Greyhound Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 Now that the first big threat of the season is here, the social media "weathermen" are posting clown maps all over the place to get more likes and shares. On top of that, the general public has a more favorable view of these guys than they do real meteorologists - mainly because these guys start posting 10 day snow maps and the real Mets don't talk totals until 96 hours or less from the event. Am I the only one that really gets annoyed with these guys? All day long!!! And they have to use ALL CAPS to underscore the devastation that will face our cities!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Now that the first big threat of the season is here, the social media "weathermen" are posting clown maps all over the place to get more likes and shares. On top of that, the general public has a more favorable view of these guys than they do real meteorologists - mainly because these guys start posting 10 day snow maps and the real Mets don't talk totals until 96 hours or less from the event. Am I the only one that really gets annoyed with these guys? A friend of mine sent me this….lol, SMH. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silas Lang Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 4 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: A friend of mine sent me this….lol, SMH WHY ARE WE YELLING? But, seriously this account just took the 6z GFS run and stated it as a forecast. Which is the problem with these accounts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted December 17, 2022 Author Share Posted December 17, 2022 I've seen that post showing the 12z gfs snowfall map from that person shared at least 25 times on social media today. It wears me out. The worse part, he claimed all models were showing it then argued with the few people who told him how futile it was to even share that map on social media with people who don't understand its context. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greyhound Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Ken Weathers with WATE Knoxville has a good post passively addressing all the Facebook weather forecasters. Here’s a graphic he posted along with his comment 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Ken Weathers with WATE Knoxville has a good post passively addressing all the Facebook weather forecasters. Here’s a graphic he posted along with his commentI agree with that… but I remember a really tacky tweet he made after the Christmas snow giving themselves an “A+” on their snow forecast when they were literally 3-5” off of their forecast. They said the wave that rode up the cold front “came out of nowhere” and that’s why their forecast missed on the snow. Lol… the wave riding the front was the loan snowmaker that was modeled days before the event. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 EPS member 15 as promised in the other thread: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 3 hours ago, EastTNWeatherAdmirer said: Is it just me or does it seem like the -NAO has done more harm that good this year so far? I may be 18 years old but I’m old enough to remember the claim so many people say that a -NAO is good for the Mid-Atlantic and Eastern Seaboard. It seems like the NAO, or at least the variation of it this year, has been detrimental for us in the South and East. The massive low 500 miles ESE of Nova Scotia caused by the negative NAO has caused buckling in the jet further back west, over us, with only mediocre heights and a subtle upper ridge nudging and grudging it’s way over us again and again. Sure, Europe has definitely seen the cold and snow and it might just be the unfavorable Pacific; but, for us here in the East this massive -NAO has done nothing but churn higher 500 mb heights up into it along the Eastern Seaboard and that looks to be the case with the 22/23 system with basically a repeat of Dec 15 in the East, just colder this time. You might think I’m a clown(emoji here) but what the **** is wrong with this -NAO? I'm with you on this NAO stuff. I've yet to see one that helped much. Maybe that'll change when we get the Magical Moderate maybe Modoki El Nino next year. I think the last time an NAO did much was 2009 - 10? I've only participated on the weather boards for a few years now, but before that when I started people were always looking for them. Apparently they've been very rare over the past decade or so, so maybe 09-10 worked so well that after that it was all people could think of? If everything has to be perfect with them, are really just chasing unicorns like 9-10 and 95-96? Some of y'all are a lot older than me though, so maybe you remember better NAO times. Maybe the AMO has to flip for them to really help? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 NAO is a much bigger signal for cold in January and February. It is associated w/ many historical cold outbreaks and Kocin storms. Right now we are fighting Nina climatology and a rising QBO(solar as well). One teleconnection by itself is rarely a silver bullet. One need to look no further than the cold shot to see the effects of a -NAO. The Nina is a dry pattern for E TN often - not always. The dry pattern is the problem. If we had an active STJ in conjunction w/ the current NAO....we would need a snow blower. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 9 minutes ago, Holston_River_Rambler said: I'm with you on this NAO stuff. I've yet to see one that helped much. Maybe that'll change when we get the Magical Moderate maybe Modoki El Nino next year. I think the last time an NAO did much was 2009 - 10? I've only participated on the weather boards for a few years now, but before that when I started people were always looking for them. Apparently they've been very rare over the past decade or so, so maybe 09-10 worked so well that after that it was all people could think of? If everything has to be perfect with them, are really just chasing unicorns like 9-10 and 95-96? Some of y'all are a lot older than me though, so maybe you remember better NAO times. Maybe the AMO has to flip for them to really help? It does seem to of hurt more than help lately. 