BristowWx Posted October 18, 2020 Share Posted October 18, 2020 Got down to 32.9. I get strange looks from everyone when I get excited about frost. Who doesn’t love frost? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted October 18, 2020 Share Posted October 18, 2020 3 hours ago, frd said: Looking ahead we go significantly above normal later this week. Anyone with flowers that did not have meaningful frost damage look to hang around deep into the month. Huge storm off the coast late week. but a phasing opportunity is lessening. I covered by cherished lantanas to hold on to them for a while longer. We got to 37 and had light frost, mostly on roofs and cars. Garden looks good for a while longer. Could use some rain though! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted October 18, 2020 Share Posted October 18, 2020 Just now, losetoa6 said: Pretty impressive cold for fall invading the Northern plains to the gulf coast day 8-10 per Euro. Winter is coming Cold Halloween? I want to see a white Halloween before I leave this earth..here I mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted October 18, 2020 Share Posted October 18, 2020 29F this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted October 19, 2020 Share Posted October 19, 2020 5 hours ago, BristowWx said: Cold Halloween? I want to see a white Halloween before I leave this earth..here I mean. Just install a foam suppression system in your yard! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted October 19, 2020 Share Posted October 19, 2020 Looking forward to the warm temps this week...I’d never turn down upper 70s and sun in October. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A777 Posted October 19, 2020 Share Posted October 19, 2020 1 hour ago, nj2va said: Looking forward to the warm temps this week...I’d never turn down upper 70s and sun in October. From my weenie perspective, upper 70s in October mean we might get exciting weather with the next front so I'm on board 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 19, 2020 Share Posted October 19, 2020 Interesting... did not know this was coming https://www.weather.gov/lwx/GarrettCecilTransfer Transfer of NWS Forecast and Warning Services for Maryland's Garrett and Cecil Counties to NWS Baltimore/Washington Effective November 10, 2020 Beginning Tuesday, November 10, 2020, at 7:00 AM EST, the National Weather Service (NWS) will transfer all warning and forecast responsibilities for Garrett and Cecil counties, MD, from NWS Pittsburgh (Garrett) and NWS Philadelphia (Cecil), to NWS Baltimore/Washington. If November 10th is deemed a Critical Weather Day, the change will be postponed one week to Tuesday November 17th. This change is being implemented in coordination with the Maryland Emergency Management Agency, Garrett County Emergency Management, and Cecil County Department of Emergency Services. This change will enable the NWS to provide more efficient weather services to the State of Maryland by having a single NWS office provide forecast and warning services for all of western Maryland and the entire Interstate 95 corridor within Maryland. Those who have software to decode or process NWS forecasts and warnings for Garrett and Cecil will need to change the origination office code from PHI (Philadelphia) or PBZ (Pittsburgh), to LWX (Baltimore/Washington). More information on that is described in the Service Change Notice issued on April 29, and linked here. This change will be transparent to NOAA Weather Radio users. For river level forecasts, there will be no changes for Garrett County. NWS Baltimore/Washington has, and will continue to provide river level forecasts and warnings for the North Branch of the Potomac River at Kitzmiller, Maryland (KITM2) in Garrett County. For Cecil County, NWS Baltimore/Washington will assume responsibility for river forecasts and warnings for the Susquehanna River at Conowingo Dam (CNWM2), as well as tidal forecasts and warnings for the Chesapeake and Delaware Canal at Chesapeake City (CHCM2). Those in Garrett and Cecil Counties with social media interests should add the NWS Baltimore/Washington Twitter link @NWS_BaltWash and Facebook page NWSBaltWash. The local office webpage for the two counties will become https://www.weather.gov/lwx. The public phone number for NWS Baltimore/Washington is 703-996-2200. Note that this phone number is planned to change by the end of the year due to an upcoming change in our phone system. More information about that will be forthcoming. Any questions on this change can be directed to Chris Strong, Warning Coordination Meteorologist with the NWS Baltimore/Washington Weather Forecast Office at [email protected] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted October 19, 2020 Share Posted October 19, 2020 Mentioned we might get some interesting North Atlantic weather later in October, and it appears we may indeed get a deep bomb cyclone to form there near the 27 th., however, the exact outcome and lowest pressure are still uncertain. The 00Z GFS looks too extreme. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted October 19, 2020 Share Posted October 19, 2020 What once looked like a chilly air mass later this month has now turned into more of the same with cold fading and warmth returning. Some asked when this new era of less snowy winters and generally warmer weather started here, well this post by bluewave is an eye opener. I still feel that 2016 was a turning point. from bluewave < It has been the only cooler than average part of the US since the Super El Niño in 2016. > Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 On 10/14/2020 at 5:48 AM, CAPE said: If the Euro/EPS is correct, our cool down will be brief, with a return to relatively toasty temps by mid next week. On 10/14/2020 at 7:27 AM, WxUSAF said: Euro and, to some extent the ggem, dump the energy out west and don’t progress it through. Gfs and gefs keep things more progressive so we get periodic cold shots. Euro won. Mid to upper 70s the rest of the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 Meanwhile, nice thump of heavy wet snow today for Minneapolis area. First legit snowfall there I believe. