Stormfly Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 Sat looks good for bucking (logs), have to play catch up. But the mud is going to be a problem. If it's going to be in the 20s I'm gonna have that barrel glowing cherry red! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southmdwatcher Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 So central and southern MD and the central Eastern Shore are lining up for another 2-4 inches of rain and some gusty winds, as long as that screaming low level jet stays aloft and leaves us alone...okay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southmdwatcher Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 With a wet ground in the central and southern areas....that is pretty bold on low temperatures Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 15 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Those Canadians see a Harddddd freeze comin Friday night. Brrrrr, but finally the end of bug season! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 I think a lot of the N/W burbs get a freeze Saturday morning. Maybe BWI too. But I’ll definitely take the over on those GGEM temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 26 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: I think a lot of the N/W burbs get a freeze Saturday morning. Maybe BWI too. But I’ll definitely take the over on those GGEM temps. Yup. I can see that. Once again I blew the contest. I should have remembered that old saying ...cold September..no freeze til November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 GFS has upslope snow showers for Garrett County & Canaan Sunday night into Monday. It’d be the first flakes of the season. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 Hmmmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 @WxWatcher007 TROPICAL STORM ZETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL282020 0300 UTC WED OCT 28 2020 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ZETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 40(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) ATLANTIC CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) ATLANTIC CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 35(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) BALTIMORE MD 50 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BALTIMORE MD 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) 42(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) DOVER DE 50 X X( X) X( X) 17(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) DOVER DE 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 40(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) ANNAPOLIS MD 50 X X( X) X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) ANNAPOLIS MD 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) 39(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) WASHINGTON DC 50 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) WASHINGTON DC 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) 49(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) CAPE HENLOPEN 50 X X( X) X( X) 28(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) CAPE HENLOPEN 64 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 49(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) 27(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) OCEAN CITY MD 64 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 48(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) PAX RIVER NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 23(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) PAX RIVER NAS 64 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 47(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) WALLOPS CDA 50 X X( X) X( X) 25(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) WALLOPS CDA 64 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) 38(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) CHARLOTTESVIL 50 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 48(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) RICHMOND VA 50 X X( X) X( X) 22(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) RICHMOND VA 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 7 hours ago, WxUSAF said: I think a lot of the N/W burbs get a freeze Saturday morning. Maybe BWI too. But I’ll definitely take the over on those GGEM temps. 00z GGEM still likes 31 degrees at DCA and 29 at BWI 12z Saturday morning... 00z GFS/00z UKIE both say no though with upper 30s as lows ETA: 00z RGEM at its final frame at 12z SAT has DCA at 32 and BWI at 30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 Rain through next 72 hours: 00z 12km NAM: 2-3" 00z 3km NAM: 1.5-2.5" 00z GFS: 2-4" 00z GGEM: 1-3" 00z ICON: 1.5-3.5" 00z UKMET: 2-4" 00z EURO: 1.5-3" 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 Well, this much forcasted rain will end leaf season here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 WPC has the area in a slight risk for excessive rain for day 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 Forecast low here is now 30 for Friday night. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 Martinsburg has a chance for a couple of sub-50 high temperatures on Friday and Saturday. They've already had one this month at the airport. The last time MRB had more than one sub-50 high in October was 2012, during Sandy. The last time there were more than two days that cool in October was 2009. Coupled with the earliest freezing temp on record in September, its been a nice cool start to autumn. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 8 hours ago, yoda said: Hmmmmm Not even close for the MA. Zeta will be a non wind event for us. Right now it looks like the best winds will be Monday, out of the NW (figures). