dendrite Posted October 25, 2020 Share Posted October 25, 2020 45/24...yikes Undercut MOS? Clouds will save the day eventually, but I wonder if we pull some 20s before then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted October 25, 2020 Share Posted October 25, 2020 Snow is a pipe dream outside of NNE.... just give me the rain. Still dry here 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2020 Share Posted October 25, 2020 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Snow is a pipe dream outside of NNE.... just give me the rain. Still dry here Have this as well. 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 25, 2020 Share Posted October 25, 2020 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Gotta give credit. FV3 has schooled the Euro since last winter. Whatever they did .. it’s better . Can’t toss it anymore And whatever they did to the Euro I don’t know ..but it’s getting worse. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted October 25, 2020 Share Posted October 25, 2020 37/20 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2020 Share Posted October 25, 2020 You guys are using op runs when you should be using ensembles anyways. EPS was always bullish on rain. I don’t care what op runs say 6-7+ days out like many did yesterday and beyond. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2020 Share Posted October 25, 2020 High of 48 today. We chilly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 25, 2020 Share Posted October 25, 2020 Didn't sniff freezing up high today. Cold vibe with icicles and rime ice. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted October 25, 2020 Share Posted October 25, 2020 I'm going to post the PARA GFS Kuchera map just to see who geeks out faster- Phin or Freak. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 25, 2020 Share Posted October 25, 2020 22 minutes ago, klw said: I'm going to post the PARA GFS Kuchera map just to see who geeks out faster- Phin or Freak. Get used to that gradient. I love how the CRV moved 45 miles east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 25, 2020 Share Posted October 25, 2020 Just now, moneypitmike said: I love how the CRV moved 45 miles east. That’s the Blackstone Valley that you live in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 25, 2020 Share Posted October 25, 2020 42 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: High of 48 today. We chilly. Sucks to be there. 55 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2020 Share Posted October 25, 2020 5 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Sucks to be there. 55 here. Was nice. We accept and take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted October 25, 2020 Share Posted October 25, 2020 36 minutes ago, klw said: I'm going to post the PARA GFS Kuchera map just to see who geeks out faster- Phin or Freak. Lock it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted October 25, 2020 Share Posted October 25, 2020 33/21 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 25, 2020 Share Posted October 25, 2020 2 minutes ago, PhineasC said: 33/21 now. Euro Ensembles giving us 30% chances of 6”< with the Day 5 system... thats not nothing at this time frame. You back up north? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2020 Share Posted October 25, 2020 5 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Euro Ensembles giving us 30% chances of 6”< with the Day 5 system... thats not nothing at this time frame. You back up north? Yeah I think the snow is more CNE/NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 25, 2020 Share Posted October 25, 2020 38.8/27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted October 25, 2020 Share Posted October 25, 2020 Down to 29. Chilly but the pumpkins got carved by the firepit 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted October 25, 2020 Share Posted October 25, 2020 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: Euro Ensembles giving us 30% chances of 6”< with the Day 5 system... thats not nothing at this time frame. You back up north? I will be starting on the 29th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted October 25, 2020 Share Posted October 25, 2020 5 minutes ago, alex said: Down to 29. Chilly but the pumpkins got carved by the firepit 28/19 here so keeping pace with you so far tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 25, 2020 Share Posted October 25, 2020 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: That’s the Blackstone Valley that you live in. You might want to go back to geography class, son. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 35/25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 Weenie 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Weenie We often see LI getting snow while the southern half of CT gets rain. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 On 10/24/2020 at 8:04 AM, Ginx snewx said: 1947-48 was a very big snow winter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 1 hour ago, Go Kart Mozart said: We often see LI getting snow while the southern half of CT gets rain. Dynamics early/late season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 7 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Gotta give credit. FV3 has schooled the Euro since last winter. Whatever they did .. it’s better . Can’t toss it anymore I'm not going to go back and dig up the posts where you advocated just trashing it instead of going FV3, but it's worth noting that no significant changes have been made to the model physics. It's the same package as the v14 GFS but a different core to make future changes easier. FWIW, these are the cosmetic changes made: Quote Replacement of Zhao-Carr microphysics with the more advanced GFDL microphysics Updated parameterization of ozone photochemistry with additional production and loss terms Newly introduced parameterization of middle atmospheric water vapor photochemistry Revised bare soil evaporation scheme Modified convective parameterization scheme to reduce excessive cloud top cooling. Any narrowing of the performance gap (perceived or real) is more likely due to Euro changes than GFS at this point. I'd like to see more than ~ 1 year's worth of data before calling that though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 I’d still take the Euro at day 4.5 over all others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 8 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said: I know everyone is probably thinking about the snow but I find the tropical remnants piece interesting. That looks fairly robust for someone depending on the track and eventual intensity of Zeta. Any frozen would be gravy for this tropical weenie. Oh it’s likely to be a notable TC ... it’s got that tightly coherent nucleus look garland by that pink nausea cold ... dumping ocean sodium into the the lower stat I wonder what the IOH is down there. Prolly gotta dive a half mile to get the cline waters under 80... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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