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 Interesting read from LWX AFD this morning about next week... talks about high temps from upper 40s to 70s depending upon boundary position... and then has an eyebrow raising last sentence Thereafter, forecast spread and resultant uncertainty increases substantially within both the GEFS and EPS. The synoptic scale pattern across North America has reasonably good agreement between different model solutions, with troughing expected to hold across the center of the CONUS and ridging remaining in place off the East Coast. That will place us in southwesterly flow aloft between the trough and the ridge. The aforementioned frontal boundary will stall nearby, with a strong thermal contrast existing across that boundary. Depending on the exact positioning of the boundary, highs could range anywhere from the 70s to the 50s on Sunday, with anywhere from the 70s to upper 40s possible on Monday. Chances for showers will also be dependent on the position of the frontal boundary, but it currently appears that locations across northwestern portions of the forecast area will stand the greatest chance to see precipitation. By later Monday into Monday Night, a shortwave disturbance will start to descend down the backside of the trough over the center of the country, before tracking toward the east. This disturbance could potentially set the stage for a high impact weather event locally toward the middle portions of next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 31 minutes ago, yoda said: Interesting read from LWX AFD this morning about next week... talks about high temps from upper 40s to 70s depending upon boundary position... and then has an eyebrow raising last sentence Its way out there, but this could be a hefty rain producer, with some potential for severe, and maybe some snow on the backside in the western highlands. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 3 major globals all got even slower with the boundary moving east this weekend and next week. Now they cutoff or nearly cutoff the trough in the Southwest. Depending where it sets up, we could get a bunch of rain or a lot of warm/cloudy days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A777 Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 Dewpoints are noticeably higher today.... feels pretty nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 Out vacationing on Chincoteague this week. Thanks to online schooling we can do a get away in October. And renting a house to stay distanced. After the fog burned off around noon turned into a an absolutely beautiful day for October 20th. Headed out to the beach around 3. Never thought it would be near 70 on Assateague. The Miss J's were wading in the ocean and we took a nice long walk up the beach. Thought we were going to get a nice sunset but the marine layer rolled on in. We are on the bay side up the neck. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 4 hours ago, WxUSAF said: 3 major globals all got even slower with the boundary moving east this weekend and next week. Now they cutoff or nearly cutoff the trough in the Southwest. Depending where it sets up, we could get a bunch of rain or a lot of warm/cloudy days. Afternoon AFD from Mt Holly- The relatively quiet weather continues into early Saturday before the front finally approaches later Saturday bringing a chance of showers arriving from west to east late Saturday into Saturday night. Beyond this time the forecast grows increasingly uncertain as there are differences between the forecast models and from one model run to the next. But in the big picture, the baroclinic zone looks to set up along the east coast through early to mid next week as the front washes out or stalls over the area. Additional waves look to move north along it bringing chances for showers/rain most days as the pattern becomes more active and wetter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 And 18z gfs flipped back to more progressive and a much colder look next week. Should be interesting at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 12 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: And 18z gfs flipped back to more progressive and a much colder look next week. Should be interesting at least. This winter is going to give us stomach ulcers. I can see it already. Just give me a white Halloween, Thanksgiving and Christmas and I will be fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 2 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Just give me a white Halloween, Thanksgiving and Christmas and I will be fine. Seems reasonable 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted October 21, 2020 Share Posted October 21, 2020 41 minutes ago, BristowWx said: This winter is going to give us stomach ulcers. I can see it already. Just give me a white Halloween, Thanksgiving and Christmas and I will be fine. I wouldn’t mind waking up young, tall and handsome, odds are against reversing reality. I do hope your wish comes true, although I might substitute Valentines Day for Halloween. As always ..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted October 21, 2020 Share Posted October 21, 2020 6 minutes ago, rclab said: I wouldn’t mind waking up young, tall and handsome, odds are against reversing reality. I do hope your wish comes true, although I might substitute Valentines Day for Halloween. As always ..... I think 89 might have been the last time we had a white thanksgiving and Christmas. Not sure we have ever had a white Halloween. But being 2020 you never know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 21, 2020 Share Posted October 21, 2020 My senior year at Penn State was 2002-03. We had a white Halloween, Thanksgiving, Christmas, V-day, and Easter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A777 Posted October 21, 2020 Share Posted October 21, 2020 For Baltimore Thanksgiving was November 26th 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 21, 2020 Share Posted October 21, 2020 1 hour ago, BristowWx said: I think 89 might have been the last time we had a white thanksgiving and Christmas. Not sure we have ever had a white Halloween. But being 2020 you never know. Doubt there’s ever been a winter flip like 89 did Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted October 21, 2020 Share Posted October 21, 2020 40 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Doubt there’s ever been a winter flip like 89 did The stretch from Thanksgiving to just before Christmas was pretty great. Clipper after clipper and snow cover just about the entire time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 21, 2020 Share Posted October 21, 2020 5 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: The stretch from Thanksgiving to just before Christmas was pretty great. Clipper after clipper and snow cover just about the entire time. And then spring starting right around New Years 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 21, 2020 Share Posted October 21, 2020 Patchy drizzle before 8am. The drizzle could be heavy at times. Widespread dense fog, mainly before 10am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 77. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 21, 2020 Share Posted October 21, 2020 This is when I miss the fog boobs we used to have under our member names. Its foggu AF out this morning. 1/4 mile at best 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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