hlcater Posted October 10, 2020 Share Posted October 10, 2020 I dont like that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted October 10, 2020 Share Posted October 10, 2020 1 hour ago, Snowstorms said: La Nina and below average Octobers are rare. More typical in Nino's. Do you know any that have occurred during a La Nina in Chicago? How did the following winter pan out? In the 22 La Ninas since 1950, just 6 had colder than average Octobers here. 1964, great winter 1974, great winter 1983 great winter 1988, crap winter 1999, meh winter 2008, great winter 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted October 10, 2020 Share Posted October 10, 2020 Hmmmm... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted October 10, 2020 Share Posted October 10, 2020 2 hours ago, StormfanaticInd said: Hmmmm... I just can't... I can't even imagine something like this. I can understand it's possible for stuff like this to happen soon in the Upper Midwest, but I don't recall fantasy storms this early. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted October 10, 2020 Share Posted October 10, 2020 Just now, Gino27 said: I just can't... I can't even imagine something like this. I can understand it's possible for stuff like this to happen soon in the Upper Midwest, but I don't recall fantasy storms this early. This would be about 15 days ahead of last years winter storm in the GTA. Every day after mid October gets more and more realistic to see snow in the sub forum. The last two Octobers ive seen light accumulations in the northern suburbs of Toronto 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted October 11, 2020 Share Posted October 11, 2020 1 hour ago, mississaugasnow said: This would be about 15 days ahead of last years winter storm in the GTA. Every day after mid October gets more and more realistic to see snow in the sub forum. The last two Octobers ive seen light accumulations in the northern suburbs of Toronto Well yeah, it's theoretically possible. One could see it as being just as possible as snow later in the Spring (which we had this year). My area has only seen measurable snow in October five times since records have been kept. One of those times was from the remnants of Sandy. Early snows seem to be the trend in the last decade. I just don't know how I feel about seeing it this early on. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted October 11, 2020 Share Posted October 11, 2020 7 hours ago, hawkeye_wx said: The GFS continues to tease snow events for the upper midwest in the 1-2 week period. Last night's Euro had a good one up in Minnesota. At the very least, it appears the garden season will be over. I closed up/cleaned up most of my garden today. I still have a couple of tomato plants, a few green beans, and onions and carrots in the ground. Otherwise, it's cleaned, tilled and ready for my snow board. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted October 11, 2020 Share Posted October 11, 2020 5 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: In the 22 La Ninas since 1950, just 6 had colder than average Octobers here. 1964, great winter 1974, great winter 1983 great winter 1988, crap winter 1999, meh winter 2008, great winter Interesting. Goes back to what I was saying earlier. Cold Octobers are rare in Nina's. 1988 and 1999 were both crap. There was a few cold outbreaks but they were dry as hell overall. 1974-75 was a warm winter with no cold outbreaks. I'll take the other 3 any day. Btw hope you're feeling better 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted October 11, 2020 Share Posted October 11, 2020 27 minutes ago, Snowstorms said: Interesting. Goes back to what I was saying earlier. Cold Octobers are rare in Nina's. 1988 and 1999 were both crap. There was a few cold outbreaks but they were dry as hell overall. 1974-75 was a warm winter with no cold outbreaks. I'll take the other 3 any day. Btw hope you're feeling better 1974-75 was snowy here. im feeling a lot better, just have a nagging cough and shortness of breath otherwise the other symptoms are gone. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted October 11, 2020 Share Posted October 11, 2020 7 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: 1974-75 was snowy here. im feeling a lot better, just have a nagging cough and shortness of breath otherwise the other symptoms are gone. It was average here snow wise. Temp wise was warm. That's great. Keep up with your vitamins everyday, maybe exercise or go for a walk if you can, and you'll be 100% in no time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted October 11, 2020 Share Posted October 11, 2020 GFS and CMC both showing a signal for lake effect snow showers off Lake Michigan on the 17th 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted October 11, 2020 Share Posted October 11, 2020 With the increasing probability we may see our first snowflakes and even accumulating snowfall over the next 2 weeks, I looked back at all the Octobers that recorded more than an inch at YYZ. Records at YYZ only go back to 1937. 1962: 2.9" - Neutral 1969: 4.8" - El Nino 1976: 1.6" - El Nino 1981: 2.4" - Neutral 1997: 1.1" - El Nino 2018: 1.0" - El Nino YYZ has recorded measurable snow in 17 Octobers since 1937. Only 2 were La Nina's (1964, 2010) and 8 were El Nino's. So the upcoming pattern is in some ways highly unusual solely from an ENSO perspective, atleast locally. