Thinksnow18 Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 On 10/27/2020 at 10:30 AM, lakeeffectkid383 said: I’m going with slushy coating from lower elevations BUF to ROC, 1-2” for the terrain above 1200 feet south of BUF and ROC. Someone in the Adirondacks will see 8” plus. Expand Good call. Gfs came west a bit with the precip shield from the 00z run to the 6z run. Waiting for the 12z euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 Well that one went to shit pretty quick lol (us northerners) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DownpourDave Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 On 10/27/2020 at 11:43 AM, wolfie09 said: Well that one went to shit pretty quick lol (us northerners) Expand Maybe ill drive to Albany and chase this. Nothing better to do anyway. They look to have a better chance at getting something good anyways 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 Well you can tell you're not from the area because you would never hear us say that 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 This is what we have to look forward to in winter.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 On 10/27/2020 at 11:57 AM, wolfie09 said: This is what we have to look forward to in winter.. Expand I mean you couldve posted 0z GFS to 6z GFS for reverse effect, however I wouldn't want to be too far north or west with this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 Even the NAM jumped ship. Back to obsessing over political models instead of wx models. Weirdo out. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 27, 2020 Author Share Posted October 27, 2020 It's only late Oct, average highs are still in the 50s. In a few weeks we will start to see the real flakes fly. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 27, 2020 Author Share Posted October 27, 2020 Long range looks quite warm first 10 days or so of Nov. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 27, 2020 Author Share Posted October 27, 2020 Just remember it can flip very quickly. A few days before Nov 2014 hit it was high 60s and sunny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 On 10/27/2020 at 1:06 PM, BuffaloWeather said: Long range looks quite warm first 10 days or so of Nov. Expand Perfect!!! Maybe we can shake the cold November and have an actual winter that behaves, well, somewhat normally Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 On 10/27/2020 at 1:49 PM, Thinksnow18 said: Perfect!!! Maybe we can shake the cold November and have an actual winter that behaves, well, somewhat normally Expand Or we stay in the pattern and toast through the whole winter ala 2012 muaahhahaha! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 On 10/27/2020 at 2:04 PM, lakeeffectkid383 said: Or we stay in the pattern and toast through the whole winter ala 2012 muaahhahaha! It can definitely happen but most, if not all, the You Tube long range predictions are quite funny for this yr, lol, as I get a kick out of listening to them. Their all chock full of Cold/Snow from beginning to end with the Northeast getting the brunt of this yrs Polar Vortex RLMAO!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 On 10/27/2020 at 1:07 PM, BuffaloWeather said: Just remember it can flip very quickly. A few days before Nov 2014 hit it was high 60s and sunny. Expand And the week after all 7’ of snow were melted away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 27, 2020 Author Share Posted October 27, 2020 On 10/27/2020 at 3:00 PM, Luke_Mages said: And the week after all 7’ of snow were melted away. Expand Yep but that was the best week of weather I'll ever experience. I don't care about snow on the ground, only falling and especially heavy rates. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 On 10/27/2020 at 3:02 PM, BuffaloWeather said: Yep but that was the best week of weather I'll ever experience. I don't care about snow on the ground, only falling and especially heavy rates. Expand I enjoy that as well but I wish that one of these winters we build up an incredible snowpack. Would give me an excuse to buy a tractor to keep my driveway clear Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 27, 2020 Author Share Posted October 27, 2020 I also had a extra week of paid vacation due to travel bans the entire week. Can't beat that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 On 10/27/2020 at 3:02 PM, BuffaloWeather said: Yep but that was the best week of weather I'll ever experience. I don't care about snow on the ground, only falling and especially heavy rates. Expand Come on man, we all use snowpack duration as a metric for how good a winter is. That is why we have routinely been giving winters shitty grades, because we can't hold snowpack for more than a few days or a week at best. Maintaining a snowpack is one of the most satisfying parts of winter! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 27, 2020 Author Share Posted October 27, 2020 On 10/27/2020 at 3:34 PM, DeltaT13 said: Come on man, we all use snowpack duration as a metric for how good a winter is. That is why we have routinely been giving winters shitty grades, because we can't hold snowpack for more than a few days or a week at best. Maintaining a snowpack is one of the most satisfying parts of winter! Expand To each their own. I could care less about snowpack. I want lots of snowfalls and big LES events. That is how I grade a good winter. Looking outside at snow doesn't do it for me. I could go to the Dacks or Holiday Valley each winter and always see snowpack. My favorite thing in winter is extremely high snowfall rates in those LES bands. Synoptic also doesn't do it for me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 In other news, looks like the growing season will come to a true end on Friday night with Temps dipping into the mid 20's on the lake plains. I've only had the lightest frost so far IMB....ready to close things down for good but I usually don't cut back my plants until they have been killed off naturally by a freeze. Get those garden hoses and other outdoor waterlines secured for winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 On 10/27/2020 at 3:36 PM, BuffaloWeather said: To each their own. I could care less about snowpack. I want lots of snowfalls and big LES events. That is how I grade a good winter. Expand That's wild stuff, I just feel like I've heard you say a million times that you miss the winters where we held snowpack. I honestly thought you were one of the biggest proponents of this ideology. My mind is blown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 27, 2020 Author Share Posted October 27, 2020 On 10/27/2020 at 3:37 PM, DeltaT13 said: That's wild stuff, I just feel like I've heard you say a million times that you miss the winters where we held snowpack. I honestly thought you were one of the biggest proponents of this ideology. My mind is blown. Expand That is definitely not me. I have never been a snowpack guy. I know most on this forum are though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 On 10/27/2020 at 3:38 PM, BuffaloWeather said: That is definitely not me. I have never been a snowpack guy. I know most on this forum are though. Expand I mean what’s the fun of a big storm only to have it wash down the drain 2 days later? That’s no different than winning 30k on a bet and it’s gone 3 hours later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 On 10/27/2020 at 3:44 PM, Thinksnow18 said: I mean what’s the fun of a big storm only to have it wash down the drain 2 days later? That’s no different than winning 30k on a bet and it’s gone 3 hours later Expand I'm fine with snowpack but it's the falling snow and low visibility that does it for me. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 On 10/27/2020 at 3:44 PM, Thinksnow18 said: I mean what’s the fun of a big storm only to have it wash down the drain 2 days later? That’s no different than winning 30k on a bet and it’s gone 3 hours later Expand Yeah, snowpack is critical for me. Would love to start holding snow around Thanksgiving and see it gone around the last week of March. That would be an A plus winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 Rgem is super sexy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Buffalo NY 506 AM EDT Tue Oct 27 2020 NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-280915- Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis- Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Chautauqua- Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie- 506 AM EDT Tue Oct 27 2020 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western and north central New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. The potential exists for rain to mix with and turn to accumulating snow Thursday night into Friday, especially over the higher terrain. This may lead to areas of hazardous travel, though uncertainty remains high on potential accumulations at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 Nice GFS run too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 On 10/27/2020 at 4:04 PM, vortmax said: Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Buffalo NY 506 AM EDT Tue Oct 27 2020 NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-280915- Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis- Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Chautauqua- Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie- 506 AM EDT Tue Oct 27 2020 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western and north central New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. The potential exists for rain to mix with and turn to accumulating snow Thursday night into Friday, especially over the higher terrain. This may lead to areas of hazardous travel, though uncertainty remains high on potential accumulations at this time. Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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