George BM Posted October 15, 2020 Author Share Posted October 15, 2020 Currently 52F at IAD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 15, 2020 Share Posted October 15, 2020 Good chance for our first midnight high of the season for tomorrow! edit...more fully, models other than the euro brought back rain for the metro stress tonight and tomorrow. Also looks like some widespread 30s Saturday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted October 15, 2020 Share Posted October 15, 2020 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: Good chance for our first midnight high of the season for tomorrow! edit...more fully, models other than the euro brought back rain for the metro stress tonight and tomorrow. Also looks like some widespread 30s Saturday morning. I think @CAPE will stress about his rain soaked mosquito bog based on the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 15, 2020 Share Posted October 15, 2020 6 minutes ago, nj2va said: I think @CAPE will stress about his rain soaked mosquito bog based on the models. Up to an inch is acceptable. No water laying around, so they aren't bad, The cold nights will do them in hopefully. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted October 15, 2020 Share Posted October 15, 2020 As the GEFS trended warmer during the past 48 hours, and towards the earlier warmish Euro runs, the overnight EPS trends colder as the month nears an end, which looks very interesting. Possibly some wave breaking and influences from the tropical system. An interesting North Atlantic may be in the cards as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 15, 2020 Share Posted October 15, 2020 Non-euro models are back to a moderate rain event tonight and tomorrow. Euro edged west, but still the driest model for the metro areas and suburbs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 15, 2020 Share Posted October 15, 2020 Patchy frost in the forecast here for Sat night. Lowest temp so far is 41. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 15, 2020 Share Posted October 15, 2020 20 minutes ago, CAPE said: Patchy frost in the forecast here for Sat night. Lowest temp so far is 41. Yup. Probably lots of 30s and maybe a freeze for IAD? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted October 15, 2020 Share Posted October 15, 2020 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: Non-euro models are back to a moderate rain event tonight and tomorrow. Euro edged west, but still the driest model for the metro areas and suburbs. What kind of QPF is Euro spitting out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 15, 2020 Share Posted October 15, 2020 20 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: What kind of QPF is Euro spitting out? Like 0.1-0.3” for I-95, less northwest and more southeast. Stripe of 1” for southern eastern shore of MD and DE into southeast VA. Consensus is definitely putting the max east of the metro corridor, but euro is by itself with minimal rain in the metro area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted October 15, 2020 Share Posted October 15, 2020 1 hour ago, CAPE said: Patchy frost in the forecast here for Sat night. Lowest temp so far is 41. Good. It’s too hot today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted October 15, 2020 Share Posted October 15, 2020 Freeze watch posted for the Mountains and 81 corridor in VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 15, 2020 Share Posted October 15, 2020 4 hours ago, WxUSAF said: Non-euro models are back to a moderate rain event tonight and tomorrow. Euro edged west, but still the driest model for the metro areas and suburbs. And 18z goes back east. Haven’t heard about 18z euro. Good thing this isn’t snow or we’d be going nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 Pouring here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 Dover radar appears to be dead again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 10 hours ago, WxUSAF said: And 18z goes back east. Haven’t heard about 18z euro. Good thing this isn’t snow or we’d be going nuts. All the mesos, CMC, ICON now have a pretty sharp cutoff along I-95 as the Euro has been advertising. 6z GFS still has some decent rain(0.2 - 0.3") northwest of there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 1 hour ago, CAPE said: All the mesos, CMC, ICON now have a pretty sharp cutoff along I-95 as the Euro has been advertising. 6z GFS still has some decent rain(0.2 - 0.3") northwest of there. Nothing here so far, but that batch moving in from the south looks to probably just clip me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 Looks pretty dry west of DC this morning. Rain just starting here in the jungle. I'm sure I'll somehow manage 2" of rain today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 Looks like another day of tanning out here in the burg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 All the rain missing to the east. Gee what a shock! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 WB 6z GFS Day 11. GEFS not as impressed but something to keep an eye on rather than the lack of rain...GFS actually shows digital snow east of the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 This seems like it’s going to be yet another overperformer IMBY. LWX called for 1/2” of rain today and we just blew right past that with no end in sight. If we can just hold this pattern for a few more weeks... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 Moderate rain and 54 here. 0.45" so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 At least it'll be clear skies by morning tomorrow. Perfect day with temps in the upper 50s-low 60s and low humidity. The bomb dot com. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
esullivan Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 Saw something strange in the sky last night (bad photo I know - upper band in this is the lower band, ignore cloud below) in Royal Oak MD, photo taken facing west. Went outside after dinner, probably a little after 8 pm and saw what looked like 2 contrails, one right above the other. Lower was more dense and above one lighter and taller (didn’t show up in photo). Then we noticed that they never moved/drifted. Went out to dock to a get a better view and saw that each kept its shape/density and seemed to curve like a halo from each edge of horizon. It finally all faded after about 2 hours. Any one have any ideas as to what this could have been? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 If this were winter, people would be melting down. What a cutoff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 1.0", moderate rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 2 hours ago, Eskimo Joe said: If this were winter, people would be melting down. What a cutoff. Over colder rain and mud? Lol 54 degrees with sprinkles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fourseasons Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 6 hours ago, esullivan said: Saw something strange in the sky last night (bad photo I know - upper band in this is the lower band, ignore cloud below) in Royal Oak MD, photo taken facing west. Went outside after dinner, probably a little after 8 pm and saw what looked like 2 contrails, one right above the other. Lower was more dense and above one lighter and taller (didn’t show up in photo). Then we noticed that they never moved/drifted. Went out to dock to a get a better view and saw that each kept its shape/density and seemed to curve like a halo from each edge of horizon. It finally all faded after about 2 hours. Any one have any ideas as to what this could have been? There were two airliners that put out chemtrails right around sunset, going in a slight SE to NW direction, and the contrails stuck around for a while. I noted how close they were together (or at least how close they looked from my spot on land) and how the timing wasn't that far apart from the appearance of one plane to the next because with the reduction in overseas air travel I don't see them go by at that altitude as often as they used to. (I saw them as they were going past DC to the north) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 Contrails or chemtrails? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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