wxdude64 Posted October 11, 2020 Share Posted October 11, 2020 Just now, losetoa6 said: 0.00" for today Sad. Hopefully you do get a bit, it is DRY up that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted October 11, 2020 Share Posted October 11, 2020 Agreed. Again the Euro caved to GFS. So glad this was not a snow storm. Mental note for winter. Finally raining in southwest Frederick County Md. Thank goodness...latest WB 3K NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 11, 2020 Share Posted October 11, 2020 The steadier rain was always supposed to fall overnight until around noon tomorrow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted October 11, 2020 Share Posted October 11, 2020 Everything does look a little eastish though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted October 11, 2020 Share Posted October 11, 2020 59 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Yup. Everyone’s asking me why the rain hasn’t started. Time to jump in the lake! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 11, 2020 Share Posted October 11, 2020 7 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Everything does look a little eastish though That's weak sauce, and not the main show. I am east, and not even a tenth here, which was exactly the forecast for today. Look to the south-southwest. That's the juice from the remnants of Delta moving in, and it will interact with the stalled front. Unfortunately the heavier stuff may fall over this way(dont need it) but there still should be a good soaking for DC-BWI and the NW burbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 11, 2020 Share Posted October 11, 2020 WPC QPF looks wet for the entire region. 1-3" through tomorrow evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 11, 2020 Share Posted October 11, 2020 34 minutes ago, nj2va said: Time to jump in the lake! I took a quick dunk Much steadier rain now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted October 11, 2020 Share Posted October 11, 2020 Looks like about .15" so far and radar looks solid to the SW. I don't mind a rainy night when I don't have to be anywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted October 12, 2020 Share Posted October 12, 2020 If this this was winter I would be logging off due to the trolls. Everyone would see clearly the bust unfolding... should have 3-5" on the ground by now. Instead I have a solid coating and the radar looks paltry. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 12, 2020 Share Posted October 12, 2020 0.25” at home and steady light rain here at Deep Creek 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted October 12, 2020 Share Posted October 12, 2020 51 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: 0.25” at home and steady light rain here at Deep Creek 0.15” here. I love sitting on the porch listening to the light rain fall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 12, 2020 Share Posted October 12, 2020 0.67” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted October 12, 2020 Share Posted October 12, 2020 0.6 and periods of moderate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 12, 2020 Share Posted October 12, 2020 1.15" here so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted October 12, 2020 Share Posted October 12, 2020 1.33 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 12, 2020 Share Posted October 12, 2020 Winds have really picked up here over the last hour. That easterly flow is getting going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 12, 2020 Share Posted October 12, 2020 Pretty decent pressure gradient/wind field between the remnant low and the high to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted October 12, 2020 Share Posted October 12, 2020 0.87", breezy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 12, 2020 Share Posted October 12, 2020 .91" so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted October 12, 2020 Share Posted October 12, 2020 1.45" and nasty out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 12, 2020 Share Posted October 12, 2020 1.73” with some light stuff still falling. Big time soaker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted October 12, 2020 Share Posted October 12, 2020 1 hour ago, CAPE said: Winds have really picked up here over the last hour. That easterly flow is getting going. More battering surf for the South Jersey Shore . .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... 7am update...VAD wind profiles and surface obs across the region are indicating the low level jet is stronger than initially forecasted and thus I`ve increased the intensity of the winds and wind gusts across the region. This has lead to an upgrade from SCA to a Gale Warning for portions of the coastal waters as the low level jet should continue to increase in intensity over the next couple of hours. Widespread rain continues to fall over the region this morning and will continue through much of the day today. A strong easterly low level jet is pushing into the region which will continue to produce modest rainfall over the next couple of hours. Current accumulation totals are running around 1 to 1.5" across DelMarVa and southern NJ. Based on hires guidance I anticipate we`ll continue to see some 0.1-0.2" an hour rain rates over the next 3-6 hours hours across DelMarVa and southeastern NJ. Further north and west the impacts of high pressure seem to be winning out as rainfall totals are anticipated to be slightly lower than initial forecasted the past couple of days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted October 12, 2020 Share Posted October 12, 2020 Was pleasantly shocked to find 1.1 in the gauge. We needed that badly! It's the most rain from one event since August 4 and is about double all of the rainfall for the past five weeks combined. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted October 12, 2020 Author Share Posted October 12, 2020 Looks like the two dustbowls have finally seen a 1"+ rain event! Time for a celebration! = 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted October 12, 2020 Author Share Posted October 12, 2020 Misty and breezy with a temperature of 60F at IAD currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted October 12, 2020 Share Posted October 12, 2020 0.2” total. GFS did the best while the Euro and especially the NAM twins were way too wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted October 12, 2020 Share Posted October 12, 2020 Taking advantage of the -NAO and - AO, along with other factors, this forecast from the GEFS makes sense with a cooler East and warmer West, at leasr for a couple weeks. But, notice how the deepest cold ( and highest HDD ) remains to our West during the next couple weeks. Looking at recent Octobers there seems to be a connection with the warmer Western Atlantic SSTs providing warmth near the coastal plain deeper into October. see here: courtesy Kris Karnauskas @OceansClimateCU Later into the month, the AO and NAO may start to trend positive. Meanwhile, ,according to the CFSv2 and the GEFS models ( bias correction not applied ) the PV looks to remain near seasonal norms moving ever so slightly up along the path of the ERA5 Mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentredMan Posted October 12, 2020 Share Posted October 12, 2020 1.48 total here in Centreville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 12, 2020 Share Posted October 12, 2020 Steady rain has been falling here again. Looks like the last gasp. 1.42" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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