wolfie09 Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 1 hour ago, Thinksnow18 said: AFD from KBUF is stating low to mid 50's for highs Saturday...first widespread frost Sat night-Sun morning? Yeah kbuf is going a little on the"warmer" side , atleast according to the P&C, mid-upper 40s for lows at buffalo, they jumped temps here a few degrees to the mid-upper 30s.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 18 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Yeah kbuf is going a little on the"warmer" side , atleast according to the P&C, mid-upper 40s for lows at buffalo, they jumped temps here a few degrees to the mid-upper 30s.. Yeah there is zero chance the temps at KBUF are that warm those 2 nights...got down to 42 at KBUF this morning and my backyard was 40.9... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 3 hours ago, cny rider said: 62F inside, 38F outside but no way am I turning on the heat or starting the pellet stove yet! I closed all the windows in the house last night and managed to keep the temperature at 64 when I got up this morning. The outside temperature fell to 37 here. I’m with you it’s way too early to turn on the heat. The sky is very milky this morning with smoke from the wildfires at high altitudes. My wife went for a walk this morning and said she could smell smoke but I told her with her nose she probably was smelling the smoke in California, lol. Time to go rake the forests! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 We are right at the average date when Arctic sea ice begins to increase again. Things start to happen fast after this point with much colder nights and fleeting warm days.... Always exciting when we get to this turning point each year. As a side note, its super sad to see that we used to have about 7 million square km of ice on this date, and we now have less than 4 million. A huge ****ing difference....not good...not good at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 9 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: We are right at the average date when Arctic sea ice begins to increase again. Things start to happen fast after this point with much colder nights and fleeting warm days.... Always exciting when we get to this turning point each year. As a side note, its super sad to see that we used to have about 7 million square km of ice on this date, and we now have less than 4 million. A huge ****ing difference....not good...not good at all. We are currently at the second lowest area of sea ice at this date. Almost 1/2 of where it used to be. Crazy to think about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 Will BUF (or ROC and SYR for that matter) receive more than 0.1 inch of rain before October? Current modeling says maybe not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brentrich Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 1 hour ago, Buffalo Bumble said: Will BUF (or ROC and SYR for that matter) receive more than 0.1 inch of rain before October? Current modeling says maybe not. Please no so that way I don't have to mow the lawn for rest of the year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 17, 2020 Author Share Posted September 17, 2020 Looks like some pretty warm air across the central USA next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted September 17, 2020 Share Posted September 17, 2020 6 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: Looks like some pretty warm air across the central USA next week. Yes just west of us...where it can now stay!!! I'll take seasonal to a bit above average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted September 17, 2020 Share Posted September 17, 2020 Latest hazardous weather outlook.. Below freezing temperatures and widespread frost is possible late Friday night through Saturday morning and again late Saturday night through Sunday morning. Forecast through Monday.. October like.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 17, 2020 Author Share Posted September 17, 2020 Sep Temps Buf- (+2.2) Roc- (-0.4) Watertown- (-0.8) Aug Temps Buf- (+2.2) Roc- (+1.4) Watertown- (+1.5) July Temps Buf- (+6.5) Roc- (+4.8) Watertown- (+5.8) June Temps Buf- (+0.8) Roc- (+1.7) Watertown- (+2.1) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted September 17, 2020 Share Posted September 17, 2020 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: Sep Temps Buf- (+2.2) Roc- (-0.4) Watertown- (-0.8) Aug Temps Buf- (+2.2) Roc- (+1.4) Watertown- (+1.5) July Temps Buf- (+6.5) Roc- (+4.8) Watertown- (+5.8) June Temps Buf- (+0.8) Roc- (+1.7) Watertown- (+2.1) So the Buffalo thermometer (ASOS) went wacky sometime in mid to late June it would seem. It's a shame we will have corrupted numbers forever in the system. Oh well, guess it doesn't really mean all that much in the big picture. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted September 17, 2020 Share Posted September 17, 2020 If you take out the first week of September were probably more in line with Rochester. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 17, 2020 Author Share Posted September 17, 2020 Anyone see the hurricane in the Mediterranean sea? So cool. I wonder if you could get a little tropical storm on Superior? https://greece.greekreporter.com/2020/09/16/storm-ianos-will-bring-severe-weather-to-greece-through-the-weekend/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted September 17, 2020 Share Posted September 17, 2020 8 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Anyone see the hurricane in the Mediterranean sea? So cool. I wonder if you could get a little tropical storm on Superior? https://greece.greekreporter.com/2020/09/16/storm-ianos-will-bring-severe-weather-to-greece-through-the-weekend/ There was one on Lake Huron back in 1996. Nothing since then or before. