CoastalWx Posted October 14, 2020 Share Posted October 14, 2020 Just now, powderfreak said: Yeah it’s been a bad model. 12 hours ago (1 run of the old Euro) it had a 990-something cyclone plowing into PWM with strong conveyor belts. Forky’s animation is hilarious for the KING. Well at least it isn't winter..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 14, 2020 Share Posted October 14, 2020 People need to realize that it does that on the other side too - ..i.e,. it raises heights too emphatically over eastern N/A when there are settle-out depressions in the hypsometric layout over the west. I wonder if the big D6.5 to 10 warm spell isn't getting a 20% kickback or some indeterminate amount, too - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 14, 2020 Share Posted October 14, 2020 Oh it's not going to stop doing this shit in winter 'kidding me - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 14, 2020 Share Posted October 14, 2020 and again... yes, Will is right that the GFS tends to do better in faster flows... but, it also is "too fast" relative to that fast flow too - It's too fast relative to any circumstance - so the underlying canvas is fast and that does happen to placate a model that has a fast error - flirts with making it right for the wrong reasons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 14, 2020 Share Posted October 14, 2020 Lol, so basically they all suck shit - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 14, 2020 Share Posted October 14, 2020 18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: AMOUT Yea 1.5 to 2 inches of rain amout 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 14, 2020 Share Posted October 14, 2020 still a good amount of QPF, just not insane like previous runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 14, 2020 Share Posted October 14, 2020 10 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Yeah it’s been a bad model. 12 hours ago (1 run of the old Euro) it had a 990-something cyclone plowing into PWM with strong conveyor belts. Forky’s animation is hilarious for the KING. It hasn’t been the king in A Long Time. It flat out sucks now. Been getting progressively worse too with each so called upgrade. What a shame, they ruined that model from what it once was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 14, 2020 Share Posted October 14, 2020 13 minutes ago, forkyfork said: useless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 14, 2020 Share Posted October 14, 2020 25 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Yea 1.5 to 2 inches of rain amout Sell. Not done progressing . Trend not your slow moving friend you bought this morning 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 14, 2020 Share Posted October 14, 2020 I don’t think it changes much from now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 14, 2020 Share Posted October 14, 2020 Byestein 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 14, 2020 Share Posted October 14, 2020 Its still 1-2"+ for many, Lock it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 14, 2020 Share Posted October 14, 2020 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I don’t think it changes much from now. Grab an inch and consider yourself lucky 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 14, 2020 Share Posted October 14, 2020 Yeah it's been 1-2" for days now, even the more progressive GFS is 1"+ for many Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted October 14, 2020 Share Posted October 14, 2020 34 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Sell. Not done progressing . Trend not your slow moving friend you bought this morning The trend actually probably helps you and people East get more QPF. I’m as big of a Stein guy as you, but this looks like a solid 1” plus.... and more like 1.5-2” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 14, 2020 Share Posted October 14, 2020 1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: The trend actually probably helps you and people East get more QPF. I’m as big of a Stein guy as you, but this looks like a solid 1” plus.... and more like 1.5-2” 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Sell. Not done progressing . Trend not your slow moving friend you bought this morning Meh like yesterday you can't persistence forecast forever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 14, 2020 Share Posted October 14, 2020 Yeah you shook weenies need to get over it. He gone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 14, 2020 Share Posted October 14, 2020 Congrats Phin. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 14, 2020 Share Posted October 14, 2020 Just now, dryslot said: Congrats Phin. See! We always knew that Whitefield was the snowiest spot out of the Jackman, Eustis, Rangley, Berlin axis, haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 14, 2020 Share Posted October 14, 2020 Just now, powderfreak said: See! We always knew that Whitefield was the snowiest spot out of the Jackman, Eustis, Rangley, Berlin axis, haha. I may have to road trip up to area51. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 14, 2020 Share Posted October 14, 2020 Just now, dryslot said: I may have to road trip up to area51 Find some plateau up there at 2,500ft and do some riding around lol. 925mb still is extremely marginal, I think you’d want at least 2000ft or more in elevation... what’s the elevation around Jackman? That’s where I think the best shot at CCB snows might be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 14, 2020 Share Posted October 14, 2020 5 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Find some plateau up there at 2,500ft and do some riding around lol. 925mb still is extremely marginal, I think you’d want at least 2000ft or more in elevation... what’s the elevation around Jackman? That’s where I think the best shot at CCB snows might be. Yeah, In town its 1,375" which i don't think will cut it, You would have to back road in on some old logging roads to get up in some higher elevations to the NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 14, 2020 Share Posted October 14, 2020 59 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah you shook weenies need to get over it. He gone. So if I pull up the drought monitor next week, it won’t show any drought conditions in the northeast? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted October 14, 2020 Share Posted October 14, 2020 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah you shook weenies need to get over it. He gone. 9 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: So if I pull up the drought monitor next week, it won’t show any drought conditions in the northeast? Yeah... yesterday was nice... but to be fair, long way to go. The pond at work doesn’t look any different today... we’re going to need to string some events together Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 14, 2020 Share Posted October 14, 2020 25 minutes ago, dryslot said: Yeah, In town its 1,375" which i don't think will cut it, You would have to back road in on some old logging roads to get up in some higher elevations to the NW. Where ever that photo from May was taken of your buddy servicing the wind farm seems like a good place to start lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 14, 2020 Share Posted October 14, 2020 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Where ever that photo from May was taken of your buddy servicing the wind farm seems like a good place to start lol. That's Kibby mtn, 3,655 elevation would do it........... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 14, 2020 Share Posted October 14, 2020 18 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: So if I pull up the drought monitor next week, it won’t show any drought conditions in the northeast? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 14, 2020 Share Posted October 14, 2020 13 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 14, 2020 Share Posted October 14, 2020 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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