CoastalWx Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 On 9/29/2020 at 12:29 AM, powderfreak said: How does a literal deterministic model run “translate” to something different than shown? It literally shows you the exact output... but you then “translate” into a different outcome? I’m confused. Like when a snow map shows 8” and that “translates” to widespread 12+? Expand Opposite of lollies? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 On 9/28/2020 at 11:23 PM, PhineasC said: Let's hope everyone becomes sick of seeing that phrase. Expand Count me in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 On 9/29/2020 at 12:31 AM, CoastalWx said: Opposite of lollies? Expand Ha maybe? It’s just the model literally gives you a deterministic outcome. It’s not like making guesses based on H5 or something. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted September 29, 2020 Author Share Posted September 29, 2020 i hope that satellite radio is free.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 On 9/29/2020 at 12:09 AM, Damage In Tolland said: That translates into about .50-75 for most with some 1” amounts. Not the Stein buster you guys promised Expand We knew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 On 9/29/2020 at 12:32 AM, powderfreak said: Ha maybe? It’s just the model literally gives you a deterministic outcome. It’s not like making guesses based on H5 or something. Expand I do have some concerns for him. I’ve never seen him this bad. Lord save his family if winter sucks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 On 9/29/2020 at 12:40 AM, HIPPYVALLEY said: We knew. Expand We do know. From “no rain can happen” last week, and now 1-3” region wide is still Stein. You should be in a good spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 On 9/29/2020 at 12:29 AM, powderfreak said: How does a literal deterministic model run “translate” to something different than shown? It literally shows you the exact output... but you then “translate” into a different outcome? I’m confused. Is that like when a snow map shows 8” and you “translate” to widespread 12+? Expand You just might be starting to catch on to his games? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 On 9/29/2020 at 12:42 AM, CoastalWx said: We do know. From “no rain can happen” last week, and now 1-3” region wide is still Stein. You should be in a good spot. Expand And reality says .50-75 for most . That is helpful but doesn’t drown Stein at all. ENE shower Friday and Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 On 9/29/2020 at 12:48 AM, Damage In Tolland said: And reality says .50-75 for most . That is helpful but doesn’t drown Stein at all. ENE shower Friday and Monday Expand I’ll take the over. That amount might be more for eastern areas maybe? I think many will see a good drink. Won’t be 3-6” but don’t see why a large chunk can’t get 1-2+. Especially western and central areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 On 9/29/2020 at 12:42 AM, CoastalWx said: We do know. From “no rain can happen” last week, and now 1-3” region wide is still Stein. You should be in a good spot. Expand Yeah, honestly I would be OK if we only had the lower end amounts here. You guys need it more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 And you wonder why we get hostile. constant weenie battles. I don’t know why I get sucked into those disasters, but I feel compelled to correct bad information. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 On 9/29/2020 at 12:48 AM, Damage In Tolland said: And reality says .50-75 for most . That is helpful but doesn’t drown Stein at all. ENE shower Friday and Monday Expand This will magically undergo a metamorphosis and become “widespread 1-2 feet, and then Friday and Monday are 6-10 river-eastward” during winter. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
S&P Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 .24” neighborhood stations, good start, some quick greening in spots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 On 9/29/2020 at 12:58 AM, S&P said: .24” neighborhood stations, good start, some quick greening in spots Expand Rapid response I noticed too. Much needed here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 On 9/29/2020 at 12:56 AM, ORH_wxman said: This will magically undergo a metamorphosis and become “widespread 1-2 feet, and then Friday and Monday are 6-10 river-eastward” during winter. Expand In reality, that translates to a widespread 5-8", and then Friday and Monday are 2-4" river eastward during winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 On 9/29/2020 at 1:03 AM, powderfreak said: In reality, that translates to a widespread 5-8", and then Friday and Monday are 2-4" river eastward during winter. Expand And that 2-4 is most Always a coating to an inch in real reality. But it makes it easier to take/sounds better to just say 2-4 and fool ones self. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
S&P Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 On 9/29/2020 at 1:02 AM, CoastalWx said: Rapid response I noticed too. Much needed here. Expand I have been watering, so ground easily accepts any water, but my neighbors who haven’t been watering, started to green up in spots, but some have long term damage that will require reseeding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 On 9/28/2020 at 11:33 PM, powderfreak said: Ha right on the first few snows. Now Phin should get snow in those similar upslope events... but I think this first winter more folks will be curious of his area as it’s new to the forum. There will be a novelty factor. But once they figure out that zone just has flakes in the air all the time too, they’ll tune it out fast . Expand Over/under on when he gets told he should post more in the NNE thread? I'll say 6. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 HWW? Geez 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 Pretty solid agreement I'll be a stones throw away from the heavy band. Close but no cigar. i'll need to content myself with 4-8 instad of 15-20. Alas. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 Ginx, are those gravity waves in the last panel? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 On 9/29/2020 at 10:40 AM, HoarfrostHubb said: Ginx, are those gravity waves in the last panel? Expand Looks like helicity maxes. Kevs team rainfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 Droughtstein continues on the gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 On 9/29/2020 at 10:45 AM, Ginx snewx said: Looks like helicity maxes. Kevs team rainfall Expand Will take anything at this point, 1-3 inches state wide sounds good. Reading a thread from our old town and it seems like there are quite a few people experiencing well issues over the past week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 Should be some good rains region wide. Less for Taunton hopefully. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 Wind may be an issue for ern CT into RI and ern MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 On 9/29/2020 at 11:37 AM, CoastalWx said: Should be some good rains region wide. Less for Taunton hopefully. Expand It's a lock, we screwgied. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 On 9/29/2020 at 11:45 AM, Baroclinic Zone said: It's a lock, we screwgied. Expand You still have a chance I'm playing golf in Easton tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 29, 2020 Share Posted September 29, 2020 On 9/29/2020 at 11:45 AM, Baroclinic Zone said: It's a lock, we screwgied. Expand They'll be some downpours well ahead of the main line. I wouldn't shocked if you caught some of that too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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