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 11, 2020 Share Posted October 11, 2020 Today is the 54th consecutive day with less than 0.10" at IND. Looks like some rain tomorrow, but not much. Could get close to that 0.10" but if I had to bet on it, I think the streak will survive. Would be more confident though if the chance of thunder were nil, but there is a small possibility of a thunderstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted October 11, 2020 Share Posted October 11, 2020 On 10/9/2020 at 2:32 PM, Stebo said: You are missing a few 1998 had a huge storm, and though in October you have to consider the Octobomb, both of which were La Nina. Good point. Would take either of those following winters as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted October 12, 2020 Share Posted October 12, 2020 people on Facebook are posting gorgeous color shots around SE MI.. im feeling a lot better so i plan to take a long drive either Tuesday or wed to get some pics. early peak this year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted October 12, 2020 Share Posted October 12, 2020 Wettest day here in two months. Knocked a bunch of leaves off. Looks like we are just past peak here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted October 12, 2020 Share Posted October 12, 2020 2 hours ago, OrdIowPitMsp said: Wettest day here in two months. Knocked a bunch of leaves off. Looks like we are just past peak here. 0.8" here overnight. Much needed. Leaves are at peak right in the town here. We always are late in TH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted October 12, 2020 Share Posted October 12, 2020 Looking forward to the first real "snow" chance later this week into weekend. won't accumulate much down here but I can start to see some scenarios where 1-3" falls in the higher terrain of southern Ontario Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted October 12, 2020 Share Posted October 12, 2020 Few elevated flash/bangs here over the past hour. Severe warning for Lake/Porter Co, IN for hail and psbl winds. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted October 12, 2020 Share Posted October 12, 2020 A United flight had to return to ORD after flying through a hail core over Lake Michigan. PIREP: ORD UA /OV ORD090035/TM 1925/FL155/TP A320/RM HAIL-CRACKED WIND SHIELD 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted October 12, 2020 Share Posted October 12, 2020 32 minutes ago, purduewx80 said: A United flight had to return to ORD after flying through a hail core over Lake Michigan. PIREP: ORD UA /OV ORD090035/TM 1925/FL155/TP A320/RM HAIL-CRACKED WIND SHIELD That has to be terrifying to fly through hail. I can only imagine what the noise onboard was like. I remember on my way to West Lafayette driving through something like this. Had 60-70 mph winds and downbursts so intense it brought hail & what seemed like snow to the surface at 50 degree temps. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted October 12, 2020 Share Posted October 12, 2020 13 minutes ago, nwohweather said: That has to be terrifying to fly through hail. I can only imagine what the noise onboard was like. I remember on my way to West Lafayette driving through something like this. Had 60-70 mph winds and downbursts so intense it brought hail & what seemed like snow to the surface at 50 degree temps. No doubt. One of my favorite weather memories involved hearing what ended up being a billion-dollar hail storm with baseballs approach my place in Madison, WI. No roar quite like that. It was in the 40s out during April to the north of a warm front. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 12, 2020 Share Posted October 12, 2020 0.02" at IND so far. There is some more rain to the west though and will need to keep any additional to 0.07" or less to keep the streak of sub 0.10" days alive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted October 12, 2020 Share Posted October 12, 2020 1 hour ago, Hoosier said: 0.02" at IND so far. There is some more rain to the west though and will need to keep any additional to 0.07" or less to keep the streak of sub 0.10" days alive. It's gonna be close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 12, 2020 Share Posted October 12, 2020 7 minutes ago, IWXwx said: It's gonna be close. Gonna need the heavier stuff in Morgan county to avoid IND. If it stays light/stratiform, I don't think there's gonna be enough to get to 0.10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman_ind Posted October 12, 2020 Share Posted October 12, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 12, 2020 Share Posted October 12, 2020 6 minutes ago, wxman_ind said: Since August 19, the two biggest calendar day rainfalls at IND are 0.08" and 0.06" 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted October 13, 2020 Share Posted October 13, 2020 First multi day streak of overnight freezes looks to occur here later this week. P&C has rain and snow showers for Friday night and Saturday imby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 13, 2020 Share Posted October 13, 2020 A few pics with the drone today at our local ski resort. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bowtie` Posted October 13, 2020 Share Posted October 13, 2020 3 hours ago, wxman_ind said: I had 0.24 in my tippy bucket when I got home from work. There was a farmer plowing under the corn stubble with a field cultivator and the almost quarter inch was still not enough to push him out of the field. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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