wxeyeNH Posted January 29, 2021 Author Share Posted January 29, 2021 34 minutes ago, powderfreak said: That’s awesome Gene. Nice catch! It's now 2 hours later and I see the pair of deer in the woods. Escaped this time! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Gorgeous conditions at BW today. The kids crushed it on the west mountain blues and finished the day on Deception Bowl. Cold but little wind. Not too bad. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patriot21 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Temperature at the house when I got home at 4 p.m. read 3°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 @Ginx snewx Do you have any dogs that produce prints this big? Anyone know what this is? They’re like half of the size of my hand. Huge dog? Bobcat? Mountain lion? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 21 minutes ago, dendrite said: @Ginx snewx Do you have any dogs that produce prints this big? Anyone know what this is? They’re like half of the size of my hand. Huge dog? Bobcat? Mountain lion? Tiny hands? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Cold night incoming. Down to 1 already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patriot21 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Down to -2, but it really doesn't feel that bad out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted January 29, 2021 Author Share Posted January 29, 2021 37 minutes ago, dendrite said: @Ginx snewx Do you have any dogs that produce prints this big? Anyone know what this is? They’re like half of the size of my hand. Huge dog? Bobcat? Mountain lion? You need a Nest Cam so you can rewind and see what is going on! Just looked on Google. Coyote? Step in the right direction for NNE the storm early next week. I think the Maine guys have gotten the worst shaft this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 48 minutes ago, dendrite said: @Ginx snewx Do you have any dogs that produce prints this big? Anyone know what this is? They’re like half of the size of my hand. Huge dog? Bobcat? Mountain lion? Looks like Coyote or Coydog. Dogs back pads are smaller. Yea my St Bernard Husky has huge paws. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 59 minutes ago, dendrite said: @Ginx snewx Do you have any dogs that produce prints this big? Anyone know what this is? They’re like half of the size of my hand. Huge dog? Bobcat? Mountain lion? Definitely a canine. Could be any number of large breeds... Bernese Mtn Dog are popular breeds these days ha? Could also certainly be wild coyote if your neighbors don’t have large breed dogs. Was it circling the chickens? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Nah it was out front. I was leaning a large dog too because of the nail prints on the toes. High of 13.5°....coldest so far by a long shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EMontpelierWhiteout Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 43 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Tiny hands? Those are definitely canine prints because you can see the claw points. I’d say large dog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bwt3650 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 -7 with a breeze. Has to be coldest of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 AMWX emoji record that may stand for a long time...until Phin makes his triumphant return to the mid atl forum... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 12 minutes ago, backedgeapproaching said: AMWX emoji record that may stand for a long time...until Phin makes his triumphant return to the mid atl forum... I am not as legendary there as Bob Chill. LOL He is probably the most level-headed and accurate local hobbyist down there. He disappeared for several years after he just became so burned out by the endless misery and missed snow chances. It's very, very hard to maintain an optimistic attitude as a MA snow lover. If he is back for this event, they must be getting hyped. I really hope they don't get another rug pull. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 2 hours ago, wxeyeNH said: You need a Nest Cam so you can rewind and see what is going on! Just looked on Google. Coyote? Step in the right direction for NNE the storm early next week. I think the Maine guys have gotten the worst shaft this winter Yes we have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 10 minutes ago, PhineasC said: I am not as legendary there as Bob Chill. LOL He is probably the most level-headed and accurate local hobbyist down there. He disappeared for several years after he just became so burned out by the endless misery and missed snow chances. It's very, very hard to maintain an optimistic attitude as a MA snow lover. If he is back for this event, they must be getting hyped. I really hope they don't get another rug pull. You lived it, You know it................. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 hour ago, PhineasC said: I am not as legendary there as Bob Chill. LOL He is probably the most level-headed and accurate local hobbyist down there. He disappeared for several years after he just became so burned out by the endless misery and missed snow chances. It's very, very hard to maintain an optimistic attitude as a MA snow lover. If he is back for this event, they must be getting hyped. I really hope they don't get another rug pull. I know--I'm kidding. Your a little more polarizing than Bob--ha. I lurked in your guys forum for years in the 2010-2014 range when I lived in southern PA just because it was much more active than the Philly one and a had a lot of knowledgeable posters--and my climo was similar to those NW burbs. I loved his posts--like you said very level-headed and also easy to understand for the average weenie. Especially his long range stuff--just remember he was able to simplify it enough really anyone could understand without needing a MET degree. There were some other good ones too that don't seem to be around anymore. Also some ones that are still around that I just wasn't fond of their posting style 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Not that cold. 2F but 0.5” of arctic sand fell overnight. Smallest flakes possible but still snowing. Definitely didn’t let us radiate at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 -9.1F here. Saw a couple -15F lower down the hill from me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Certainly didnt mind waking up to read this out of ALY: 1) Forecast models have shown a northwestward expansion of snowfall that encompasses a good portion of the forecast area. 2) Forecast confidence is increasing on the fact that a good portion of the forecast area will be impacted by this coastal storm. 