10-11 it played a big role in that Nina being cold/ snowy. Year before last it did seem to help some. I think alot of the problem is where we are not getting the usual 50-50 Low with it. If you add it to the equation, these systems cutting would go so far only to be shunted SE even when they come in too far into the West . Also, without that 50-50 the block can connect with the SER, as has been the case quite often in recent years. The culprit could be the SST's off Newfoundland not being conducive for LP there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Again, though. Without the -NAO...we may have seen a stretch of record highs. The Pacific is that bad. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 If Florida doesn’t find a QB before next year, they might be worse than this year. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted December 18, 2022 Author Share Posted December 18, 2022 This Vols vs Arizona game is so horribly officiated its like the refs are on the Wildcat payroll. It's something like 16-2 free throws. At one point we got called for 8 fouls in a row. Both offensive and defensive. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 This Vols vs Arizona game is so horribly officiated its like the refs are on the Wildcat payroll. It's something like 16-2 free throws. At one point we got called for 8 fouls in a row. Both offensive and defensive. It’s reality bad. The fouls are 20-9. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vol4Life Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 13 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: It’s reality bad. The fouls are 20-9 . It’s the equivalent of playing at Rupp. Been 8 on 5 all night 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 That was a hell of a game between the Jags and Cowboys. Congrats @jaxjagman 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 15 minutes ago, BlunderStorm said: That was a hell of a game between the Jags and Cowboys. Congrats @jaxjagman I was pretty excited and still am after that int 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Runman292 Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 I am dreading having to work outside on Friday and Saturday from 10 am to 7 pm. I'm probably going to be frozen in place at my work, lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 LOL.... 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew70 Posted December 24, 2022 Share Posted December 24, 2022 Jags should win easily over the Titans. Jags will be good for several years. Titans time to clean house completely & start over. This includes all the coaching staff & players. What a dumpster fire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted December 26, 2022 Share Posted December 26, 2022 A friend sent me some pictures back in west Tennessee around 1918/19 of the Tennessee River frozen over. Pretty incredible . 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted December 26, 2022 Author Share Posted December 26, 2022 GFS - you get 5 inches from Arctic front. ---- WRONG! GFS - you get nothing from Clipper ---- Perfect forecast! I'll never know how models can be so bad for snow it shows that doesn't happen but so perfect for snow that it shows missing. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jed33 Posted December 26, 2022 Share Posted December 26, 2022 Could we say the GFS= Garbage for Sure haha! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted December 27, 2022 Share Posted December 27, 2022 @John1122 time to start looking at Mt Whitney and other Sierra Nevada forecasts, lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted December 27, 2022 Author Share Posted December 27, 2022 4 minutes ago, Holston_River_Rambler said: @John1122 time to start looking at Mt Whitney and other Sierra Nevada forecasts, lol The GEFS had a 127 inch mean in the Sierra's last night at 0z. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 Belated merry Christmas! We were out of town after being super busy. Chattanooga did better with snow Monday evening than with the Arctic front, according to neighbors. We enjoyed the Monday snow showers welcome home. Today we have Kansas vs some pigs who can’t spell Kansas in the Liberty Bowl. Tennessee basketball is going to Ole Miss looking to prove something on the road after Arizona. I’ll take the Vols all day even Away. Looking ahead I like Tennessee football in the Orange Bowl. Clemson is still good, but Tennessee has just. So. Much. Offense. That’s a Vols win! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 Tennessee is going to win our Bowl game. Oh Clemson it's Clemson. Yeah but the SEC is tougher than the ACC. Tennessee will win! (Not betting advice) Just have fun getting the W. Also Happy New Year! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 IDK. With our QB, 2 best WRs, and best defensible player out...my bar is set extremely low. If it was weather, the northwest jog is real. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greyhound Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 Friend at the UT / Clemson game posted this pic. Says “Enjoy Your Bowl Game - Gamecocks”. Well done USC…..well done. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted December 31, 2022 Share Posted December 31, 2022 I hope South Carolina just enjoyed their bowl game. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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