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted September 17, 2020 Share Posted September 17, 2020 Back to the weekend...NWS calling for -2c air at 850...frost will be widespread 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted September 17, 2020 Share Posted September 17, 2020 Frost advisory issued for this evening, should be more wide spread this weekend.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted September 18, 2020 Share Posted September 18, 2020 6 hours ago, Snowstorms said: There was one on Lake Huron back in 1996. Nothing since then or before. Certainly looks like a tropical storm to me... https://en.sat24.com/en/gr/infraPolair Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted September 18, 2020 Share Posted September 18, 2020 Local WU station dropped into the 20s overnight.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted September 18, 2020 Share Posted September 18, 2020 FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures in the upper 20s expected. * WHERE...Lewis county. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 8 AM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor plumbing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted September 18, 2020 Share Posted September 18, 2020 i've been tracking my first frost/freeze date closely for about the last 10 years in Rochester. It usually comes sometime in the 3rd or 4th week of October. This is pretty unusual stuff here, almost 5 weeks ahead of schedule for the lake plain folks. It's certainly going to speed up the garden "tear down" time line down this year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 18, 2020 Author Share Posted September 18, 2020 13 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: i've been tracking my first frost/freeze date closely for about the last 10 years in Rochester. It usually comes sometime in the 3rd or 4th week of October. This is pretty unusual stuff here, almost 5 weeks ahead of schedule for the lake plain folks. It's certainly going to speed up the garden break time line down this year. Heart lake in the Dacks is already at 40% foliage. About 2 weeks ahead of schedule. I'll be there next weekend, should be close to peak. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_rules Posted September 18, 2020 Share Posted September 18, 2020 26 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: i've been tracking my first frost/freeze date closely for about the last 10 years in Rochester. It usually comes sometime in the 3rd or 4th week of October. This is pretty unusual stuff here, almost 5 weeks ahead of schedule for the lake plain folks. It's certainly going to speed up the garden break time line down this year. I’m shocked to hear this. In the northern Catskills we almost always have a frost by the 2nd half of September. It’s not uncommon to have a frost in late August or early September. This year it was Sept 15th (Tuesday) which seems about normal. NWS Bing AFD mentions “high rural valleys” which describes us well. I did not think there would be a 4-6 week difference....probably would have guessed +/-2 weeks. Leaves are turning in the hills, but they’re pretty dull thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 18, 2020 Author Share Posted September 18, 2020 2 minutes ago, winter_rules said: I’m shocked to hear this. In the northern Catskills we almost always have a frost by the 2nd half of September. It’s not uncommon to have a frost in late August or early September. This year it was Sept 15th (Tuesday) which seems about normal. NWS Bing AFD mentions “high rural valleys” which describes us well. I did not think there would be a 4-6 week difference....probably would have guessed +/-2 weeks. Leaves are turning in the hills, but they’re pretty dull thus far. We dont get a frost in Hamburg until Late October. Lake Erie is pretty warm most of fall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted September 18, 2020 Share Posted September 18, 2020 30's are definitely on the rare side for Rochester in September, especially over the last 10 years. Here is a nice chart to illustrate it. Rochester never got below 48 for the entire month of September in 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_rules Posted September 18, 2020 Share Posted September 18, 2020 Very interesting. I guess I didn’t realize how far inland the effect of the warm lake water really extended in the Rochester/Buffalo areas. I lived about 4 miles East of Pulaski (very close to where Wolfie just moved from) and it seemed like Lake Ontario really only influenced surface temps In the area from roughly I81 West toward the lake. By the time you were a mile or two East of I81 you were mostly away from the biggest surface temp influence. Slowly gaining elevation toward the East probably plays a bigger role than I realized. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_rules Posted September 19, 2020 Share Posted September 19, 2020 25° this morning! Several degrees colder than expected. Gorgeous outside as the sun is starting to reveal the white covering on everything. Growing season officially over in the Northern Catskills. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted September 19, 2020 Share Posted September 19, 2020 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted September 19, 2020 Share Posted September 19, 2020 Low of 24° this morning.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted September 19, 2020 Share Posted September 19, 2020 Got down to 35 here. Lower than forecasted but the growing season goes on here lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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