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 Both NAMs and GFS painting a very widespread 2”+ for just about everyone. Below is euro precip from last night. Couple of very raw days on tap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 1 hour ago, LP08 said: Both NAMs and GFS painting a very widespread 2”+ for just about everyone. Below is euro precip from last night. Couple of very raw days on tap. Rain 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 this week has been terrible. cloudy. gray. foggy. terrible for ones mood. next two days dont look much better. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 34 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Monday looking more and more like a wintery day per Euro . Snow showers with temps 36-40 mid afternoon northern tier and wind gusts 30-50 mph Yeah, straight-up chilly. Only low-mid 40s with a breeze in the DC metro Monday afternoon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 40 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Monday looking more and more like a wintery day per Euro . Snow showers with temps 36-40 mid afternoon northern tier and wind gusts 30-50 mph here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 2 hours ago, mappy said: this week has been terrible. cloudy. gray. foggy. terrible for ones mood. next two days dont look much better. I totally agree. I work in a health care setting and it is bad enough already with the backdrop of Covid and limitations on activities in the more at risk populations, but add on this lack of sunshine, with shorter days and the chill coming, it certainly is draining on one's mental health. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 19 minutes ago, frd said: I totally agree. I work in a health care setting and it is bad enough already with the backdrop of Covid and limitations on activities in the more at risk populations, but add on this lack of sunshine, with shorter days and the chill coming, it certainly is draining on one's mental health. Load up on D3 supplements, CBD oil, and drink moderately if possible. 2020 ain't so bad. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: And I've been taking D1,D2,D4 all this time ... oh the humanity LOL Well, vitamin D3 comes from fish oil, egg yolks, etc. When skin is exposed to sunlight, it produces vitamin D3. So for those lacking(or avoiding) sun exposure, it is the one you want. Lack of D3 can cause depression in some.. i.e SAD. Most people in the mid and higher latitudes are deficient, unless you are a sun worshipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 Remember when it was gonna be cold this week? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Remember when it was gonna be cold this week? LR uncertainty. We know all about that. Ensembles have been advertising a cold period sometime around Halloween for quite awhile now. It is going to happen. Always issues with timing and details.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 1 minute ago, CAPE said: LR uncertainty. We know all about that. Ensembles have been advertising a cold period sometime around Halloween for quite awhile now. It is going to happen. Always issues with timing and details.. Yeah. Just hammering home the point that cold is notoriously slow to come east in Ninas and that nobody should put stock in any model at 10 +. In case anyone needs reminding ... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coolio Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 7 hours ago, LP08 said: Both NAMs and GFS painting a very widespread 2”+ for just about everyone. Below is euro precip from last night. Couple of very raw days on tap. That's a thin band with good rain. And, sometimes it shifts down or up this far out. I only say this because I am hoping for less rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted October 28, 2020 Share Posted October 28, 2020 Agree. Less rain for some of us is fine. If this was frozen precip then we’d be in silly mode. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 29, 2020 Share Posted October 29, 2020 LWX AFD mentions 30s and 40s for highs on Monday with poss advisory criteria winds... so it going to be a chilly day Quote .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... A powerful cold front will be approaching from the west on Sunday, but will not arrive until Sunday night. Thus, we will see a mild southwest flow which should allow temps to moderate significantly compared to Saturday`s chilly temps, with a rise of 10 or more degrees possible. This, however, would only bring temps back to near normal. The front will cross the region late Sunday into Sunday evening, with some showers along or just behind the front possible. Will have to watch for potential low-topped convection, as well as for a burst of gusty winds behind such a powerful front. Gradient winds will be strong behind the front, particularly on Monday as low pressure strengthens to our northeast, providing a windy and chilly start to the work week. Humidity will also be low, and if it wasn`t for the rains we will get today, there could be a fire weather concern. Winds could approach advisory criteria on Monday, which might cause minor damage, mainly to trees. Temps Monday will be well below Sunday, and in fact stand a good chance of being the coldest so far this season, with temps potentially staying in the 30s and 40s all day long. This would lead to another widespread freeze potential, with likely the coldest night of the season thus far Monday night. Temps in most suburbs could reach the 20s, especially if the wind slackens late at night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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