WxUSAF Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 The globals all spitting out some interesting solutions near D10 with possible tropical systems and early season cold air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 19 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: The globals all spitting out some interesting solutions near D10 with possible tropical systems and early season cold air. Looks like a black hole on the afternoon GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fourseasons Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 2 hours ago, WxUSAF said: Contrails or chemtrails? I just edited that post so I'll just add this one to say that yeah, I'm an idiot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 From Met Walt Drag A fair amount of discussion about the 25th-26th... am considering a topic since it's amped with potential, but that this could still easily be a marine storm once past FL. I'd like to see more ensemble agreement on a storm up the coast, supported by 30% or greater prob for 2"+ along the E Coast. If that were to occur, it's probably a few days off but imo, little doubt (in my mind) the models are onto two more tropical systems 19th-26th in the W ATLC. One other thing...while most of the debate is about 1) whether a storm, and then 2) either out to sea or up the coast... I can visualize jet stream pattern adjustments that permit E GMEX and northward up the W side of Apps. Just very-very-very early. I think Epsilon may get named within 48 hrs. Am posting on tropical page a couple of graphics. It probably won't a direct influence on our area except for swells... however, its eventual development may strengthen the WAR, and provide an even more favorable flow pattern for the 25tth-26th? We'll see, Post goes up by 525PM, unless it's already done there by a tropics poster. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 In Sykesville for baseball and there’s a gorgeous sunset. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 1.33" today. Might be another quick shot of rain tonight with that sharp shortwave moving through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: In Sykesville for baseball and there’s a gorgeous sunset. Had a great sunset/rainbow combo in Tyson’s. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted October 17, 2020 Share Posted October 17, 2020 39/33. On the way to the first freeze. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted October 17, 2020 Share Posted October 17, 2020 2 hours ago, losetoa6 said: ? First freeze in Deep creek . I've had 3 or 4 frosts here with 1 night hitting 32 . Yeah, 33 has been the coldest low so far. Forecast is upper 20s to low 30s in the county tonight. multiple frosts but first widespread freeze tonight (freeze warning for Cumberland/west). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 17, 2020 Share Posted October 17, 2020 42 here this morning. Should see some scattered frost tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted October 17, 2020 Share Posted October 17, 2020 Appears that we go rain free for the next 7 days with moderating temperatures and beautiful weather for late October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 17, 2020 Share Posted October 17, 2020 3 minutes ago, frd said: Appears that we go rain free for the next 7 days with moderating temperatures and beautiful weather for late October. I'll take it. Just about at 3" for the month so far, which is actually dry compared to the previous 3 months. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted October 17, 2020 Share Posted October 17, 2020 34 degrees with frost this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted October 17, 2020 Share Posted October 17, 2020 39 minutes ago, CAPE said: I'll take it. Just about at 3" for the month so far, which is actually dry compared to the previous 3 months. I have also scored relatively well with rainfall. Grass is green and lush. Tomorrow AM.looks like junior league Jebb walk weather. Looking forward to a walk with my greyhound trying on his new European sweater. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 17, 2020 Share Posted October 17, 2020 40.6 for my low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted October 17, 2020 Share Posted October 17, 2020 38 here for the low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 17, 2020 Share Posted October 17, 2020 High of 57 today. Lets see how low we can go tonight. Probably 35 or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted October 18, 2020 Share Posted October 18, 2020 This was a surprise for my area, updated at 9:30 PM from MH AFD. With this update, have expanded the Frost Advisory to all counties where the growing season remains active, save for Philadelphia and Delaware Counties and the coastal strip. While the odds of frost will decrease closer to the urban corridor, there is enough potential in the more outlying areas to warrant an advisory throughout the CWA. Also, some areas within the advisory may get down to freezing, but not expecting it to be widespread enough to warrant a Freeze Warning in areas where the growing season remains active. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A777 Posted October 18, 2020 Share Posted October 18, 2020 Saw some patchy frost this morning while camping in seneca creek state park Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted October 18, 2020 Share Posted October 18, 2020 30F low this morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted October 18, 2020 Share Posted October 18, 2020 First frost, 35 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 18, 2020 Share Posted October 18, 2020 7 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: First frost, 35 degrees I am sure there is some frost out in the open areas around here, but tucked back in the woods it's 37. The trees radiate a decent amount of heat still. Too bad the air mass wasn't a bit drier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted October 18, 2020 Share Posted October 18, 2020 32.7 so far. Heavy frost this morning. Just wondering if we can end the growing season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted October 18, 2020 Share Posted October 18, 2020 36 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted October 18, 2020 Share Posted October 18, 2020 37, first frost Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 18, 2020 Share Posted October 18, 2020 38F. One tiny frost patch in the grass, but 99% dew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 18, 2020 Share Posted October 18, 2020 38.1 here. Looks like some frost did happen. House is chilly. Didn’t have the heat on and thermo said 65 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted October 18, 2020 Share Posted October 18, 2020 Got down to 34 in Reisterstown with frost in the cars and porch rails. Nada on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted October 18, 2020 Share Posted October 18, 2020 31 this morning with heavy frost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted October 18, 2020 Share Posted October 18, 2020 Looking ahead we go significantly above normal later this week. Anyone with flowers that did not have meaningful frost damage look to hang around deep into the month. Huge storm off the coast late week. but a phasing opportunity is lessening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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