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Tropical Storm Beta


Windspeed
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Food for thought. I wonder if the dry air in vicinity is actually helping the current convective burst by allowing for steeper lapse rates (on the order of ~6.5c/km), much steeper than the typical 5s you'd expect in a moist neutral profile. More robust updrafts in the short term yielding a better radar configuration than you'd otherwise expect given IR appearance and environment???

That said, that same dry air almost certainly brings this to an end fairly soon here.

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Food for thought. I wonder if the dry air in vicinity is actually helping the current convective burst by allowing for steeper lapse rates (on the order of ~6.5c/km), much steeper than the typical 5s you'd expect in a moist neutral profile. More robust updrafts in the short term yielding a better radar configuration than you'd otherwise expect given IR appearance and environment???
That said, that same dry air almost certainly brings this to an end fairly soon here.
You may be correct. The feature doesn't look as impressive and might be waning.
13ab343b9486d7f6752edf8a05e8171c.jpg
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4 hours ago, Windspeed said:

That's not how this works. It's quiet at the moment because forecast and intensity trends are fairly locked down and there is no land interaction other than some marginal effects on Bermuda currently. But that doesn't mean you should ask the question in another storm thread. Delete your post and put it in the correct thread. Someone will notice. emoji6.png

Already did hall monitor and it received no response 

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Kind of quiet here for an active storm.

TS Beta is meandering about 94sm to the ESE of me [as of the NHC 0400h reports].

The wind has now backed to the NW and brisk. Yesterday morning brought gusty NE/ENE winds and an inch or two of precip in rainbands, tapering off and intermittent since. CRP radar showing much less precip att, one large patch N of Victoria might swing over here in the weakening rotation. Except for the significant rain accumulations towards Houston, good ol' Beta kind of fizzled. It is following a sort of Harvey-ish track though, but with just a small fraction of Harvey's ACE.

"4:00 AM CDT Tue Sep 22
Location: 28.8°N 96.7°W
Moving: NW at 3 mph
Min pressure: 999 mb
Max sustained: 40 mph"

 

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Well, TS Beta is about 6nm closer, pretty much the same wx with brisk NW winds. If that big ball of precip well N of Victoria holds together it might get wet here in a couple of hours.

"7:00 AM CDT Tue Sep 22
Location: 28.8°N 96.8°W
Moving: NW at 3 mph
Min pressure: 999 mb
Max sustained: 40 mph
"

 

CRP_loop (5).gif

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