PowellVolz Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 Wild GFS v16 6z storm: What the crap. This shows you why the mods are so hard to trust. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted March 14, 2021 Share Posted March 14, 2021 GFS v 16 brought my baby back: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted March 14, 2021 Share Posted March 14, 2021 GFS v 16 brought my baby back: Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted March 14, 2021 Share Posted March 14, 2021 On 3/12/2021 at 1:03 PM, John1122 said: Why is there a regular manipulation of data by either MRX or the NOAA? They put out a graphic of snowfall totals from the blizzard of 1993 that doesn't live in reality. It shows 15 inches for Lafollette and I know that area got 22 inches as I personally measured it there. My area was well over 2 feet and above 3000 feet had 36 inches. My county average is 18 inches. I very clearly remember Tys recording over 15 inches and data from the time shows a snow depth of 15 inches at TYS. People I know who lived north of the city recorded 18 inches. They show Knoxville receiving 13.5 inches now and Knox County averaging 13.5. Probably the worst manipulation on the map, it shows Tazewell with 9 inches but official data from the Tazewell reporting station has an observation of an 18 inch snow depth. My uncle lives near there and he recorded 22 inches of snowfall. No idea why this is done in this area. Ive noticed this happening strongly lately. Dont know the exact reasoning but, may be just the "newbies" basically doing estimates , or manipulating to their thinking on how they feel the area probably did in actuality in "their" minds. Quite possibly basing some of that on how models "see" the area. They also do this on their website with their, " this day in history". They mention way less snowfall amounts with events than actual reported amounts. Sad ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted March 15, 2021 Share Posted March 15, 2021 So..... BINGO card time for the storm chasers this Wednesday?? I was going to say Reed Trimmer sighting was the freebie and sure enough, he's already been sighted. I think my wxtwitter feed is just now getting some of the storm chaser shenanigans in it (previously, mostly winter wx stuff). If they're having trouble chasing tornados in western KS and TX, they may be in more trouble in the Upper SE, lol. I didn't quite catch everything that happened with the latest high plains chase session, (other than the now ubiquitous Dodge City windmill farm "No"), but are we about to get a bunch of the chaser newbies in the Upper SE (probably S and W of Eastern TN)? If we're gonna get some severe (not in this thread to talk about the likelihood or lack of it), might as well have the drama and comedy of wxtwitter pay a visit. Some BINGO card suggestions...... 1. Reed Trimmer is the free space 2. somebody tweets "where is the tornado??!!" with a Radarscope image of them next to a velocity couplet 3. somebody drives down a private gravel road and gets chased off with a shotgun 4. somebody from another forum area posts in the TN valley severe thread at 2 AM asking why only 2 people are awake digitally chasing the event as it is consolidating into a line of convection 5. We figure out someway to include the Johnny Cash image or birthday cake doodle dog images in a severe wx meme that only 10 - 13 people will understand and appreciate 6. another chaser mocks #3 on twitter 7. 2011 mention on twitter 8. Jeff Piotrowski sighting (another free space of your choice if he finds something like the infamous blue shed) That's all I can think of for now. PS, this is not me hating on storm chasers. I was just more interested in the interpersonal interactions I saw on wxtwitter after the latest high plains chase/ event, than the actual event, though I always love the hi res satellite imagery of the convective trains horizontal rotation getting lifted vertically. And this: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted March 15, 2021 Share Posted March 15, 2021 Twitter drama was beyond stupid Saturday. That's why I prefer American Wx (Tenn region) another more heavily moderated form, and some niche Discord channels. Twitter auto-censor jailed anyone for writing Memphis. How?! Texas Panhandle actually had a very good day. It was predictable and mostly chasable; except, most of those fools don't know what their doing. Anyone chasing alone, that's a key indicator of stupid. No situational awareness and/or very dangerous distracted driver. Why predictable? Dry line intersections with both the warm front and differential heating boundary went tornado. WF was the Canadian TX twins. Diffy heating boundary acted as an outflow boundary, and produced the Happy wedge. Then other more photogenetic tornadoes were documented in between. Should have been easy! Back to Banter. Brackets could allow a Tennessee vs Kansas national championship game! Both teams are inconsistent shooting from the field (clutch or brick) and are inconsistent on defense (suffocating or soft). Kansas does not have our taller inside guy this weekend, not good. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted March 15, 2021 Share Posted March 15, 2021 Twitter drama was beyond stupid Saturday. That's why I prefer American Wx (Tenn region) another more heavily moderated form, and some niche Discord channels. Twitter auto-censor jailed anyone for writing Memphis. How?! Texas Panhandle actually had a very good day. It was predictable and mostly chasable; except, most of those fools don't know what their doing. Anyone chasing alone, that's a key indicator or stupid. No situational awareness and/or very dangerous distracted driver. Why predictable? Dry line intersections with both the warm front and differential heating boundary went tornado. WF was the Canadian TX twins. Diffy heating boundary acted as an outflow boundary, and produced the Happy wedge. Then other more photogenetic tornadoes were documented in between. Should have been easy! Back to Banter. Brackets could allow a Tennessee vs Kansas national championship game! Both teams are inconsistent shooting from the field (clutch or brick) and are inconsistent on defense (suffocating or soft). Kansas does not have our taller inside guy this weekend, not good.Tennessee vs Oklahoma St will be a interesting matchup. I think Tennessee has a couple of guys that can guard Ok St’s stud freshman . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greyhound Posted March 18, 2021 Share Posted March 18, 2021 I know it's been said before, but I have to say it again......the new radar that the NWS put out not too long ago is just plain God-awful. It's worse than the old dial-up days of the internet. