Rjay Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 1 hour ago, IrishRob17 said: 23 here...I can feel the love from @Rjay I initially put you in there but I figured you'd post it without me asking lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 Under mostly sunny skies, the temperature rose into the middle 40s making for a perfect mid-autumn day. Three photos: 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 41 minutes ago, Rjay said: I initially put you in there but I figured you'd post it without me asking lol Is that a shot? It sounds like a shot. Speaking of shots... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 35 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Is that a shot? It sounds like a shot. Speaking of shots... Not a shot lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 1, 2020 Share Posted November 1, 2020 Despite abundant sunshine, much of the region saw high temperatures reach no higher than the 40s. October 2020 had a monthly mean temperature of 57.9°, which was 1.0° above normal. Parts of New England experienced a historic October snowfall yesterday. Select seasonal snowfall totals through today are: Albany: 1.2" (2019-2020: 49.7") Boston: 4.3" (2019-2020: 15.8") Caribou: 1.5" (2019-2020: 151.9") November will commence on a cool note with the first week winding up cooler than normal. A surge of cold air could move into the region early next week. A prolonged period of above normal temperatures could develop latter part of the first week of November. The first half of the month will likely wind up at least somewhat warmer than normal and November should wind up somewhat warmer than normal overall (1° to 2° above normal). The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -1.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -1.4°C for the week centered around October 21. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.87°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -1.15°C. La Niña conditions will likely prevail at least into mid-winter. The SOI was +20.30. Today, the preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was +1.209. On October 30 the MJO was in Phase 7 at an amplitude of 1.369 (RMM). The October 29-adjusted amplitude was 1.277. Since 1950, there have been five cases where a La Niña developed during June-July-August or afterward following an El Niño winter. 4/5 (80%) of those cases saw a predominant EPO+/AO+ winter pattern. The most recent such case was 2016-17. 9/10 (90%) of the La Niña winters that followed an El Niño winter featured a predominantly positive EPO. A predominant EPO+/AO+ pattern is likely for winter 2020-21. In response, it is likely that the Middle Atlantic and southern New England areas will see a warmer than normal winter with potentially below normal snowfall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 1, 2020 Share Posted November 1, 2020 A record 11 consecutive warmer than average Octobers. Oct.......EWR...NYC...LGA 2020...+1.5...+1.0...+1.8 2019..+3.8...+3.0 ...+2.8 2018...+0.8...+0.8...+1.7 2017...+7.2...+7.2...+7.4 2016...+2.3...+1.9....+3.1 2015...+0.6...+1.1....+0.3 2014...+2.7...+2.7....+2.2 2013...+3.0....+3.3...+2.8 2012...+2.2....+1.1....+1.9 2011...+1.5...+0.2.....+0.2 2010...+1.7...+1.2....+2.1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 1, 2020 Share Posted November 1, 2020 Morning thoughts... At 7:45 AM, an area of rain associated with an advancing cold front stretched from Ohio into Ontario. Another area of rain and showers that extended from portions of South Carolina into Virginia was heading northeastward. Clouds will increase during the day and some showers and periods of rain are likely during the afternoon and evening hours. It will be mild. Temperatures will likely reach the middle and upper 50s across the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 55° Newark: 57° Philadelphia: 58° Tomorrow will be very windy, blustery and cold. Some snow flurries and heavier snow showers are possible in parts of the region. 30-Day Verification: New York City (Central Park): Average daily forecast: 63.4° Average temperature: 63.2° Average error: 1.3° Newark: Average daily forecast: 65.8° Average temperature: 65.4° Average error: 1.7° Philadelphia: Average daily forecast: 66.7° Average temperature: 67.1° Average error: 1.3° 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 October ends up averaging 57.9 in CP...the 1981-2010 average was 57.2...the 1991-2020 average is 57.7... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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