gradual organizational trend of the storm today. Your posts have been bookended multiple times in the exact opposite observation by someone else thinking the storm is weakening after strengthening for 3 frames. Haha. Point is- we’re seeing a gradually strengthening system. Pressure falls and winds gradually responding. I think NHC forecast is on point though I can also see the storm failing to attain major again but barely. Large Ike-like storm at landfall so exact intensity is not that important anyways, other than for us weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonOH Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 Got up to 110kt flight level that pass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 966 mb per dropsonde Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 That's why you have to look at it over a longer period of time. Sure there's going to be times that it looks better, and worse. But over the last 6 hrs is it better than it was before that? If so then it's generally improving. If it looks worse than it did 6 hrs ago, then it's generally weakening. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 Recon is picking up hurricane level FL winds nearly a full 2 degrees away from the center Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Low Pressure Lunacy Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 Some Geocolor perspective. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
natedizel Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 38 minutes ago, the ghost of leroy said: This is what happens when the season kinda sucks. We have to hang our hopes on these floor model hurricanes with weird defects and obsess over their structure. Such a troll... I love it lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 Southern part of the core looks like it's tightened up. Maybe this next attempt at an eye will have better luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 Hurricane Delta is much better stacked than when in the Caribbean. Looks quite menacing, in my opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 Quite a menacing look beginning to take shape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 9 minutes ago, Floydbuster said: Quite a menacing look beginning to take shape. CDO is symmetrical and the eye is starting to clear out for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now