3) Confidence is increasing that this will be a long-duration storm with snow coming in as early as Sunday night/Monday morning and persisting to Wednesday morning/afternoon. This storm system has overachiever potential given recent model trends and some of the items mentioned above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 4.9° Light breeze Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Event totals: 3.8” Snow/0.14” L.E. The arctic flakes keep rolling along with the moisture on the back end of this system that’s been well off shore. The models suggest this is likely the last day for these effects though. Details from the 6:00 A.M. Waterbury observations: New Snow: 0.1 inches New Liquid: Trace Temperature: 6.8 F Sky: Light Snow (1-2 mm flakes) Snow at the stake: 13.0 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 2.3° here. It was -2° last night around 8:00 and then the temp came up a little along with a light breeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Up to 3f here. Seems like a good day to check out Brandon gap trails. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patriot21 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 18 minutes ago, mreaves said: 2.3° here. It was -2° last night around 8:00 and then the temp came up a little along with a light breeze. I believe the temperature rose overnight here as well. Was -4 around 6pm, but at 6am it was -1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Our low was a very benign -0.9 - here too, though, fine light snow all night so no radiating at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 2 hours ago, backedgeapproaching said: Certainly didnt mind waking up to read this out of ALY: 1) Forecast models have shown a northwestward expansion of snowfall that encompasses a good portion of the forecast area. 2) Forecast confidence is increasing on the fact that a good portion of the forecast area will be impacted by this coastal storm. 3) Confidence is increasing that this will be a long-duration storm with snow coming in as early as Sunday night/Monday morning and persisting to Wednesday morning/afternoon. This storm system has overachiever potential given recent model trends and some of the items mentioned above. Great trends overnight and this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 42 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Great trends overnight and this morning. I saw in this morning’s BTV NWS AFD that they’ve seen some northward shift in the anticipated precipitation for that upcoming system (Winter Storm Orlena). As always, an important aspect for up here is noting projections for components of the system to move into the Gulf of Maine or the Canadian Maritimes, where they can keep the precipitation going, vs. quickly heading eastward. Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 937 AM EST Sat Jan 30 2021 .LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/... As of 349 AM EST Saturday...The focus for next week continues to be a coastal low that will impact at least portions of the Northeast. There appears to have been a fairly significant northward shift with the precipitation from previous model runs. Main 500mb low now drifts directly over the North Country by Tuesday night, and enhanced lift helps to invigorate low pressure moving into the Gulf of Maine, rather than allowing the more southern low off of the Delmarva to have a more easterly track. Model consensus, including the GFS, ECMWF, and CMC now have the warm frontal band of snow lift northward well into central and northern Vermont, accompanied with increasing moisture and good omega in the DGZ. Hence, have increased snow chances to likely for the Monday night-Tuesday timeframe, especially from the Champlain Valley eastward. The upper low exits to the east by Wednesday morning, while the surface low(s) move into the Canadian Maritimes. The steadier snow will therefore taper off overnight Tuesday, transitioning to mountain snow showers by Wednesday morning on the favored western slopes as we remain under north-northwest flow. Still a bit early to be talking snow amounts; this system is fairly unorganized with any one of several surface lows having the potential to remain the dominant feature. At this time, several inches of snow does look possible across much of eastern Vermont, but any slight change in upper dynamics and associated surface features could mean more or less snow. Stay tuned for later updates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, J.Spin said: I saw in this morning’s BTV NWS AFD that they’ve seen some northward shift in the anticipated precipitation for that upcoming system (Winter Storm Orlena). As always, an important aspect for up here is noting projections for components of the system to move into the Gulf of Maine or the Canadian Maritimes, where they can keep the precipitation going, vs. quickly heading eastward. Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 937 AM EST Sat Jan 30 2021 .LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/... As of 349 AM EST Saturday...The focus for next week continues to be a coastal low that will impact at least portions of the Northeast. There appears to have been a fairly significant northward shift with the precipitation from previous model runs. Main 500mb low now drifts directly over the North Country by Tuesday night, and enhanced lift helps to invigorate low pressure moving into the Gulf of Maine, rather than allowing the more southern low off of the Delmarva to have a more easterly track. Model consensus, including the GFS, ECMWF, and CMC now have the warm frontal band of snow lift northward well into central and northern Vermont, accompanied with increasing moisture and good omega in the DGZ. Hence, have increased snow chances to likely for the Monday night-Tuesday timeframe, especially from the Champlain Valley eastward. The upper low exits to the east by Wednesday morning, while the surface low(s) move into the Canadian Maritimes. The steadier snow will therefore taper off overnight Tuesday, transitioning to mountain snow showers by Wednesday morning on the favored western slopes as we remain under north-northwest flow. Still a bit early to be talking snow amounts; this system is fairly unorganized with any one of several surface lows having the potential to remain the dominant feature. At this time, several inches of snow does look possible across much of eastern Vermont, but any slight change in upper dynamics and associated surface features could mean more or less snow. Stay tuned for later updates. Aside from the coastal synoptic aspect of this storm, which seems more geared up for over this way than the Northern Greens at the moment, there is indeed a much stronger upslope signal showing up over your way now that the models take the low more north than east up into Maine and eastern Canada. Good trends all around, we will see where the next 48 hours takes us. The late-week cutter also appears to be fizzling, but still way out there in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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