Ginx snewx Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 48 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Man euro with some sort of tropical connection and massive nor'easter at the end of its run. 33 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Boy....something really brewing for Day 9. Fantasy-land GFS has had this for a week now. While the Euro doesn't inject a Cat 4 into the system, it does have an F'ng monster racing up the coast. Zero surprised we get a nasty storm end of October. Its an annual occurrence it seems. Coincide with a full moon and strong high tides, why not. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 GFS loves to overdo the cold in the long run. Here it's going all-out 76-77. Note the -20c as far south as Nebraska: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJOatleast7 Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 2 hours ago, dryslot said: So is this how we chew up those too-warm SSTs and defy the NOAA seasonal? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 Just now, MJOatleast7 said: So is this how we chew up those too-warm SSTs and defy the NOAA seasonal? Definitely would be some upwelling if this came to fruition so who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 16 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Zero surprised we get a nasty storm end of October. Its an annual occurrence it seems. Coincide with a full moon and strong high tides, why not. Yup, Octobomb '11, Sandy, Stowe blowdown, SE Mass mini cane. That week produces some wild stuff. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 16, 2020 Author Share Posted October 16, 2020 22 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Zero surprised we get a nasty storm end of October. Its an annual occurrence it seems. Coincide with a full moon and strong high tides, why not. I would love to know why this happens. You have been a good keeper of record of this almost annual occurrence. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 24 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I would love to know why this happens. You have been a good keeper of record of this almost annual occurrence. It’s the yin of the Xmas eve yang. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 A couple heavy burst of showers in the last 30 mins, First precip of the day and it dropped 0.15" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 Welp, power just went out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 .27” here so far. 55.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Welp, power just went out. did a mouse fart? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 10 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Welp, power just went out. Nice!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 7 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: did a mouse fart? Chipmunk. I was working in my basement but I had put my cell phone down on the workbench about 30 feet away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: Chipmunk. I was working in my basement but I had put my cell phone down on the workbench about 30 feet away. do you have high winds? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 6 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: do you have high winds? He is high alright. Like Panama red... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: He is high alright. Like Panama red... 60/40 hybrid high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 Phinn can let us know how the GFS performs if he's in Randolph. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 28 minutes ago, dryslot said: Phinn can let us know how the GFS performs if he's in Randolph. I think he will need 2k per most guidance, likely 2.5K. Thats basically the areas that NHC Gray map shows 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: I think he will need 2k per most guidance At least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 Just now, dryslot said: At least. Why can't we have a mountain lodge like they do in Snowshoe, Wv. At the top of the mountain. SnowShoe has a whole village on top with many places over 4700' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 Has anybody looked at a sounding? I feel like you may not need to be as high as people think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Has anybody looked at a sounding? I feel like you may not need to be as high as people think. yes sir. 925's on GFS are good to go after about 7am in Franconia and Pinkham notch. I was thinking 22-2400. How long can we go? Not talkingabout a change over to a snow shower, talking about 2 inches and up for accums. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 Yeah even Gene may see some flakes mix in briefly. 49° -RA 0.79” so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Has anybody looked at a sounding? I feel like you may not need to be as high as people think. Nope, I'm sure some mangled flakes will make it to the valley floor for some, But it will be dependent on how much cold air gets worked in and how soon it happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 Hard to try and compare this to something in winter, but this could have been a nasty rain to freezing rain and sleet mess in a lot of areas with a blitz in western CT/MA into VT and NH. Flip to snow at the end with several inches out East. The cold is fairly shallow for awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 I think its a small window for this to fall as snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 i let you know what 2800' on the Kanc looks like at 10am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 3 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Zero surprised we get a nasty storm end of October. Its an annual occurrence it seems. Coincide with a full moon and strong high tides, why not. I've been thinking this could be the year for awhile, similarities to 2012 with low arctic sea ice, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 6 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: i let you know what 2800' on the Kanc looks like at 10am Find something further north. The Kanc is a little downwind of the whites and maybe won’t have the impact that even 2K has in the whites. Base of MWN maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 3 hours ago, Go Kart Mozart said: GFS loves to overdo the cold in the long run. Here it's going all-out 76-77. Note the -20c as far south as Nebraska: fixed in the para GFS check it out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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