Bostonseminole Posted September 29, 2020 Author Share Posted September 29, 2020 hrrr is a good soaking for many, put the Stein tweets away EURO also wet into next week.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 Alive and kicking? Ru f'ing kidding me. Down to 0.3" on that output. WTH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 Just now, Lava Rock said: 17 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Alive and kicking? Ru f'ing kidding me. Down to 0.3" on that output. WTH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 Can't wait till winter with these models. Three days ago we would be celebrating 18-24". Now we get a dusting with fropa. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 5 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: hrrr is a good soaking for many, put the Stein tweets away EURO also wet into next week.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 lol at the (over)reaction to the HDRPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted September 29, 2020 Author Share Posted September 29, 2020 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: yeah same thought I had when I saw you posted that tweet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzard24 Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 lets see if models are to wet for this week for sne area seen it before that we got lot less rain than forecast 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 20 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: hrrr is a good soaking for many, put the Stein tweets away EURO also wet into next week.. It's comparatively MEH here to other areas. A little over 1". I'm on the Canadian Train for day 10 rains. 2.70" will make ma happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 How we looking for damaging gusts? Wouldn't mind taking a few down throughout town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: It looks like you’ll completely miss this first round of showers. Basically some sheet drizzle here right now with heavy stuff to the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 Tonight A chance of rain and thunderstorms before 1am, then rain likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 1am and 2am, then rain after 2am. Patchy fog between 10pm and 3am. Low around 64. South wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Wednesday Rain and possibly a thunderstorm before 11am, then a chance of rain between 11am and 2pm. Patchy fog between 7am and noon. High near 71. West wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 47 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Wednesday Night Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming clear, with a low around 51. Southwest wind around 6 mph. LOL--my p/c. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 Just now, moneypitmike said: Tonight A chance of rain and thunderstorms before 1am, then rain likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 1am and 2am, then rain after 2am. Patchy fog between 10pm and 3am. Low around 64. South wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Wednesday Rain and possibly a thunderstorm before 11am, then a chance of rain between 11am and 2pm. Patchy fog between 7am and noon. High near 71. West wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 47 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Wednesday Night Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming clear, with a low around 51. Southwest wind around 6 mph. LOL--my p/c. That is quite the wording for such precip amounts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 15 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: It looks like you’ll completely miss this first round of showers. Basically some sheet drizzle here right now with heavy stuff to the west. It’s fine line or bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 We 18z NAM. Pretty good consensus up this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 This initial setup blows. Relying on convective blobs to materialize over this area is about as riveting as watching paint dry. 18z NAMs show like 1/10" to 1/4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That is quite the wording for such precip amounts? Yeah--'mist' would align better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 13 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: This initial setup blows. Relying on convective blobs to materialize over this area is about as riveting as watching paint dry. 18z NAMs show like 1/10" to 1/4". Yeah counting on a sporadic downpour to produce good rain totals is an exercise in futility. We aren’t going to see much rain here, you can take that to the bank Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Difflock Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 .57" here so far today 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted September 29, 2020 Author Share Posted September 29, 2020 he strong jet dynamics mentioned above will combined with Pwats on the order of 2 inches. This is 3 to 4 standard deviations above normal for this time of year. This recipe will result in a band of heavy rain sweeping across the region overnight into mid morning Wednesday. The heaviest rain should be across interior MA & CT in vicinity of the surface low pressure system where the best low level convergence exists. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are anticipated with localized amounts of 2.50 to 3 inches possible. Across eastern MA/RI, bands heavy rain will be possible but being further removed from the low level forcing amounts of 0.50 to 1 inch are more reasonable. While some nuisance poor drainage street flooding is possible, do not think amounts will rise to the level of producing significant flooding. Therefore, no flood watch will be issued with this package. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 21 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: he strong jet dynamics mentioned above will combined with Pwats on the order of 2 inches. This is 3 to 4 standard deviations above normal for this time of year. This recipe will result in a band of heavy rain sweeping across the region overnight into mid morning Wednesday. The heaviest rain should be across interior MA & CT in vicinity of the surface low pressure system where the best low level convergence exists. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are anticipated with localized amounts of 2.50 to 3 inches possible. Across eastern MA/RI, bands heavy rain will be possible but being further removed from the low level forcing amounts of 0.50 to 1 inch are more reasonable. While some nuisance poor drainage street flooding is possible, do not think amounts will rise to the level of producing significant flooding. Therefore, no flood watch will be issued with this package. Nah hardly any will fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 Quick half inch in an hour at AQW in the Berkshires. Packing some decent rain rates, wouldn’t take long to get a soaking rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Nah hardly any will fall. All moving N to NE... looks like it’ll miss, right? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Nah hardly any will fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 Wow, there is an actual blob of real precip headed towards my house. It's been a while. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Between tonight which may not be much there, some rain Friday and a larger threat Monday and maybe even mid week..I think he’s letting go. No reason to throw all eggs in one basket just for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 72/65 Light rain. First dripage in weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 It rained a bit while I was walking the dog. First legit rain I had felt in a couple of weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 Water from the sky now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 The streak ends at 18.5 days. It just showered Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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