Ginx snewx Posted October 24, 2020 Share Posted October 24, 2020 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Crack open another Hmm Nov 1 2010. I am sure you were in panic mode then as well. Like I said you are just talk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 24, 2020 Share Posted October 24, 2020 Why the anger? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 24, 2020 Share Posted October 24, 2020 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Why the anger? He may elitist is all I can think? I thought he was my friend but he’s really hurled some nasty things my way lately. It hurts, not gonna lie 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 24, 2020 Share Posted October 24, 2020 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Why the anger? I don't know why Kevin is so angry and down all the time either. I guess being married to a green lawn and having it divorce him might be the root of it. 38 hurricane guarantee also? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 24, 2020 Share Posted October 24, 2020 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 24, 2020 Share Posted October 24, 2020 27 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: In spring I agree. But in the month leading up to winter we want it cold with snow chances. Unfortunately, the one eyed Alaskan pig has other ideas this year. Enjoy the mild winter then. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 24, 2020 Share Posted October 24, 2020 Scooter asking people why they are so angry is precious considering his past unbridled angry over snowflakes. Its just frozen water dude. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 24, 2020 Share Posted October 24, 2020 Find the cold front. Summer night last night and now temps plummeting. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted October 24, 2020 Share Posted October 24, 2020 sneaky (shallow) cold airmass behind this front .. looks to be coldest in the 900-925mb layer (SNE) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 24, 2020 Share Posted October 24, 2020 Nov 2010 def had a November pig, it was kind of an exception to the Nov pig rule. But I do recall vividly that the vortex was forecasted to break down mid-month...it ended up lasting closer to thanksgiving but it did break down before the month was over, so it never looked very bleak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted October 24, 2020 Share Posted October 24, 2020 Didn't Cheech and Chong perform a song called one-eyed pig? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted October 24, 2020 Share Posted October 24, 2020 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: Find the cold front. Summer night last night and now temps plummeting. Nice gradient pattern starting now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 24, 2020 Share Posted October 24, 2020 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: How we like and want it. True fall . Not the torch it’s been. Until retorch in Nov as the pig digs in I'm glad you're back to making posts I can tolerate. In other news, one and done does not cut it at at mi nuevo casa. Everyone's out blowing leaves (including me). Will probably be back doing it again tomorrow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 24, 2020 Share Posted October 24, 2020 Hmm... that D6/7 scenario .. since the para-G's jest 18z yesterday, every cycle is pretty locked in on a scenario that offers the season's first real synoptic winter complexion. ( Don't want to get into a subjective perspective debate; I realize we had the western ME thing a week or so ago ..but that was elevation reliant and really more meso-beta scales) Now, .. obviously the para' model is in experimental/beta, but some non/less conventionally popular tools are latching on now... That ICON and the GGEM ( 12z ) fits, and when considering the GGEM warm bias at this time range ...and the fact that it parks a 1030 mb nascent polar high NW of Maine and arcs the llv +PP down into the damming/barrier jet climo ...heh, I don't think the GGEM's totally liquid in that scenario frankly. Plus, as I intimated, the PNA is sharply rising then - that's a native H.A. signal, particularly when the positive NAO is afoot - and those two tend to run along in a modest anti-correlation, so the notion overall has the statistical support.. What we have here is a +NAO that is west-based in the hypsometric layout. Concurrent in these models that are tipping into an an early consensus (?) is thus a strengthening N-stream jet aecing over SE Canada .. That creates a confluence flow structure, under which indeed we find an arm of gathering polar +PP ... this is becoming increasingly evident in the guidance I've seen ... ICONic, GGEM, GFS, Para-G, and Japan.. haven't checked the Euro but my confidence in that guidance beyond the D4.5 range has been rattled recently ... I haven't seen many individual members of the GEFs just yet, but the trend/blend is subtly deeper upon deep layer approach D5 --> 6 ..not unusual for the GEF camp/oper. to have to back off progressivity leaning toward nearer terms... bear that in mind. The other aspect I'm intrigued by is that if you go look at the Kocin et al and other examples, it is not unusual to have an antecedent quasi cut off low plunk into the SW ...then, gets kicked east to intersect with the N stream ( said )... times well... ( for run, kind of like a tossing b-ball ahead and running and jumping to catch and dunk/self ally -ooper). *Not* intending to suggest a K.U. event here... just that some of the players in a round-about sense bears some precedence - obviously, all of which are formulaic at this time. D6 is late mid/range on the cusp of extended.. granted, but is substantively better performed than a D11 ... 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted October 24, 2020 Share Posted October 24, 2020 could be interesting to see what happens with 95L and how it may affect the modeling of that D6 deal 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 24, 2020 Share Posted October 24, 2020 Can always tell when guidance is a snoozer if Ineedsnow and Metfan don’t post. 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted October 24, 2020 Share Posted October 24, 2020 4 hours ago, powderfreak said: Find the cold front. Summer night last night and now temps plummeting. I'm down in Lowell this weekend. Almost balmy 71/64, but only 50.8/42 at cabin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted October 24, 2020 Share Posted October 24, 2020 4 hours ago, powderfreak said: Find the cold front. Summer night last night and now temps plummeting. Now calculate how fast the front was moving 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted October 24, 2020 Share Posted October 24, 2020 Okay, what is the pig reference about? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 24, 2020 Share Posted October 24, 2020 4 minutes ago, klw said: Okay, what is the pig reference about? 5H vortex over Alaska leading to downstream ridging over the NE US Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 24, 2020 Share Posted October 24, 2020 Cold day up high! Wind chill in the teens. Full winter clothing needed at the picnic tables. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 24, 2020 Share Posted October 24, 2020 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Can always tell when guidance is a snoozer if Ineedsnow and Metfan don’t post. I was sleeping.. I work nights 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 24, 2020 Share Posted October 24, 2020 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Can always tell when guidance is a snoozer if Ineedsnow and Metfan don’t post. It's not a snoozer coming up 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted October 24, 2020 Share Posted October 24, 2020 22 minutes ago, MJO812 said: It's not a snoozer coming up It’s zzzzzzzz 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted October 24, 2020 Share Posted October 24, 2020 Sun finally coming out. High of 60.4f, dropping quick now. Few pics 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 24, 2020 Share Posted October 24, 2020 Pretty crazy that at 5am it was 64F and we slept all night with windows and doors open (almost turned the fan on).... while at 3pm it was 44F. Exact opposite of the normal diurnal swing. It’s been a cold afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted October 24, 2020 Share Posted October 24, 2020 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: Cold day up high! Wind chill in the teens. Full winter clothing needed at the picnic tables. It was cold and windy on Greylock but not quite that cold. I took pictures but it was in the clouds and they're just white. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 24, 2020 Share Posted October 24, 2020 18Z GFSSSSS!!! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 24, 2020 Share Posted October 24, 2020 Short term, I wonder if we can start as a very brief period of snow on Monday morning. I’ve seen it on a few models here and there over the past couple days. Soundings look pretty isothermal and it hits at a favorable part of the day around sunrise to 12z from here and points NE into N.NH/W.ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 24, 2020 Share Posted October 24, 2020 1 hour ago, Lava Rock said: Sun finally coming out. High of 60.4f, dropping quick now. Few pics Nice my burning bushes are burning.. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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