lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 17, 2020 Share Posted November 17, 2020 2 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: The weeklies show all of December being a torch too. They show a +EPO, +NAO and SE Ridge through the end of December. Getting a 2011-2012 vibe Honestly an 11-12 winter wouldn’t be a bad thing this year with covid, the more chances to get outside the better. I’d trade this year being an 11-12 winter for more time outdoors with covid going on. Then double up next winter and have a 160”+ season at KBUF haha! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 17, 2020 Share Posted November 17, 2020 Some decent squalls rolling through, just some minor accumulation, temps just above freezing.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 17, 2020 Author Share Posted November 17, 2020 1 hour ago, lakeeffectkid383 said: Honestly an 11-12 winter wouldn’t be a bad thing this year with covid, the more chances to get outside the better. I’d trade this year being an 11-12 winter for more time outdoors with covid going on. Then double up next winter and have a 160”+ season at KBUF haha! 200" or bust next year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted November 17, 2020 Share Posted November 17, 2020 3 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: The weeklies show all of December being a torch too. They show a +EPO, +NAO and SE Ridge through the end of December. Getting a 2011-2012 vibe The euro weeklies? I was under the impression the EPS was showing HL blocking over the Artic and a colder December? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 17, 2020 Author Share Posted November 17, 2020 Just now, Thinksnow18 said: The euro weeklies? I was under the impression the EPS was showing HL blocking over the Artic and a colder December? Nope, it looks extremely warm for all of December right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted November 17, 2020 Share Posted November 17, 2020 33 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Nope, it looks extremely warm for all of December right now. Ya, still early but this is starting to feel like one of those winters where it barely snows. I believe toronto only saw 14" that winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 17, 2020 Share Posted November 17, 2020 Coming down pretty good at the moment..Looks like Oswego county is getting in on the action, as long as it's snow lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted November 17, 2020 Share Posted November 17, 2020 Bleh. If you believe the GEFS winter is going to have a tough time getting going for some time. Oddly the operational GFS goes against that theory (shocker) and the EPS is only marginally better but the trend here is not our friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 17, 2020 Author Share Posted November 17, 2020 Sinclaireville this morning. Lots of cars driving through Hamburg with 2-3” of snow on car. Boston hills and Colden got a few inches. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted November 17, 2020 Share Posted November 17, 2020 3 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Sinclaireville this morning. Lots of cars driving through Hamburg with 2-3” of snow on car. Boston hills and Colden got a few inches. Vicarious living for some time to come I’m afraid 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted November 17, 2020 Share Posted November 17, 2020 It’s snowing huge flakes here right now but at 35 nothing’s sticking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted November 17, 2020 Share Posted November 17, 2020 Snovember... ahh memories... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 17, 2020 Author Share Posted November 17, 2020 1 minute ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Snovember... ahh memories... My facebook memories reminded me of this post. LOCATIONS...ERIE...GENESEE...AND WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDING THE BUFFALO METRO AREA. * TIMING...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MIDDAY WEDNESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOWFALL RATES OF 3 TO 5 INCHES PER HOUR IN THE MOST INTENSE PORTION OF THE BAND. SNOW POTENTIALLY ACCUMULATING 2 TO 3 FEET IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS. ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS POSSIBLE LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH PRODUCING LOCALIZED BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES WITH SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. * VISIBILITIES...NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted November 17, 2020 Share Posted November 17, 2020 15 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: The weeklies show all of December being a torch too. They show a +EPO, +NAO and SE Ridge through the end of December. Getting a 2011-2012 vibe https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/teleconnections.shtml The ensemble means are showing a good trend into Dec... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted November 17, 2020 Share Posted November 17, 2020 I'm surprised there's no SWS here as we've almost got an inch of graupel/snow... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 17, 2020 Author Share Posted November 17, 2020 13 minutes ago, vortmax said: I'm surprised there's no SWS here as we've almost got an inch of graupel/snow... I was thinking 1-3" for isolated areas in south shore today. A decent setup, but hard to get the bands to stay over one place for long. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted November 17, 2020 Share Posted November 17, 2020 2 hours ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Snovember... ahh memories... WOW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 17, 2020 Author Share Posted November 17, 2020 Buffalo is at +7.4 for Nov. Average temp for month is 50.6. Going to be close for warmest November on record. 1 47.9 1931 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted November 17, 2020 Share Posted November 17, 2020 42 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Buffalo is at +7.4 for Nov. Average temp for month is 50.6. Going to be close for warmest November on record. 1 47.9 1931 I’m sensing a continuation of a terrible trend this winter... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 17, 2020 Author Share Posted November 17, 2020 Hills of south Eden 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted November 17, 2020 Share Posted November 17, 2020 1 hour ago, Thinksnow18 said: I’m sensing a continuation of a terrible trend this winter... Yep, Im thinking this winter will be a warm one with probably the lowest amount of snow in roughly a decade. Hate to say passing on winter in mid/late November but the trends have not been our friends haha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted November 17, 2020 Share Posted November 17, 2020 Currently in Delaware County. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted November 17, 2020 Share Posted November 17, 2020 5 minutes ago, Flying MXZ said: Currently in Delaware County. Hope it makes it s way a county south to Sullivan County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted November 17, 2020 Share Posted November 17, 2020 34 minutes ago, mississaugasnow said: Yep, Im thinking this winter will be a warm one with probably the lowest amount of snow in roughly a decade. Hate to say passing on winter in mid/late November but the trends have not been our friends Winter cancel in mid - Nov? Talk about cup half empty! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted November 17, 2020 Share Posted November 17, 2020 1 minute ago, vortmax said: Winter cancel in mid - Nov? Talk about cup half empty! Theres always this, then one massive event changes the narrative. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted November 17, 2020 Share Posted November 17, 2020 10 minutes ago, Flying MXZ said: Currently in Delaware County. Of course when I'm not there... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted November 17, 2020 Share Posted November 17, 2020 Starting to absolutely despise where I live as I'm sick and tired of watching it snow to my North and to my South! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted November 17, 2020 Share Posted November 17, 2020 Hell of squall in Roscoe. http://theroscoediner.com/?fbclid=IwAR2sHPS8PpsgJVhkw2bQAGdlVwgqagpeH95YUq2Lvfvz3YXmVCXAEubCY-M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted November 17, 2020 Share Posted November 17, 2020 I have no idea how people are already calling off winter on November 17th...What exactly is this based on? Some lousy teleconnections for the next 4 weeks (which still doesnt even get us into the actual calendar start of winter)?? Aside from one really warm week in November, things are right on track in regards to a typical year. I think I'm -1.5" in the snowfall dept according to climatology. For my area (where we get very little meaningful lake effect), I look forward to February and March; the big months for Synoptic whoppers. We haven't even got to the starting line yet and people are writing off this winter. Weird wild stuff indeed, get a grip everyone.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted November 17, 2020 Share Posted November 17, 2020 2 hours ago, Ericjcrash said: Theres always this, then one massive event changes the narrative. Thats the problem with the GTA we can't hope for a big LES outbreak. Our bread and butter is clippers followed by big dogs riding up the apps. If those two disappear were in a lot of trouble haha. I took a peak at 2011-2012 and you guys still did well in my books but must have felt like a big snow drought for your regions. Toronto saw 16" that entire winter. KBUF registered 20" in January alone haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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