wolfie09 Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 Well it is non accumulating snow on the european..Need some heavier precipitation rates to bring down some cold air.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 Cold enough for snow here but not much precipitation, story of my life lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 26, 2020 Author Share Posted October 26, 2020 Just now, wolfie09 said: Well it is non accumulating snow on the european..Need some heavier precipitation rates to bring down some cold air.. Yeah, I just don't see it. Adirondacks get a foot+ though. Going up there twice this winter for hikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 3 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: I highly doubt we get a cold/snowy Feb/Mar in a Moderate Nina. More likely cold/snow Dec/Jan and a quick transition into spring. I would take a cold, snowy dec and Jan in a heartbeat. We could easily get huge numbers with wide open lakes and a good storm track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 28 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: I highly doubt we get a cold/snowy Feb/Mar in a Moderate Nina. More likely cold/snow Dec/Jan and a quick transition into spring. It's all about the teleconnections. If we can sustain a -NAO for a change, that would help. Speaking of teleconnections, where is the new page to see the quad view? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 26, 2020 Author Share Posted October 26, 2020 8 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: I would take a cold, snowy dec and Jan in a heartbeat. We could easily get huge numbers with wide open lakes and a good storm track. Yeah I would take a cold/snow Dec/Jan all day. If we get below average temps for those 2 months we're basically guaranteed a good winter. I think the first 2 weeks of Nov are pretty warm and we slowly transition the second half to about average/slightly below. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 8 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Yeah I would take a cold/snow Dec/Jan all day. If we get below average temps for those 2 months we're basically guaranteed a good winter. I think the first 2 weeks of Nov are pretty warm and we slowly transition the second half to about average/slightly below. Which would give us legit chances for some lake effect events. The avg high as we get to the second half of November is mid to then low 40’s so it’s not impossible to have a huge event in that timeframe...there’s been plenty of examples. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_rules Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 10 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Yeah I would take a cold/snow Dec/Jan all day. If we get below average temps for those 2 months we're basically guaranteed a good winter. I think the first 2 weeks of Nov are pretty warm and we slowly transition the second half to about average/slightly below. That sounds good to me. Anything other than a cold/snowy November followed by a warm/rainy December into January which has been the general story the last few years. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 26, 2020 Author Share Posted October 26, 2020 28 minutes ago, vortmax said: It's all about the teleconnections. If we can sustain a -NAO for a change, that would help. Speaking of teleconnections, where is the new page to see the quad view? https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/teleconnections.shtml Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 German back to a snowy scenario.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 Gfs tries lol Not enough interaction.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 15 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Gfs tries lol Not enough interaction.. Yeah that’s more of an open wave instead of a closed low or developed low like the other models are showing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 Canadian came in a little snowier.. Obviously taken with a grain of salt.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 I'm just north of that little 6+ in lewis county, won't have elevation for long (end of December), would like to use it while I have it lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 26, 2020 Author Share Posted October 26, 2020 2 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: I'm just north of that little 6+ in lewis county, won't have elevation for long (end of December), would like to use it while I have it lol Did you get a place yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 26, 2020 Author Share Posted October 26, 2020 We had snow nearly everyday up in Oregon/Washington. The elevation there in the mountains really helps. Coldest it got was 11 degrees at the base of the mountain we climbed. That picture I posted was at 10,300 feet. One of the hardest hikes I've ever done. The hike is called south sister, the 3rd tallest in Oregon behind Hood/Jefferson. https://www.alltrails.com/trail/us/oregon/south-sister-trail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 4 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Did you get a place yet? Yup, moving back to the pulaski area..(as long as the inspection passes lol) The old lady has been taking the 45 mile drive almost daily https://www.remax.com/ny/pulaski/home-details/16-coho-st-pulaski-ny-13142/10028254325625751004 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 26, 2020 Author Share Posted October 26, 2020 Just now, wolfie09 said: Yup, moving back to the pulaski area.. The old lady has been taking the 45 mile drive almost daily https://www.remax.com/ny/pulaski/home-details/16-coho-st-pulaski-ny-13142/10028254325625751004 That's a beautiful place! Yeah, that commute would be brutal for me. I hate long drives to work. I try to keep it under 20 minutes. Wasting 1-2 hours a day driving is rough. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 26, 2020 Author Share Posted October 26, 2020 Wolfs hoping for a Feb 2007. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 Ukie looks like a hugger, have to wait for PW to update in-between frames.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_rules Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 4 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Wolfs hoping for a Feb 2007. To be fair, I think we are all hoping for a repeat of that one! 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_rules Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 17 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Yup, moving back to the pulaski area..(as long as the inspection passes lol) The old lady has been taking the 45 mile drive almost daily https://www.remax.com/ny/pulaski/home-details/16-coho-st-pulaski-ny-13142/10028254325625751004 Looks like a great house, and it will be a lot more convenient than your old place! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 Well I would wanna be back in Oswego county for a Feb 2007 repeat lol This area did well but nothing historic.. I would love to see a month like these in December lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 26, 2020 Author Share Posted October 26, 2020 16 minutes ago, winter_rules said: To be fair, I think we are all hoping for a repeat of that one! A Feb 2007 repeat here while the lake is open would have been historic as well. Would have been similar to Nov 2014. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 2006-2007 winter season was quite historic.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 Wow ukie!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 2 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Wow ukie!! Too bad not all of it is snow. Over 2 inches of QPF, if this same thing happened literally just a month later it would be a historic 1.5 foot + snowstorm as depicted on the Ukie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 The initial batch is rain on all models..The more rain the better lol At least for here, that means the storm is farther NW.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 14 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Wow ukie!! This is what I have to look forward to in a couple months 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 26, 2020 Author Share Posted October 26, 2020 2 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: This is what I have to look forward to in a couple months Welcome to the club, I'm close to the lake too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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