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October 2020 Discussion


HoarfrostHubb
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  On 10/21/2020 at 2:34 PM, CoastalWx said:

Kevin has been a meteorological mess since last year. 

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He's probably secretly terrified of an '07-'08 where Ray gets like 100" and he has 50". So he's trying to make the entire region a rat.....misery loves company as the old saying goes.

 

But honestly, this could be good for everyone too. I don't see anything definitive at the moment....which is normal in late October.

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  On 10/21/2020 at 2:37 PM, ORH_wxman said:

He's probably secretly terrified of an '07-'08 where Ray gets like 100" and he has 50". So he's trying to make the entire region a rat.....misery loves company as the old saying goes.

 

But honestly, this could be good for everyone too. I don't see anything definitive at the moment....which is normal in late October.

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What did he get that year? Like 53"?

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  On 10/21/2020 at 2:37 PM, ORH_wxman said:

He's probably secretly terrified of an '07-'08 where Ray gets like 100" and he has 50". So he's trying to make the entire region a rat.....misery loves company as the old saying goes.

 

But honestly, this could be good for everyone too. I don't see anything definitive at the moment....which is normal in late October.

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I just don't get having to be pessimistic going into this. But to each his own. 

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  On 10/21/2020 at 2:37 PM, ORH_wxman said:

He's probably secretly terrified of an '07-'08 where Ray gets like 100" and he has 50". So he's trying to make the entire region a rat.....misery loves company as the old saying goes.

 

But honestly, this could be good for everyone too. I don't see anything definitive at the moment....which is normal in late October.

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We’re deff in a strengthening nina state though with a more northern stream dominated weather pattern though? So we can rule out a few things. 

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  On 10/21/2020 at 2:39 PM, CoastalWx said:

I just don't get having to be pessimistic going into this. But to each his own. 

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The only slam-dunk limiting factors that I see are:

1) La nina will be moderate, not weak

2) La nina is basin wide, and has not remained relegated to the east basin.

3) QBO is positive.

None of those are death knells.

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