dendrite Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Halloween on genny's in CNE? lol We need to cement our October normal snowfall up here after 2011. In 20 years your son will be wondering how C NH averages 3” of snow for October. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 41 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That’s my feeling this year. I think December maybe only semi wintry month. Hopefully wrong At risk of being presumptuous about what motivates your thinking ... it may not be a bad way to go, Kevin. I could see one basing that on recent years. It's been a recurrent autumnal theme ... +PNAP hints or even observed ...loading Canada - and as I have opined at length in the past, since 2000 really, we've seen more than our fair share of Octobers either featuring snow, or patterns supporting snow. In fact, hundreds of percents more so than the previous 200 years of climate. In my own life, the first 30 years of it I think I smelled snow in the air twice and saw it once in October, splitting that time range between Kalamazoo Michigan and interior eastern Massachusetts. Since 2000? half the years... verified. Boom - I guess fractals can repeat and give illusions of pattern that break down but we wait for that break down to get us back to the Octobers of lore. In the meantime ... it won't be this year... nope - the snow the other day counts and we've added another October to the till when considering the regional scope - The thing is ...one cannot dispute trends, particularly if they are consistent... I don't know...maybe Will and the gang have specific numbers but it seems to my own experience this has been repeating in autumns... By virtue of only half the years since 2000 yeah...there are exceptions ... 2014-2015 ( I think ..) was a puzzlingly horribly protracted warm autumn that ended up in that wack-job February that season... but since then, we've been back at it - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 Just now, dendrite said: lol We need to cement our October normal snowfall up here. In 20 years your son will be wondering how C NH averages 3” of snow for October. He thinks it's either summer or winter up there..lol. Somewhat true! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Halloween on genny's in CNE? Early season snow voodoo prelude to a ratter? I know how you love that theory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 That’s a tasty storm track. Hopefully that is a precursor for the winter. One can dream anyway. #NovaScotiaStrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Early season snow voodoo prelude to a ratter? I know how you love that theory. Need it two days later or winter is toast. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 November looks meh.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 A few drops earlier this morning in the woods hitting the top of the blind with some scattered showers, Didn't amount to much though, 0.01" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Need it two days later or winter is toast. The warning criteria snow I received on Nov 7, 2012 was totally fine, but the Oct 29-30 snow in 2011 totally doomed us. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 Snow setup on the gfs and cmc for interior areas with a nice big high to the north 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The warning criteria snow I received on Nov 7, 2012 was totally fine, but the Oct 29-30 snow in 2011 totally doomed us. I'm still so bitter about that period from 2011 into basically the last day of 2012. You telling me that I had a wife and kids to take care of as you flipped to snow on the other side of the Pru tunnel on 12/30/12. And then Jerry frolicking with the other dude in Brookline, sipping hot chocolate and giggling in the snow like an Abercrombie commercial. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Snow setup on the gfs and cmc for interior areas with a nice big high to the north i would love to see a few mangled flakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 16 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Snow setup on the gfs and cmc for interior areas with a nice big high to the north Every pumpkin downed from S NH to C CT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 Looks like I would be near the line on that...cute fantasy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 29 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: November looks meh.. Yea, August didn't knock my socks off, either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 You know...actually? - if one evals the total synopsis from the eastern Pac to the western Atl and all interstitial shit going on that connects between .... you could argue if that were a month from now, it'd be three pulsed ice-storm with micro bouncers mixed with freezing drizzle in between... But, being that it is by virtue the 2nd worst time of the year behind the no-man's land April ... it's too early to bite on a cold solution .. . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 Hopefully the gfs holds off on my Halloween snow flashover until the first of November Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 Next week doesn’t look overly wet at 12z but it probably won’t be nice either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 @CoastalWx msp crush job currently! They just got upgraded to a winter storm warning for 5-7. If you believe the euro they aren’t close to done this month either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 (New NWS Radar coming Dec 8th 2020) They can't be serious with this radar. Wtf is this? The radar doesnt fully load no matter how long i wait The play button doesnt do anything, no loop And you cant distinguish between dbz intensity very clearly. holy hell, this has got to be a joke, or it needs to be like 100% redone or fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 18 minutes ago, Allsnow said: @CoastalWx msp crush job currently! They just got upgraded to a winter storm warning for 5-7. If you believe the euro they aren’t close to done this month either I was just talking about that. Iowa got crushed with a narrow band of wicked S+ and thunder too. We haven't had much chatter about MSP for whatever reason which I am surprised. fairly busy hub. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: I was just talking about that. Iowa got crushed with a narrow band of wicked S+ and thunder too. We haven't had much chatter about MSP for whatever reason which I am surprised. fairly busy hub. The models have been very steady the pass few days with 5-7 across the city. I get the hesitation because of the time of the year with surface temps but the radar looks great for them. It looks like the snow is having no issue sticking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: The models have been very steady the pass few days with 5-7 across the city. I get the hesitation because of the time of the year with surface temps but the radar looks great for them. It looks like the snow is having no issue sticking Warm ground! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: Warm ground! Lol. Last obs from msp heavy snow .25 vis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: Lol. Last obs from msp heavy snow .25 vis Their discussion used the melting argument (which may be true briefly at onset) and ratios 8-9:1. Not sure how you look at that soundings and see that. Not to mention temps 29-30F. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Their discussion used the melting argument (which may be true briefly at onset) and ratios 8-9:1. Not sure how you look at that soundings and see that. Not to mention temps 29-30F. Yeah, the 2-4 with a WWA made no sense for that area. I would expect a nightmare commute home for those that are still commuting these days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 Just now, Allsnow said: Yeah, the 2-4 with a WWA made no sense for that area. I would expect a nightmare commute home for those that are still commuting these days. Shoulder season events are always hard, just not sure of their logic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 Those are dendy's, not low ratio stuff. Snow covered interstate too. https://lb.511mn.org/mnlb/cameras/camera.jsf?id=48976&view=minnstpaul&text=m&textOnly=false 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 20, 2020 Share Posted October 20, 2020 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Those are dendy's, not low ratio stuff. Snow covered interstate too. https://lb.511mn.org/mnlb/cameras/camera.jsf?id=48976&view=minnstpaul&text=m&textOnly=false 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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