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted March 19, 2021 Share Posted March 19, 2021 On 3/18/2021 at 10:39 AM, Greyhound said: I know it's been said before, but I have to say it again......the new radar that the NWS put out not too long ago is just plain God-awful. It's worse than the old dial-up days of the internet. ^THIS TBH^ Radar is slick when nothing is going on. Streets are underlaid and all dual pole products are there. Any weather bogs down the system though. LOL it ain't vendors pinging nws servers. Casual users can't get a page to download. In other bitter met face news, Wichita State choked away the game at the end. If any of our teams (everyone on this forum) choke like that we'll have cows. I forgot to change my bracket so hopefully Drake beats USC, lol! On the bright side it eliminates the personal conflict of a Wichita State vs Kansas game. Good luck to everyone here! I have three brackets: Kansas, Tennessee, and Michigan. Two are somewhat wish-cast and one is a forecast. Probably should have done an Alabama and Baylor, but I guess keep 'em different conferences. From NWS Reno 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted March 19, 2021 Author Share Posted March 19, 2021 I prefer football as a whole but this is the best weekend in sports. Nothing has more drama than win or go home for 48 teams over the course of 4 days. Also screw UF/SEC office for not suspending Omar Payne. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted March 19, 2021 Author Share Posted March 19, 2021 Regular season Rick strikes again. Terrible job this year by Barnes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted March 21, 2021 Share Posted March 21, 2021 Regular season Rick strikes again. Terrible job this year by Barnes. He is so disappointing as a tournament coach. I don’t get it. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted March 30, 2021 Author Share Posted March 30, 2021 Anyone else get an error message when trying to use the nws point forecast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted March 30, 2021 Share Posted March 30, 2021 1 hour ago, John1122 said: Anyone else get an error message when trying to use the nws point forecast? I was getting one for the AFDs this AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted April 25, 2021 Share Posted April 25, 2021 Went to watch my daughter dance today @ the Ryman,$32 to just park at that damn place,please !!,She got double platinum which is second place,so this took some of my misery away with the $35 dollar admission fee..lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted April 29, 2021 Share Posted April 29, 2021 Got my first COVID shot Monday.Man,that just sucked the life out of me until today,no energy, just wanted to stay in bed.I didn't feel nothing when she gave the shot until later that night,felt like someone kept giving me a frog in my arm for about 24 hrs. I'm not looking forward to the booster shot in 2 weeks,that's gonna suck i bet every thing i'm hearing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted April 30, 2021 Share Posted April 30, 2021 Chances are the second will be easier. I'm hearing it's one or the other, not both. What brand did you receive? I got Moderna and have been fully vaccinated for a week. First was uneventful, just a sore arm. Second was actually less sore. However I was so sleepy the next day. Still retained moderate energy though. No headache, other than mild I need coffee on a cloudy day. No chills. No fever. No problem! Sleepy but with energy, in my case, is defined as taking a cat nap and then going jogging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted April 30, 2021 Share Posted April 30, 2021 1 hour ago, nrgjeff said: Chances are the second will be easier. I'm hearing it's one or the other, not both. What brand did you receive? I got Moderna and have been fully vaccinated for a week. First was uneventful, just a sore arm. Second was actually less sore. However I was so sleepy the next day. Still retained moderate energy though. No headache, other than mild I need coffee on a cloudy day. No chills. No fever. No problem! Sleepy but with energy, in my case, is defined as taking a cat nap and then going jogging. Pfizer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 24, 2021 Share Posted August 24, 2021 For anyone interested in NFL pickem pay league please see the following link. We have done it for 3-years but skipped last year due to COVID. The annual free league is also back and please check out the sports side and the thread for that if interested: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted September 16, 2021 Author Share Posted September 16, 2021 It's out in fantasy land but the GFS is advertising highs in the 50s and the first frost in the area in late September. I remember a few Septembers with light frosts before. Huge grain of salt with it that far out though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted October 12, 2021 Share Posted October 12, 2021 Oh my look at this! Not a forecast, just banter. Please don't share outside this forum. Snow on Halloween again? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted October 12, 2021 Author Share Posted October 12, 2021 5 hours ago, nrgjeff said: Oh my look at this! Not a forecast, just banter. Please don't share outside this forum. Snow on Halloween again? 1993 redux?? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted October 14, 2021 Share Posted October 14, 2021 On 10/12/2021 at 9:41 AM, nrgjeff said: Oh my look at this! Not a forecast, just banter. Please don't share outside this forum. Snow on Halloween again? LOL. Posted something similar in the fall discussion thread on Monday. On second thought, banter was probably the better choice....but it was a slow day. Kind of unreal how nice the set-up for the time frame is! And yes, huge grain!!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 Fantasy Miller B and a flurry for Blunderstorm on the 0z GFS!!! If we get snow on All Saints Day instead of Halloween it is a 150% better omen for winter...right?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted October 23, 2021 Share Posted October 23, 2021 1st weenie map of 21/22 lol... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cotton7204 Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 18z gfs dropping some more weenie-ish stuff in long range. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted October 24, 2021 Author Share Posted October 24, 2021 Bank it! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 Possible "phoon" recurving off of the Japan coast in a few days which would fall in line basically with the timing possibly of those maps 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 You gotta think something is going to happen during this time frame,recurving typhoon and a crashing SOI.But right now it could be anything,could even be severe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted October 30, 2021 Share Posted October 30, 2021 So close, lol: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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